ATL: FLORENCE - Models

[xtyphooncyclonex]

Georgia it is... from the CMC

[floridasun78]

[img]https://imgur.com/Tc6fUe8.png[/ img]

i dont see any weakness

[Raebie]

Woah cmc

Can someone post it or at least say why everyone is freaking out? TIA

[supercane4867]

00z GFS has landfall pressure around 930mb

[tolakram]

Escape route opening up at hour 102 around the NE?

No, if anything the ridge is stronger. Remember the colors are meaningless here, just the lines.

[AxaltaRacing24]

[meriland29]

All I can say is wow. Landfall early friday

[TheDreamTraveler]

Looking like another North Carolina landfall from the GFS. Will be interesting to see how much the euro has changed later tonight. I still think the GFS is too far east personally.

[tolakram]

[Hurricaneman]

[img]https://imgur.com/JoFWxsV.png[/ img]

Savannah this run of the Canadian, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Euro shows the same result

[SouthFLTropics]

CMC takes the left hook into the Central Georgia Coast again. My big concern on the GFS is it’s knack for underestimating ridge strength in the mid term. We’ve already seen Florence defy the previous runs of the GFS and keep chugging west.

[meriland29]

CMC ends up south

[SFLcane]

GFS still trending south of 18z

[Hurricaneman]

GFS still trending south of 18z

It’s also breaking down the ridge unlike the Euro, UKMET and Canadian so it might be the GFS bias of breaking down ridges too fast

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

Going to be a nail-biter by early this upcoming week. My thoughts and prayers are with everyone on the East Coast, especially in the SE.

[txwatcher91]

The CMC run has nearly the same landfall spot as the 12z run earlier today. In summary here are the changes so far tonight.
GFS - NC hit same as previous run.
ICON - Outer Banks of NC heading north, a shift north.
CMC - Same landfall as 12z run.

[Hammy]

Honestly I've been giving the CMC a much closer look than normal--it seems like it's been ahead of the curve (no pun intended) on the model trends with Florence over the last several days..

[SouthFLTropics]

Anyone seen any UKMET 00z run yet???

[Aric Dunn]

Honestly I've been giving the CMC a much closer look than normal--it seems like it's been ahead of the curve (no pun intended) on the model trends with Florence over the last several days..

currently it appears to be doing well with current motion of FLO

[Blown Away]

00z GEM/CMC