ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[stormhunter7]

Looks like recon had to climb all the way up to 700 mb, before feeling comfortable enough to penetrate the core of that convective burst. It honestly resembles a supercell on GOES-16. Good luck flying through that...

Flying through a HOT tower.... a low altitudes... not a wise decision. Better to put some air below, just incase you hit some good updrafts or downdrafts.

[cycloneye]

Mission is over.

000
URNT15 KNHC 261650
AF307 0201A ALBERTO HDOB 46 20180526
164000 2257N 08558W 6970 03158 0075 +085 +053 358016 016 012 001 00
164030 2257N 08600W 6967 03157 0072 +082 +053 357017 017 012 001 03
164100 2256N 08602W 6949 03172 0061 +082 +047 350015 017 /// /// 03
164130 2256N 08604W 6714 03449 0045 +073 +018 338013 014 /// /// 03
164200 2258N 08604W 6449 03779 0044 +052 +007 329011 012 013 000 00
164230 2300N 08604W 6207 04091 0036 +035 +008 347012 013 012 000 00
164300 2302N 08604W 5968 04409 0033 +019 -008 332011 013 010 001 03
164330 2303N 08605W 5766 04685 0026 +004 -018 332013 015 021 005 00
164400 2305N 08605W 5564 04973 0024 -004 -005 330010 015 021 007 00
164430 2307N 08605W 5392 05220 0209 -026 -032 312008 010 021 007 00
164500 2309N 08605W 5218 05481 0223 -042 -045 332008 011 013 004 05
164530 2311N 08605W 5051 05736 0239 -057 -073 324009 010 012 001 00
164600 2313N 08605W 4891 05991 0255 -068 -103 327008 010 011 001 00
164630 2315N 08606W 4748 06220 0269 -081 -138 350012 014 013 001 00
164700 2317N 08606W 4618 06437 0283 -096 -150 328011 013 015 001 00
164730 2319N 08606W 4495 06646 0295 -110 -168 318008 011 017 001 00
164800 2321N 08606W 4383 06838 0306 -127 -175 326006 007 016 001 00
164830 2323N 08606W 4280 07019 0316 -138 -212 298008 009 019 002 00
164900 2325N 08606W 4181 07197 0328 -150 -240 319002 008 019 006 00
164930 2327N 08607W 4091 07358 0336 -159 -254 265004 006 021 005 03
$$

[tolakram]

Saved loop.



Tools used:

COD loop, save animated GIF
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso-meso1-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbars=

EZGIF - Crop tool
https://ezgif.com/crop

[cycloneye]

Nest mission will depart at 5 PM EDT.

[tolakram]

12Z GFS

[Frank P]

hints of a north motion to me off the sat loops... need recon confirmation or more sat loops...

[cycloneye]

000
URNT12 KNHC 261643
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL012018
A. 26/16:27:50Z
B. 22 deg 51 min N
085 deg 13 min W
C. 925 mb 679 m
D. 23 kt
E. 202 deg 53 nm
F. 286 deg 19 kt
G. 203 deg 18 nm
H. EXTRAP 999 mb
I. 21 C / 762 m
J. 22 C / 807 m
K. 18 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 9
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF307 0201A ALBERTO OB 16
MAX FL WIND 38 KT 146 / 185 NM 15:05:30Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 925 MB

[Nimbus]

hints of a north motion to me off the sat loops... need recon confirmation or more sat loops...

Hasn't gained much latitude since sunrise and looks to be tracking about due north ATM.

[stormhunter7]

old center is completely gone now, IMO. Alberto is in the Gulf of Mexico now.

[sponger]

Here we are back at it again. And so it begins. Wondering what this season brings.

[robbielyn]

Here we are back at it again. And so it begins. Wondering what this season brings.

and a week early too.

[Aric Dunn]

Look at that nice new llc.. from here on out thigs get should be interesting.

[canefan]

Due to climatology, I don't think anyone is taking this as seriously as they should. Alberto looks like it is getting its act together in a big way. It is days away from landfall, and lot of warm water ahead of it, and lessening shear. All of that combined with a major holiday and millions on their way to the Gulf Coast.

[HurricaneBelle]

Anyone else having trouble connecting to weatherbell this morning? Looks like their server may be down.

 https://twitter.com/weatherbell/status/1000425624010412032

[gatorcane]

old center is completely gone now, IMO. Alberto is in the Gulf of Mexico now.

I agree I think it is now in the Gulf and the east motion looks to be over so should go north then NW later tomorrow as it feels the ridge. Shear also seems to be easing up some.

[robbielyn]

Look at that nice new llc.. from here on out thigs get should be interesting.

it’s beautiful! very well defined.

[Ivanhater]

Due to climatology, I don't think anyone is taking this as seriously as they should. Alberto looks like it is getting its act together in a big way. It is days away from landfall, and lot of warm water ahead of it, and lessening shear. All of that combined with a major holiday and millions on their way to the Gulf Coast.

Seeing everyone on Pensacola beach right now...you are right

[canefan]

It's the same here in Panama City Beach, and likely all over the Gulf Coast...

[Aric Dunn]

Look at that nice new llc.. from here on out thigs get should be interesting.

it’s beautiful! very well defined.

I have not been able to look at anything since late yesterday afternoon.. looks like the upper trough got up underneath it and we had the center reform per the models. just a little east of yesterdays forecast. wont change much

[northjaxpro]

Look at that nice new llc.. from here on out thigs get should be interesting.

it’s beautiful! very well defined.

Yes it is. You can see the hot towers are firing near the new center and. the llc is coming together now just off the NW tip of Cuba.