ATL: FLORENCE - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1621 Postby SFLcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 12:57 pm

Nice WSW dive through 24hrs on the EURO..
1 likes   

HurricaneEric
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 146
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2015 11:06 am
Location: Miami, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1622 Postby HurricaneEric » Fri Sep 07, 2018 12:59 pm

SFLcane wrote:Nice WSW dive through 24hrs on the EURO..


I must be blind. I’m seeing due west through 24 hrs.
1 likes   
Irene '99, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Irma '17 (storms I remember my area getting hurricane force winds/gusts).

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and shouldn't be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the experts.

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1623 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:00 pm

HurricaneEric wrote:
SFLcane wrote:Nice WSW dive through 24hrs on the EURO..


I must be blind. I’m seeing due west through 24 hrs.


Same here - due W along 25N
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1624 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Wow, much much weaker. Things are getting interesting, that's for sure.
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1625 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Weaker @ 48hrs

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
AtlanticWind
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1890
Age: 66
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 9:57 pm
Location: Plantation,Fla

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1626 Postby AtlanticWind » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Much weaker 48 hrs
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10152
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1627 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:02 pm

chris_fit wrote:
HurricaneEric wrote:
SFLcane wrote:Nice WSW dive through 24hrs on the EURO..


I must be blind. I’m seeing due west through 24 hrs.


Same here - due W along 25N


Down to @24.7 in 48 hours. @20 miles S of 00z position at this point.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1628 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:04 pm

definitely a overall wsw movment through 60 hours.

Image
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

HurricaneEric
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 146
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2015 11:06 am
Location: Miami, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1629 Postby HurricaneEric » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:04 pm

Blown Away wrote:Down to @24.7 in 48 hours.


Yes, definite WSW dip between 24 and 48 hrs. Much weaker as many have mentioned but also a tad slower too.
0 likes   
Irene '99, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Irma '17 (storms I remember my area getting hurricane force winds/gusts).

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and shouldn't be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the experts.

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10152
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1630 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:06 pm

HurricaneEric wrote:
Blown Away wrote:Down to @24.7 in 48 hours.


Yes, definite WSW dip between 24 and 48 hrs. Much weaker as many have mentioned but also a tad slower too.


Slower = Ridge builds S down the road.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1631 Postby SFLcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:06 pm

Image
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1632 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:07 pm

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1633 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:08 pm

Last run was 975mb, this one is 1004. Just a tad different.
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1634 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:08 pm

72hrs

Image
0 likes   

HurricaneEric
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 146
Age: 30
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2015 11:06 am
Location: Miami, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1635 Postby HurricaneEric » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:09 pm

Hour 72 looks to be going due W. Slight SE shift from previous 12z Euro.

Image


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
0 likes   
Irene '99, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Irma '17 (storms I remember my area getting hurricane force winds/gusts).

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and shouldn't be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the experts.

User avatar
CalmBeforeStorm
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 600
Age: 71
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 7:55 pm
Location: Stuart, Florida

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1636 Postby CalmBeforeStorm » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:09 pm

AtlanticWind wrote:Much weaker 48 hrs

A classic matchup. Climatology vs. Models. Who do you like to win?
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10152
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1637 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:09 pm

12z Euro 72 hrs... @25 miles SE of 00z...
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1638 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:12 pm

Starting to turn WNW

Image
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1639 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:14 pm

chris_fit wrote:Starting to turn WNW

Image


lol just as you posted that.. now its turned back west
Image
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3222
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1640 Postby chris_fit » Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:14 pm

96hrs

Image
0 likes   


Return to “2018”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests