ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: ATL: Invest 96L - Discussion

#3061 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Sat Apr 23, 2022 8:23 pm

cycloneye wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
cycloneye wrote:8 AM TWO:


A tropical wave located about 1200 miles east of the Windward
Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in 2 or 3
days. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the
progress of this system while it moves westward to west-
northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


cycloneye, how did you fare in irma?...i know you were offline for a few days.


Well, it took almost 5 years to reply to your question as I was looking back at the threads of 2017 on April 23, 2022. I did well with Irma, only the power grid went out for a few days. But with Maria was a different story as we got the power back three months later and there was a good deal of destruction and many deaths.

I'm from the Weather Underground/Yale Climate Connections community (Jeff Masters' blog) and we had a member from Puerto Rico who endured Maria, we didn't hear from him for weeks. Thankfully he came out ok in the end but he sent us pics of the devastation in his area, was scary stuff. We also had another one from St. Barts who got hit by Irma and he was off the blog for a while as well, but he too came back. Their stories are both chilling - I thought Isabel '03 was as bad as it could get being from the Mid-Atlantic but I can only imagine what it's like to be lashed for hours on end by a Cat 4/5 hurricane.
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Re: ATL: Invest 96L - Discussion

#3062 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 12, 2023 7:01 pm

abajan wrote:
SoupBone wrote:My concern for the Gulf Coast is how low latitude this thing is. Damn.

And mine is for how low latitude it is for the Antilles, especially the northeastern islands.


Sadly, you nailed it 100% my friend and look what happened. 2,975 people died in PR and in other islands like Dominica, 31 died and in Guadeloupe 2.

Image

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152017_Maria.pdf
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Re: ATL: Invest 96L - Discussion

#3063 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 12, 2023 7:11 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
cycloneye wrote:8 AM TWO:


A tropical wave located about 1200 miles east of the Windward
Islands is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in 2 or 3
days. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the
progress of this system while it moves westward to west-
northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


cycloneye, how did you fare in irma?...i know you were offline for a few days.


5+ years later, I was looking back at this long thread and found that did not replied then. Yes. Power was out for a few days but Irma was only a glancing blow compared to Maria.
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