ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
I can see why its subtropical was down at a wedding in Ft. Myers. Wedding time was 6:15 and outdoors and is was chilly out. It was 67 degrees!! The end of May and 67 degrees!!. That is unheard of for this time of year.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
northjaxpro wrote:Good morning NDG. At the beach this Memorial holiday weekend I see. Be safe out there!
Thanks, the gulf was fairly calm yesterday because of the offshore winds but today will be a different story, you bet we will not be getting in it. Waiting for some daylight so that I can walk out there to see the current conditions of it, swells should have started coming in by now.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
now most of the gulf coast of florida under TS warning.
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Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting.![Very Happy :D](./images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif)
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
caneman wrote:I can see why its subtropical was down at a wedding in Ft. Myers. Wedding time was 6:15 and outdoors and is was chilly out. It was 67 degrees!! The end of May and 67 degrees!!. That is unheard of for this time of year.
Same thing here in Venice Beach last night when I went outside for a walk at the beach, it was 69 degrees and breezy making it very chilly but this morning the temps have gone up and so have the dewpoints.
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- sittingduck
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
Yep caneman. I had to put a sweater on last night. NDG hope we stay in the dry pocket but concerned that the big band coming up the east coast will be pulled over us as alberto moves out
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
sittingduck wrote:Yep caneman. I had to put a sweater on last night. NDG hope we stay in the dry pocket but concerned that the big band coming up the east coast will be pulled over us as alberto moves out
06z GFS shows the dry air wrapping around the SE side of the storm over this area later today as Alberto tracks towards the Panhandle but it shows the moisture to return tomorrow night through the rest of the week. I'm hoping the see the sunset today
![Cool 8-)](./images/smilies/icon_cool.gif)
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models
6Z GFS shifted back west a tad. I bet the 12Z Euro does too. Always seems to be a bit of diurnal shifting in the models
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
sittingduck wrote:Yep caneman. I had to put a sweater on last night. NDG hope we stay in the dry pocket but concerned that the big band coming up the east coast will be pulled over us as alberto moves out
Yep. I talked about that very long band a few posts back. It all has to rotate through. That dry slot the Jax NWS mets talked about earlier may not materialize or if it does, it will be short-lived.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
NDG wrote:caneman wrote:I can see why its subtropical was down at a wedding in Ft. Myers. Wedding time was 6:15 and outdoors and is was chilly out. It was 67 degrees!! The end of May and 67 degrees!!. That is unheard of for this time of year.
Same thing here in Venice Beach last night when I went outside for a walk at the beach, it was 69 degrees and breezy making it very chilly but this morning the temps have gone up and so have the dewpoints.
Back home to Indian Rocks Beach this morning where it is pouring out.
Hoping that dry slot pans out and maybe have a nice day tomorrow.
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- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
I'm glad this looks like it will stay at storm status. Being in the bullseye a day from landfall would be real bad if this was September. ![Cool 8-)](./images/smilies/icon_cool.gif)
![Cool 8-)](./images/smilies/icon_cool.gif)
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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
The scene this morning at Venice beach, swells starting to come in, no rain a the moment but some nasty cells will be rotating in shortly.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/IPKMvJV.jpg)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/IPKMvJV.jpg)
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- ObsessedMiami
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
So far here in Miami, there hasn’t been many heavy squalls. Mostly light rain punctuated by moderate bands. Most of the heavy stuff is east over towards the Bahamas SO FAR.
With Alberto tracking east, wondering if “the comma” will mostly miss SFL tonight and tomorrow. Either way, don’t think the 4-5 inches of rain will materialize here.
With Alberto tracking east, wondering if “the comma” will mostly miss SFL tonight and tomorrow. Either way, don’t think the 4-5 inches of rain will materialize here.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
I believe the NNW heading has started, recon is approaching the LLC so lets see if it confirms it.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/Xy2fDlT.gif)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/Xy2fDlT.gif)
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
Jelff wrote:Here is a Google + GIS map for Alberto. Each time you open the map or turn on a GIS (Geographical Information System) overlay, you will see the most recent data that is hosted on federal GIS servers. You can turn on/off and restack over a dozen data layers.
When the map opens the dots you see are stream gages. This layer is ‘on top’ and therefore clickable. If you click a gage you will see a display with all the attribute data the GIS server has for the thing that you clicked. If you follow the link in that display, you will see NOAA’s graph for that gage with actual and forecast water levels. The color of the stream gage dot represents the seriousness of any current flooding.
For the map legend and more information to help you get the most benefit from the map, please click “Map tips” in the upper left corner.
Map link:
https://mappingsupport.com/p/gmap4.php? ... ricane.txt
Very very cool!!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Gulf Coast: Opal '95 Georges '98 / So Fla: Katrina '05 Wilma '05 Irma '17
Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
panamatropicwatch wrote:Recent Sat images look like the system is starting the nnw movement.
The convection is being sheared NNW away from the partially exposed LLC which should be visible shortly.
Good news as the sheared presentation should limit intensification.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
ObsessedMiami wrote:So far here in Miami, there hasn’t been many heavy squalls. Mostly light rain punctuated by moderate bands. Most of the heavy stuff is east over towards the Bahamas SO FAR.
With Alberto tracking east, wondering if “the comma” will mostly miss SFL tonight and tomorrow. Either way, don’t think the 4-5 inches of rain will materialize here.
I agree, it looks like the storm tracking so far east has been a blessing in disguise for S FL. If the storm was 100 miles west Miami would be getting dumped on right now. TWC seems to think that blob of rain east of Miami is going to break off and not actually rotate around the storm, not sure I entirely am buying it. Think NE FL gets the rain S. Fla misses out on when the storm turns left.
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- tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
Hopefully everything goes good with their flight and they can stay out there for a couple of passes through the center.
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Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
By looking at the recon's path so far I guess the NHC thought that the LLC was further south, extrap pressure of 999mb so far.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/mPQuMZa.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/mPQuMZa.png)
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
NDG wrote:I believe the NNW heading has started, recon is approaching the LLC so lets see if it confirms it.
It’s quite evident now it’s turning nw. i think it will make landfall just west of pc
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Robbielyn McCrary
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting.![Very Happy :D](./images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif)
I know just about enough to sound like I know what I'm talking about sometimes. But for your safety please follow the nhc for truly professional forecasting.
![Very Happy :D](./images/smilies/icon_biggrin.gif)
Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm
This is the lowest pressure they have found so far, near 26.5N & 84.25W
112130 2630N 08415W 8430 01458 9968 +178 +138 249015 016 017 001 00
112130 2630N 08415W 8430 01458 9968 +178 +138 249015 016 017 001 00
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