ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

[Aric Dunn]

By the way one of the two main vorts rotating around each other is gaining a whole of momentum as it is now swinging around to the north. the whole system is about to wobble more west and that vort will likely build some deep convection with it and briefly higher winds with it. will be fun to watch.

[eastcoastFL]

Its windier here on the treasure coast today than it was all weekend. But the rain is finally gone.

[HurricaneBelle]

Interestingly, winds have picked up around the Tampa Bay area to the point where they're comparable to the winds being reported in the central panhandle right now - St. Pete/Clearwater is S29G36, and Sarasota is S25G38, topped only by Apalachicola's S31G40.

Will be interesting when that band that has been slowly creeping its way toward the FL west coast finally comes onshore this afternoon. It's weakened some from this morning when earlier there was some rotation in one of the cells in the band.

[Aric Dunn]

Alberto is not happy with the NHC for not calling him fully tropical.. he will show them if it is the last thing he does ! lol

[WeatherGuesser]

OK, really? I had four or five last year. I don't need one so early this year.

https://www.weather.gov/images/pah/wxst ... 5d2979756e


Or are y'all saying this won't happen?

So, it IS coming up though Mississippi and Tennessee?

OK, so I'll answer my own questions. Sky is filling with a semicircular cloud pattern from the SSE towards the NNW and winds are increasing slightly, so I guess I will be getting something from this.




I don't really need the 3"+ of rain they're calling for though.

.

[Aric Dunn]

look at that vort go.. might even get some cold cloud tops out of this new burst coming..

[PSUHiker31]

This is moving wnw right now. Headed towards eastern Choctawhatchee Bay

[Dean4Storms]

Ha.....might see AF306 Recon Flight fly right over me shortly.

Ah....he turned out Westward just along the beach. I was gonna wave! lol

[Aric Dunn]

maybe if a partial eyewall starts to form they will call it tropical..lol

[chaser1]

In addition to slightly accentuated tides and some spots receiving 2-4" rain, I'm sure there will be some folks up in the Central Panhandle that will catch fleeting glimpses of menacing rainbows between now and this evening.

[Dean4Storms]

Can hear Choctawhatchee Bay roaring now.

[Dean4Storms]

Looks like the center will cross the Coast from Rosemary Bch to Grayton Bch. in South Walton County.

[cycloneye]

No more missions as that last one for Alberto was canceled.


000
NOUS42 KNHC 281635
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1235 PM EDT MON 28 MAY 2018
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z MAY 2018
TCPOD NUMBER.....18-007

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: ALBERTO MISSION TASKED IN TCPOD 18-006 FOR THE
28/2330Z FIX REQUIREMENT CANCELED BY NHC AT 28/1610Z.

[tropicwatch]

Center of circulation just off shore and moving very little.
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=5248&y=5118.5&z=4&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=16&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Alberto Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012018
100 PM CDT Mon May 28 2018

...CENTER OF ALBERTO MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
...RAIN BANDS AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ONSHORE...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 85.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM W OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Suwannee River to Mexico Beach

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Suwannee River to the Alabama/Florida border

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at
risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto
was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 85.9 West. The
storm is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A faster
northward or north-northwestward motion is expected during the next
few days. On the forecast track, the center of Alberto will cross
the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area this afternoon or this
evening. After landfall, the system is forecast to move well inland
into the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday and into the Ohio Valley and
Great Lakes region on Wednesday and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected before Alberto reaches
the northern Gulf Coast later today. Steady weakening is forecast
after landfall, and Alberto will likely become a subtropical
depression tonight or early Tuesday, and degenerate into a remnant
low by Tuesday afternoon.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the
center. An automated weather observing site near Panama City
recently reported sustained winds of 36 mph (57 km/h) with a gust
to 56 mph (91 km/h). A sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) with a
gust to 44 mph (70 km/h) was recently observed near Apalachicola.

The estimated minimum central pressure from reconnaissance aircraft
data is 994 mb (29.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Alberto is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Tuesday:

Central Cuba...Additional 5 to 10 inches, isolated storm-totals of
20 to 25 inches.

The Florida panhandle across eastern and central Alabama and western
Georgia...4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.

The Florida Keys and Florida peninsula...Additional 1 to 3 inches,
isolated 10 inches.

Rest of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley into the lower mid
Atlantic from Tennessee east through the Carolinas...2 to 6 inches.

Rains in Cuba could produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides. Flooding and flash flooding are possible in the
southeast United States, including Florida.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within portions of
the warning area into this evening.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Suwannee River to Mexico Beach...2 to 4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-
related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

TORNADOES: A couple of brief tornadoes are possible today from
northern Florida into central and southern Georgia, southern South
Carolina, and southeastern Alabama.

SURF: Swells generated by Alberto will continue to affect the
eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Tuesday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
For more information, consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 85.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM W OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES

[Sciencerocks]

maybe if a partial eyewall starts to form they will call it tropical..lol

Nothing is going to get them to declare it as Tropical. Within my archives I've moved it into the tropical category because that is what it is.

Period.

That is my opinion and I am sticking too it.

[Aric Dunn]

maybe if a partial eyewall starts to form they will call it tropical..lol

Nothing is going to get them to declare it as Tropical. Within my archives I've moved it into the tropical category because that is what it is.

Period.

That is my opinion and I am sticking too it.

I think we all agree with that.. lol from a scientific point of view it is rather annoying though.


They might however do it in post season ...

[tolakram]

Saved radar loop

[Aric Dunn]

it finally has some -60 degree cloud tops over the center ! lol