ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

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alan1961
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#1141 Postby alan1961 » Fri May 25, 2018 1:17 pm

tolakram wrote:
alan1961 wrote:Hi people

can anyone tell me whats happening with the floaters and goest east
sat imagery..its all changed and i can't seem to access it.

can anyone provide any links to alternative imagery please.

sorry if this is in the wrong thread/section and has been mention before.

Thanks


Use this page instead for the best loops: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... 2-48-1-100 Link on the left, mesoscale floaters.

This page is decent: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... opical.asp

As is this: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/


Ok thanks Tolakram
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon Discussion

#1142 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2018 1:22 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:
cycloneye wrote:So far,Levi Cowan's recon section is not working to see the graphics of plane and data.


I got you all:

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... ing=cesium

Hope that helps some.


Thank you.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#1143 Postby PSUHiker31 » Fri May 25, 2018 1:23 pm

tolakram wrote:
PSUHiker31 wrote:I just don't like that double low the GFS is showing while it is in the central Gulf. It is pretty clear that the model is still having feedback issues and it is affecting the projection for Alberto


What is a feedback issue? It might simply be showing that center consolidation will be slow, it has done better a showing organization issues in the past.


Notice how the Euro doesn't have issues with resolving spurious vortices that swing the storm into aberrant directions
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon Discussion

#1144 Postby chaser1 » Fri May 25, 2018 1:23 pm

tarheelprogrammer wrote:
cycloneye wrote:So far,Levi Cowan's recon section is not working to see the graphics of plane and data.


I got you all:

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... ing=cesium

Hope that helps some.


Thanks! I was looking for the same. Though the graphics finally loaded, the program is seemingly pretty "heavy" and took forever to load on my desktop. Looks like the plane is nearly at the latitude of approx. Key West, and heading south.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#1145 Postby gatorcane » Fri May 25, 2018 1:24 pm

NWS Miami just issued a flood watch for South Florida due to Alberto rains despite Alberto passing well to the west of South Florida:

.UPDATE...
Flood watch has been posted effective 12z Saturday through 0z
Monday. Widespread rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches, with locally
much higher amounts, are expected, and this may lead to flooding.
Additional information on this watch and subsequent forecast
updates will come later later this afternoon, but for now, see
MIAFFAMFL for information.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.ph ... glossary=0
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#1146 Postby chris_fit » Fri May 25, 2018 1:25 pm

No slowdown/stall on this Euro Run
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#1147 Postby crimi481 » Fri May 25, 2018 1:25 pm

May be hybrid sub trop mess for Florida. Mat day...may day
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#1148 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2018 1:26 pm

URNT15 KNHC 251824
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 07 20180525
180930 2508N 08728W 4462 06733 0330 -128 -181 214003 004 /// /// 03
181000 2506N 08727W 4463 06730 0329 -129 -195 163002 003 /// /// 03
181030 2503N 08726W 4465 06727 0328 -131 -228 128003 004 /// /// 03
181100 2501N 08725W 4463 06729 0328 -132 -206 123003 004 /// /// 03
181130 2458N 08724W 4464 06728 0328 -130 -211 107002 004 /// /// 03
181200 2455N 08723W 4464 06729 0328 -129 -206 084002 003 /// /// 03
181230 2453N 08722W 4461 06734 0329 -128 -188 109004 005 /// /// 03
181300 2450N 08721W 4462 06733 0329 -132 -196 109006 006 /// /// 03
181330 2447N 08720W 4464 06729 0329 -132 -189 106007 007 /// /// 03
181400 2445N 08719W 4464 06728 0328 -130 -203 083006 006 /// /// 03
181430 2442N 08718W 4462 06731 0328 -129 -200 090007 007 /// /// 03
181500 2440N 08717W 4464 06728 0328 -124 -183 090005 006 /// /// 03
181530 2437N 08716W 4463 06728 0328 -124 -170 084004 005 /// /// 03
181600 2434N 08715W 4464 06729 0328 -121 -164 162001 004 /// /// 03
181630 2432N 08714W 4465 06728 0328 -121 -158 274005 006 /// /// 03
181700 2429N 08713W 4463 06730 0328 -122 -157 286007 010 /// /// 03
181730 2426N 08712W 4463 06730 0328 -123 -147 284008 011 /// /// 03
181800 2424N 08711W 4462 06732 0329 -124 -146 347001 006 /// /// 03
181830 2421N 08710W 4464 06730 0330 -125 -144 093004 004 /// /// 03
181900 2421N 08710W 4464 06730 0330 -125 -145 077005 006 /// /// 03
$$
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#1149 Postby tolakram » Fri May 25, 2018 1:26 pm

chris_fit wrote:No slowdown/stall on this Euro Run


There is, just between time points.

Animation of 12Z

Image
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#1150 Postby chris_fit » Fri May 25, 2018 1:31 pm

tolakram wrote:
chris_fit wrote:No slowdown/stall on this Euro Run


There is, just between time points.

Animation of 12Z

[img]https://i.imgur.com/Qh5LPY7.gif[img]


Ahh ok. I wouldn't really consider that a major stall though, like some of the previous runs have shown. Nice graphic. Do you have any for forecast rainfall totals?
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#1151 Postby tolakram » Fri May 25, 2018 1:32 pm

988mb landfall

Image
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#1152 Postby tolakram » Fri May 25, 2018 1:33 pm

chris_fit wrote:
tolakram wrote:
chris_fit wrote:No slowdown/stall on this Euro Run


There is, just between time points.

