ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

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GCANE
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#981 Postby GCANE » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:11 am

:uarrow:
I see it now, but looks relatively weak.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#982 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:11 am

:uarrow: So I guess it has been re-activated as an invest?
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#983 Postby Weather150 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:12 am

NDG wrote::uarrow: So I guess it has been re-activated as an invest?

It would appear so.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#984 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:13 am

NDG wrote::uarrow: So I guess it has been re-activated as an invest?


or straight to a TD lol who knows what they will do anymore..
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#985 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:14 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
NDG wrote::uarrow: So I guess it has been re-activated as an invest?


or straight to a TD lol who knows what they will do anymore..


Hopefully the ASCAT will catch it this morning, should be in the next few minutes.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#986 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:14 am

Yep. It's been reactivated. SHIPS even has a Cat 1 hitting Florida.

http://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/17071012AL0417_ships.txt
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#987 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:14 am

Yes!! We havve Best Track resumed.Here is the 12z.

AL, 04, 2017071012, , BEST, 0, 225N, 641W, 25, 1011, LO
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#988 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:14 am

Maybe a special TWO soon?
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion

#989 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:16 am

weathaguyry wrote:Maybe a special TWO soon?


maybe but why when 2pm is only 2.5 hours ish..
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#990 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:16 am

Back on Tropical Tidbits!!!!!

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#991 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:17 am

weathaguyry wrote:Back on Tropical Tidbits!!!!!

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/


yep up on NRL too.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#992 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:19 am

and here is plenty of proof for those in denial lol..

not sure why its a blank background but there you go...

Image
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#993 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:19 am

The SHIPS stats are interesting. Plenty of warm water and light shear. Mediocre RH values (~50%).

Image
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#994 Postby Blown Away » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:20 am

Image
Looking better.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... short.html
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#995 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:21 am

RL3AO wrote:The SHIPS stats are interesting. Plenty of warm water and light shear. Mediocre RH values (~50%).

Image


well the models have been over doing the dry air ( clearly ) its has maintained despite all the lacking model runs. something is wrong..
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ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#996 Postby Weather150 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:22 am

Image
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#997 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:23 am

Who wants to make predictions for the next TWO? I'm going with 20/40.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#998 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:23 am

here this is better..

Image
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#999 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:24 am

I was doing some calculations, the ASCAT pass this morning should be able to catch at least its eastern circulation where most of the convection & stronger winds are.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Remnants - Discussion: ATCF resumes Best Track data

#1000 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jul 10, 2017 10:25 am

ASCAT caught only the western edge (look around 22N/64W). No indication of any LLC on the image below. Like I said, if there is any LLC then it's too weak and disorganized for classification as anything but a tropical wave. Convection seems to be dropping off now.

Image
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