ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[gatorcane]

I'm seeing this as the center. I'm not an Meteorologist, but the more I look at the loop, the more I see it. Not the convection-less swirl to the SE.

https://preview.ibb.co/cJyd88/Untitled.png

That looks like some kind of mid-level eddy. I think there is a very broad center (which I circled) with various swirls rotating around it:

[caneman]

Considering it's present state, it looks like the real news is all of the rain. Florida has been hammered for the last 10 days and looking at radar.... Not good. Many rivers are near Crest already

[Evil Jeremy]

I'm seeing this as the center. I'm not an Meteorologist, but the more I look at the loop, the more I see it. Not the convection-less swirl to the SE.

https://preview.ibb.co/cJyd88/Untitled.png

I'm also not a meteorologist, but I think that's the MLC, which is trying to work down to the surface.

[SouthFloridawx]

It's also moving a lot more quickly off to the NE.

I'm seeing this as the center. I'm not an Meteorologist, but the more I look at the loop, the more I see it. Not the convection-less swirl to the SE.
https://preview.ibb.co/cJyd88/Untitled.png

I'm also not a meteorologist, but I think that's the MLC, which is trying to work down to the surface.

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251856
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 10 20180525
183930 2237N 08623W 4464 06721 0320 -110 -166 083009 011 /// /// 03
184000 2234N 08622W 4462 06723 0321 -115 -167 094008 009 /// /// 03
184030 2231N 08621W 4463 06722 0321 -112 -162 109006 007 /// /// 03
184100 2229N 08620W 4463 06723 0321 -114 -158 112005 006 /// /// 03
184130 2226N 08619W 4464 06722 0321 -115 -153 089005 006 /// /// 03
184200 2224N 08618W 4463 06723 0321 -119 -146 093003 005 /// /// 03
184230 2221N 08617W 4464 06721 0321 -120 -141 071002 003 /// /// 03
184300 2219N 08615W 4461 06723 0318 -120 -126 164003 005 /// /// 03
184330 2216N 08614W 4465 06712 0313 -121 -123 155003 005 /// /// 05
184400 2213N 08613W 4463 06711 0309 -121 -123 136003 003 /// /// 03
184430 2211N 08612W 4463 06711 0308 -123 -125 141004 005 /// /// 05
184500 2208N 08611W 4464 06707 0307 -121 -124 176004 005 /// /// 03
184530 2206N 08610W 4467 06702 0307 -119 -126 153002 004 /// /// 03
184600 2203N 08609W 4463 06708 0307 -116 -129 115003 004 /// /// 03
184630 2201N 08608W 4463 06708 0307 -116 -131 093005 006 /// /// 03
184700 2158N 08606W 4464 06707 0307 -115 -128 082006 006 /// /// 03
184730 2155N 08605W 4464 06707 0307 -115 -129 076005 006 /// /// 03
184800 2153N 08604W 4464 06706 0306 -115 -129 113003 004 /// /// 03
184830 2150N 08603W 4463 06708 0307 -115 -127 158002 004 /// /// 03
184900 2148N 08602W 4463 06708 0307 -115 -129 218004 006 /// /// 03

[Aric Dunn]

I'm seeing this as the center. I'm not an Meteorologist, but the more I look at the loop, the more I see it. Not the convection-less swirl to the SE.

All in the mid levels. pay attention to near the NE of the Yucatan. Also if that llc/vort starts to develop convection. either way a quick reformation and or motion north as this upper trough/low bottoms out and starts to negatively tilt. its happening pretty quickly now.

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and08.html

[Hammy]

On the one hand I'm surprised this developed as soon as it did, but I think this could inhibit future intensification as well since now that there's an established circulation and apparent increasing distance from the MLC (with a stiff flow out of the east beneath it) it won't be able to consolidate much further.

[Steve H.]

Kinda surprised that the nhc classified this Alberto as ill defined as it is, but heck, they name winter storms now Nevertheless, it should develop during the weekend and could get close to hurricane status if he encounters favorable conditions for a time. Hoping the rain gets pulled west away from east central Florida!

