ATL: FLORENCE - Models

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Hurricane Andrew
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1761 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:36 pm

gatorcane wrote:Happy hour GFS is running. At 6 hours already slightly south of 12Z

And even weaker
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1762 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:38 pm

Same position at 24 hours:

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1763 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:43 pm

Looks like more ridging already on the 18Z GFS through 48 hours.

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1764 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:45 pm

gatorcane wrote:Looks like more ridging already on the 18Z GFS through 42 hours.

The GFS is keeping Florence more west due to 94L helping in strengthening the ridge, 94L is bad news when it comes to Florence
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1765 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:47 pm

Appears to be a tiny bit sw than the previous run.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1766 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:50 pm

http://wx.graphics/models/gfs_florence.png

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1767 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:51 pm

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Appears to be a tiny bit sw than the previous run.

About 20 or 30miles but that could make a huge difference between a landfall in Charleston or Jacksonville in the long run so this could be important
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1768 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:54 pm

stair stepping..

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1769 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:55 pm

Ridge actually a tiny bit east at HR78, might have implications down the line. We shall see.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1770 Postby lando » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:56 pm

Very confused as to whether 94L would "pump the ridge" or open up an alley to escape?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1771 Postby chaser1 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:58 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Happy hour GFS is running. At 6 hours already slightly south of 12Z

And even weaker


You must be mistaken. It cant be GFS happy hour? I don't have a cold Michelob Light Cactus in my hand yet :wink:
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1772 Postby hohnywx » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:58 pm

GFS moving faster than Euro...at 84 hours, the Euro was at 60W whereas the GFS at 78/hours appears to be at 63W. Also, the GFS has the storm much stronger.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1773 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 07, 2018 4:59 pm

Uh oh, ridge axis flatter E-W at 96 hours
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1774 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:01 pm

Cruising..

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1775 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:01 pm

I suppose you could call this a trend.

Image
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1776 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:02 pm

tolakram wrote:I suppose you could call this a trend.

Image


lol just a little bit .. :P
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1777 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:04 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1778 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:08 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1779 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:08 pm

i think south tend have end we hope but what we seen high have no tend weakling only getting stronger
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models

#1780 Postby pgoss11 » Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:08 pm

18Z GFS not caving to the southern solution it seems.
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