ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#101 Postby MississippiWx » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:43 am

:uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#102 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:45 am

MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.


yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#103 Postby MississippiWx » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:48 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.


yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.


You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#104 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:49 am

MississippiWx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.


yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.


You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.


Right.. though it could just be an outflow boundary. :) we will know soon enough ..
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#105 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:50 am

There is evidence of a LLC, probably a depression but the low could be enlongated but if so it could be a depression or storm the next 12 to 24 hrs

I would go 80/90 with this and star advisories at 5
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#106 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:52 am

very few observations at the moment. there is only one that is showing a SSW to Sw wind. unable to tell how legit that observation is.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#107 Postby sunnyday » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:55 am

D r e z e e
What barrier/low lying islands are you thinking might need to be evacuated?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#108 Postby PSUHiker31 » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:58 am

It's moving so close to Cuba that the drag from the island is probably helping to spin it up
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#109 Postby tailgater » Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:58 am

I’m not seeing anything close to a llc yet but the mid level circulation will likely work it’s way down by tonight, if the t-storms continue over the same area.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#110 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:01 pm

SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
 B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon

#111 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:01 pm

It al begins on Monday afternoon and from the first mission,there are other ones as the Sunday September 2 TCPOD shows.

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 02 SEPTEMBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA DEPARTING KLAL AT 04/2030Z.
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ATL: INVEST 91L - RECON

#112 Postby tropicwatch » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:02 pm

716
NOUS42 KNHC 021630
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 02 SEPTEMBER 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-101

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (APPROACHING SE GULF OF MEXICO)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 03/1500Z A. 03/2200Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. NOAA2 0207A CYCLONE
C. 03/1230Z C. 03/2030Z
D. 24.7N 80.7W D. 25.6N 82.1W
E. 03/1430Z TO 03/1900Z E. 03/2130Z TO 04/0130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 72 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 42
A. 03/2330Z,04/0530Z A. 04/1000Z
B. AFXXX 0307A CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0407A CYCLONE
C. 03/2130Z C. 04/0830Z
D. 25.8N 82.5W D. 27.1N 84.8W
E. 03/2300Z TO 04/0530Z E. 04/0930Z TO 04/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE - TEAL 73
A. 04/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0507A CYCLONE
C. 04/1000Z
D. 27.3N 85.3W
E. 04/1100Z TO 04/1730Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS
A THREAT.
B. ANOTHER POSSIBLE NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
IN SUSPECT AREA DEPARTING KLAL AT 04/2030Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: A NOAA 49 G-IV SYNOPTIC
SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND HURRICANE NORMAN FOR 05/0000Z
DEPARTING PHNL AT 04/1730Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES ON NORMAN AT
05/1800Z.

$$
SEF

NNNN
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - RECON

#113 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:03 pm

Already there has been a thread since Saturday.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#114 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:09 pm

MississippiWx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.


yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.


You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.



the last 30 min or so.. starting to show more and more ene motion the low level Cu clouds along the coast.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#115 Postby stormlover2013 » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:16 pm

Ukmet rides it down from new Iberia down upper Texas coast then to corpus
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#116 Postby sphelps8681 » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:19 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
MississippiWx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
yeah it looks like it. but need a little more motion than that to be conclusive. also watching all the low level clouds along the coast.


You'll need to look at the highest resolution you can, but look underneath the cirrus clouds just to the east of the blow-up over Cuba. The low level clouds are racing from the WSW.



the last 30 min or so.. starting to show more and more ene motion the low level Cu clouds along the coast.

https://image.ibb.co/cOXzpe/7777777777.gif


So what is the meaing behind what you just said.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#117 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:20 pm

MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.


Maybe I'm going blind but I can't see it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#118 Postby MississippiWx » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:22 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:
MississippiWx wrote::uarrow: Aric, you can see the low level clouds in that part of Cuba starting to get sucked to the east on the close-up.


Maybe I'm going blind but I can't see it.


You can't see it on the gif Aric just posted? If not, maybe you are going blind. Lol.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Recon

#119 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:22 pm

Gonzo will fly late Monday afternoon to sample the upper enviroment.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion

#120 Postby Clearcloudz » Sun Sep 02, 2018 12:23 pm

ASCAT scan shows a weak circulation on the south west edge.

Image
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