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251903
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 11 20180525
184930 2145N 08601W 4466 06703 0306 -112 -128 244005 007 /// /// 03
185000 2142N 08600W 4463 06708 0305 -115 -121 219000 004 /// /// 03
185030 2140N 08558W 4464 06704 0304 -115 -123 074001 001 /// /// 03
185100 2137N 08557W 4462 06707 0303 -112 -122 122004 006 /// /// 03
185130 2135N 08556W 4463 06704 0304 -109 -119 119007 008 /// /// 03
185200 2132N 08555W 4463 06703 0303 -110 -114 128007 008 /// /// 03
185230 2129N 08554W 4464 06703 0303 -110 -114 117008 009 /// /// 03
185300 2127N 08553W 4464 06702 0303 -111 -121 131005 007 /// /// 03
185330 2124N 08552W 4465 06702 0304 -114 -119 232004 005 /// /// 03
185400 2122N 08551W 4463 06707 0306 -116 -118 259004 007 /// /// 03
185430 2119N 08550W 4467 06703 0308 -115 -121 295006 008 /// /// 03
185500 2117N 08548W 4466 06696 0307 -099 -103 294011 015 /// /// 03
185530 2114N 08547W 4478 06679 0305 -108 -126 297020 022 /// /// 03
185600 2112N 08546W 4466 06699 0304 -107 -116 316016 019 /// /// 03
185630 2110N 08545W 4463 06708 0306 -092 //// 020009 019 /// /// 05
185700 2108N 08543W 4458 06713 0302 -096 //// 338009 011 /// /// 05
185730 2106N 08542W 4467 06697 0304 -101 -113 315011 013 /// /// 03
185800 2104N 08540W 4463 06705 0304 -108 -114 334015 016 /// /// 03
185830 2103N 08539W 4462 06709 0304 -105 -109 341014 017 /// /// 03
185900 2101N 08538W 4466 06701 0304 -107 -114 354012 015 /// /// 03
$$

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

Plane decending.

URNT15 KNHC 251911
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 12 20180525
185930 2059N 08537W 4464 06704 0305 -101 -103 301005 011 /// /// 03
190000 2057N 08535W 4461 06709 0305 -100 //// 302007 008 /// /// 05
190030 2055N 08534W 4464 06704 0305 -105 //// 308010 011 /// /// 05
190100 2053N 08533W 4523 06615 0309 -102 -108 314014 016 /// /// 05
190130 2051N 08531W 4672 06369 0297 -085 -094 335017 017 /// /// 03
190200 2049N 08530W 4830 06110 0282 -074 -082 335013 016 /// /// 05
190230 2048N 08528W 5026 05800 0265 -060 -062 316021 024 /// /// 05
190300 2046N 08527W 5231 05484 0246 -038 -056 310025 026 /// /// 03
190330 2044N 08526W 5421 05201 0230 -025 -059 304024 026 /// /// 03
190400 2042N 08524W 5605 04937 0044 -005 -049 304023 024 /// /// 03
190430 2040N 08523W 5785 04683 0042 +012 -027 304024 025 /// /// 03
190500 2038N 08522W 5983 04409 0047 +025 +003 314021 025 /// /// 03
190530 2036N 08521W 6171 04159 0062 +032 +013 325021 021 /// /// 03
190600 2035N 08519W 6339 03930 0086 +045 +041 344015 022 /// /// 03
190630 2033N 08518W 6524 03702 0085 +053 +051 345013 021 /// /// 03
190700 2031N 08517W 6693 03485 0086 +060 //// 000012 014 /// /// 05
190730 2030N 08516W 6893 03246 //// +067 //// 341015 016 /// /// 05
190800 2028N 08515W 7084 03018 0083 +079 +067 337011 014 /// /// 03
190830 2026N 08513W 7281 02791 0091 +088 +069 000012 013 /// /// 03
190900 2025N 08512W 7538 02503 0095 +101 +089 359011 012 /// /// 03

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

Plane is in operational altutud.Now we will see what Alberto is in structure.

[beoumont]

Will history repeat itself? Below is video of recon. plane (WC 130 H) flying along the coast , through the "eye" of T S Alberto at East Destin, FL in 1994, at apporoximately 1500 ft. altitude. Landfall pressure 993 mb, max winds 65 mph.

