ATL: FLORENCE - Models

[northjaxpro]

 https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/1038159040935849984

This tweet needs to be stressed. EVERYONE on the U.S. East Coast hopefully are keeping a vigilant watch! The southward trends continue, which really is a very concerning for sure!

[MGC]

They need to start doing some synoptic gulfstream flights. that will help a lot.

I asked this question a day or so ago. Just looked at the plan of the day for tomorrow and the Gulfstream is scheduled to make a synoptic surveillance mission Saturday evening. This should help greatly with the strength of the ridge to the north of Florence......MGC

[gatorcane]

HUGE south shift in the JMA track and it also stalls it just offshore South Carolina:

[floridasun78]

They need to start doing some synoptic gulfstream flights. that will help a lot.

I asked this question a day or so ago. Just looked at the plan of the day for tomorrow and the Gulfstream is scheduled to make a synoptic surveillance mission Saturday evening. This should help greatly with the strength of the ridge to the north of Florence......MGC

not plan untill sep 10

[xironman]

They need to start doing some synoptic gulfstream flights. that will help a lot.

I asked this question a day or so ago. Just looked at the plan of the day for tomorrow and the Gulfstream is scheduled to make a synoptic surveillance mission Saturday evening. This should help greatly with the strength of the ridge to the north of Florence......MGC

not plan untill sep 10

The first on is at 0z which is tomorrow evening

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC
SURVEILLANCE MISSIONS AROUND HURRICANE FLORENCE
FOR 10/0000Z AND 10/1200Z.

[edu2703]

[Spacecoast]

12z GEFS, UK, and Euro Ensembles....

[dukeblue219]

I asked this question a day or so ago. Just looked at the plan of the day for tomorrow and the Gulfstream is scheduled to make a synoptic surveillance mission Saturday evening. This should help greatly with the strength of the ridge to the north of Florence......MGC

not plan untill sep 10

The first on is at 0z which is tomorrow evening

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC
SURVEILLANCE MISSIONS AROUND HURRICANE FLORENCE
FOR 10/0000Z AND 10/1200Z.

Well, from your quote Sept 10 at 0z is the evening of the 9th, which is Sunday. But, looking at the plan, I think you meant to quote this part, so it would indeed be Saturday evening.

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE FLORENCE
FLIGHT ONE -- NOAA 49
A. 09/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0106A FLORENCE
C. 08/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

[floridasun78]

who open gate? too many system two could affect people this what we call hurr peck alot talk this was going weak hurr season that not case now i only take one at time

[Hurricaneman]

That tonight they do the first of many environmental sampling’s for the models, will help in zoning in on landfall area and possible impacts

Oops, I meant tomorrow night

[AutoPenalti]

GFS 18z should probably begin the debate about how many shifts we will continue to see for the next 3 days.

[chaser1]

who open gate? too many system two could affect people this what we call hurr peck alot talk this was going weak hurr season that not case now i only take one at time

I mean even the IRS allow people to do income averaging, right? Why can't we just spread all these systems out just a little bit. Heck, at one a month we'd have something to watch and talk about well into Winter

[Hurricane Andrew]

GFS 18z should probably begin the debate about how many shifts we will continue to see for the next 3 days.

Well, I have tomorrow off thanks to a swap, so counting today, 3.



Oh, you meant model shifts?

[Bocadude85]

GFS 18z should probably begin the debate about how many shifts we will continue to see for the next 3 days.

Well looking at the 18z NAM steering..the 18z GFS could be interesting..

[AxaltaRacing24]

GFS 18z should probably begin the debate about how many shifts we will continue to see for the next 3 days.

Well looking at the 18z NAM steering..the 18z GFS could be interesting..

What has changed on the NAM?

[gatorcane]

NAM has shifted south with ridge to the north:

[gatorcane]

Happy hour GFS is running. At 6 hours already slightly south of 12Z

[caneseddy]

NAM has shifted south with ridge to the north:

Am I wrong in seeing that the ridge is flattening more E-W on that image?

[AxaltaRacing24]

NAM has shifted south with ridge to the north:

Am I wrong in seeing that the ridge is flattening more E-W on that image?

no

[StormyWaters93]

NAM has shifted south with ridge to the north:

Am I wrong in seeing that the ridge is flattening more E-W on that image?

Someone earlier in one of the threads said to watch and see if the ridge flattened more E-W. I don't remember who is was though...

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