Animation of 12Z

[img]https://i.imgur.com/Qh5LPY7.gif[img]


Ahh ok. I wouldn't really consider that a major stall though, like some of the previous runs have shown. Nice graphic. Do you have any for forecast rainfall totals?


Lots of options on their web page: https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018052512/usa/sea-level-pressure/20180529-0600z.html
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon Discussion

#1153 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2018 1:35 pm

Levi Cowan site is now working.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#1154 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2018 1:37 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#1155 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2018 1:39 pm

URNT15 KNHC 251837
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 08 20180525
181930 2416N 08708W 4463 06730 0330 -121 -147 080005 006 /// /// 03
182000 2413N 08707W 4463 06731 0331 -119 -148 093004 004 /// /// 03
182030 2411N 08705W 4463 06732 0330 -118 -152 095006 008 /// /// 03
182100 2408N 08704W 4463 06732 0330 -118 -170 087010 011 /// /// 03
182130 2405N 08703W 4463 06732 0331 -115 -205 103012 012 /// /// 03
182200 2403N 08702W 4464 06730 0330 -115 -208 110012 013 /// /// 03
182230 2400N 08701W 4464 06729 0328 -119 -198 105011 012 /// /// 03
182300 2358N 08700W 4463 06730 0328 -120 -180 109009 010 /// /// 03
182330 2355N 08658W 4462 06731 0328 -121 -151 122010 010 /// /// 03
182400 2353N 08657W 4463 06729 0328 -122 -139 126011 012 /// /// 03
182430 2350N 08656W 4470 06718 0326 -100 -104 101010 014 /// /// 03
182500 2348N 08655W 4466 06725 0327 -102 //// 084010 013 /// /// 05
182530 2345N 08654W 4463 06727 0326 -102 //// 087011 013 /// /// 05
182600 2343N 08653W 4463 06722 0323 -107 //// 074011 012 /// /// 05
182630 2340N 08652W 4466 06720 0324 -116 //// 085014 015 /// /// 05
182700 2338N 08650W 4461 06727 0323 -111 //// 082015 019 /// /// 05
182730 2336N 08649W 4461 06727 0323 -091 -091 084013 018 /// /// 03
182800 2334N 08647W 4466 06719 0323 -100 //// 103011 013 /// /// 05
182830 2333N 08645W 4460 06730 0323 -118 //// 113011 012 /// /// 05
182900 2331N 08643W 4463 06725 0323 -125 //// 116011 012 /// /// 05
$$
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#1156 Postby lrak » Fri May 25, 2018 1:43 pm

We usually never have surf during late May-Sept due to death ridge. Oh no I jinxed it please no death ridge this summer. Need my fun exercise not peddling down a street with dogs chasing you :P
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#1157 Postby ROCK » Fri May 25, 2018 1:45 pm

12 NAVGEM looks much like the EURO and CMC..seems like a consensus to me...NGOM coast
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#1158 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri May 25, 2018 1:47 pm

I'm seeing this as the center. I'm not an Meteorologist, but the more I look at the loop, the more I see it. Not the convection-less swirl to the SE.

Image
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#1159 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2018 1:48 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 251842
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 09 20180525
182930 2328N 08642W 4462 06726 0324 -122 -130 112010 012 /// /// 05
183000 2326N 08641W 4460 06732 0325 -123 -128 111010 011 /// /// 05
183030 2324N 08640W 4463 06728 0325 -122 -131 110008 010 /// /// 03
183100 2321N 08639W 4466 06728 0329 -121 -157 122008 008 /// /// 03
183130 2318N 08638W 4466 06731 0332 -120 -161 116007 008 /// /// 03
183200 2316N 08638W 4464 06727 0328 -117 -158 111008 008 /// /// 03
183230 2313N 08637W 4464 06728 0326 -114 -125 099009 010 /// /// 03
183300 2311N 08636W 4465 06728 0327 -111 -114 090007 008 /// /// 03
183330 2308N 08635W 4462 06731 0327 -120 -168 102008 010 /// /// 03
183400 2305N 08634W 4464 06728 0328 -121 -158 103009 010 /// /// 03
183430 2303N 08633W 4464 06726 0326 -115 -167 094008 009 /// /// 03
183500 2300N 08632W 4463 06726 0323 -117 -159 095010 010 /// /// 03
183530 2257N 08631W 4464 06722 0322 -116 -165 094009 009 /// /// 03
183600 2255N 08631W 4464 06721 0321 -115 -167 081008 008 /// /// 03
183630 2252N 08630W 4462 06724 0321 -115 -167 077008 008 /// /// 03
183700 2250N 08629W 4464 06721 0321 -115 -164 074008 009 /// /// 03
183730 2247N 08628W 4464 06722 0321 -115 -168 078008 008 /// /// 03
183800 2244N 08627W 4465 06718 0321 -115 -161 085009 009 /// /// 03
183830 2242N 08626W 4463 06723 0322 -115 -163 092010 010 /// /// 03
183900 2239N 08625W 4464 06721 0321 -112 -165 086010 011 /// /// 03
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Recon

#1160 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 25, 2018 1:52 pm

Image
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