[youtube]https://youtu.be/4bu4EuT85_c[/youtube]

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251923
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 13 20180525
190930 2023N 08511W 7760 02260 //// +109 //// 351007 010 /// /// 05
191000 2022N 08510W 7980 02025 //// +121 //// 352004 008 /// /// 05
191030 2020N 08509W 8199 01798 //// +127 //// 038005 008 /// /// 05
191100 2019N 08508W 8385 01601 0108 +140 //// 099008 011 /// /// 05
191130 2017N 08507W 8452 01524 0078 +151 +143 089003 010 /// /// 05
191200 2016N 08506W 8425 01553 0083 +156 +131 278001 002 /// /// 03
191230 2014N 08505W 8432 01545 0084 +153 +128 247002 003 /// /// 03
191300 2013N 08504W 8432 01546 0083 +155 +129 257006 008 /// /// 03
191330 2012N 08503W 8434 01543 0083 +152 +135 264010 011 023 000 03
191400 2010N 08502W 8428 01550 0088 +145 +141 249009 010 023 000 00
191430 2009N 08501W 8427 01548 0082 +154 +129 250012 013 023 000 00
191500 2007N 08500W 8433 01547 0076 +165 +129 236015 017 021 000 03
191530 2006N 08501W 8423 01556 0074 +168 +125 232014 015 022 000 00
191600 2005N 08502W 8433 01543 0073 +170 +125 244013 014 022 001 00
191630 2004N 08503W 8432 01548 0076 +170 +125 244012 012 020 000 00
191700 2003N 08504W 8425 01553 0076 +170 +123 246012 012 020 000 00
191730 2002N 08505W 8431 01548 0077 +170 +121 244012 012 019 000 03
191800 2001N 08507W 8429 01553 0079 +170 +120 244011 012 018 000 00
191830 2000N 08508W 8428 01553 0079 +170 +118 249010 011 016 000 00
191900 1959N 08509W 8433 01551 0079 +170 +117 253011 012 018 000 00
$$

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

There are WSW winds in last set.

[cycloneye]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251931
AF307 0101A ALBERTO HDOB 14 20180525
191930 1958N 08510W 8428 01556 0082 +170 +116 257010 011 018 000 03
192000 1956N 08511W 8426 01557 0082 +168 +115 263009 009 017 000 00
192030 1955N 08513W 8434 01551 0086 +165 +117 268008 009 018 000 00
192100 1954N 08514W 8427 01557 0086 +164 +118 257007 008 016 001 03
192130 1953N 08515W 8431 01553 0087 +164 +118 250007 007 016 000 00
192200 1952N 08516W 8433 01553 0088 +162 +126 247009 009 016 000 00
192230 1951N 08517W 8429 01557 0086 +161 +142 235009 010 017 000 00
192300 1950N 08519W 8429 01556 0087 +160 +140 232008 009 017 000 00
192330 1949N 08520W 8429 01557 0088 +157 +138 228007 007 016 000 00
192400 1947N 08521W 8430 01554 0087 +157 +149 211007 008 016 000 00
192430 1946N 08522W 8428 01557 0086 +156 +155 207007 007 017 000 01
192500 1945N 08523W 8433 01552 //// +156 //// 210007 007 017 000 01
192530 1944N 08525W 8430 01554 0086 +158 +156 218006 006 017 000 01
192600 1943N 08526W 8429 01557 //// +159 //// 206006 006 016 000 01
192630 1942N 08527W 8433 01551 0084 +161 +154 195005 007 016 000 01
192700 1941N 08528W 8430 01557 //// +160 //// 196005 006 016 000 01
192730 1940N 08529W 8429 01556 //// +160 //// 189005 005 016 000 01
192800 1938N 08531W 8434 01549 //// +159 //// 199004 006 017 000 01
192830 1937N 08532W 8430 01553 //// +159 //// 176004 005 015 001 01
192900 1936N 08533W 8430 01554 //// +160 //// 175005 005 015 000 01
$$

[cycloneye]

[CFLHurricane]

Kinda surprised that the nhc classified this Alberto as ill defined as it is, but heck, they name winter storms now Nevertheless, it should develop during the weekend and could get close to hurricane status if he encounters favorable conditions for a time. Hoping the rain gets pulled west away from east central Florida!

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

We’ll see how far it gets pulled after I do my rain dance.