ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

The CDO has recovered

[meriland29]

New microwave pass at 2220z confirms temporary dry air intrusion. No EWRC yet

https://i.imgur.com/f1QgPdB.jpg

Didnt she just come off a EWRC?

[meriland29]

The CDO has recovered

https://i.imgur.com/SE7PB35.gif

You can literally see her say "get out of my face" to the dry air on the SW side...

[tarheelprogrammer]

This thing looks ragged. Keep it up Florence, fall apart.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Florence Intermediate Advisory Number 50A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
800 PM AST Tue Sep 11 2018

...DANGEROUS FLORENCE HEADED FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST...
...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 67.9W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM ESE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES

[MrStormX]

The CDO has recovered

https://i.imgur.com/SE7PB35.gif

Aye, it has. There still appears to be some dry air just outside the eyewall. It will be interesting to see whether convection begins to expand outwards, or if the hurricane remains "thin" in that spot.

[JBCycloneStan]

The CDO has recovered
https://i.imgur.com/SE7PB35.gif

Fascinating how resilient this system is... CDO doesn't seem fully recovered yet, but it seems to be doing its best to eradicate those dry air slots.

[edu2703]

[dizzyfish]

There are lots of people on youtube live streaming their evacuation efforts. One woman is digging a trench in her yard.

A What? Why?

Must be related to the folks in the sailboat.

Anyway, my friend in the Pamlico Sound area has completed their prep. Stuff is moved inland and they will leave in the morning. They are more than exhausted as I'm sure we can all relate too. It isn't just the physical preparedness but the mental stress and it can take a toll.

My best to all in the path.

Blessings.

[meriland29]

[Blinhart]

This thing looks ragged. Keep it up Florence, fall apart.

RAGGED, because that small amount of dry air to the SW of the eye, and a mesovortex on the eyewall, she is already getting rid of the dry air and there will be plenty of the mesovortexes in the eye of a hurricane.

[Ken711]

https://i.imgur.com/R2peIWK.png

Cone adjusted west. I thought they might wait until 11PM.

[Blinhart]

There are lots of people on youtube live streaming their evacuation efforts. One woman is digging a trench in her yard.

A What? Why?

Must be related to the folks in the sailboat.

Anyway, my friend in the Pamlico Sound area has completed their prep. Stuff is moved inland and they will leave in the morning. They are more than exhausted as I'm sure we can all relate too. It isn't just the physical preparedness but the mental stress and it can take a toll.

My best to all in the path.

Blessings.

Is she using a back-hoe and digging a 10 foot deep 10 foot wide trench all the way around her house and using that dirt to build a levee around her house, if not a trench will do nothing with everything this storm will be doing.

[Blinhart]

https://i.imgur.com/R2peIWK.png

So it looks like they are slowly moving the cone by moving the end points so people won't notice the major change as it is steadily moved south. I figured they would do a shift this time just wasn't expecting such a change at the end.

[PandaCitrus]

I think they are going to use the HWRF model for their 11pm track. It has a myrtle beach hit from the west and then west direction cutting across South Carolina.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 91118&fh=6

[psyclone]

https://i.imgur.com/R2peIWK.png

Cone adjusted west. I thought they might wait until 11PM.

the track does not change on intermediate advisories

[O Town]

There are lots of people on youtube live streaming their evacuation efforts. One woman is digging a trench in her yard.

A What? Why?

Must be related to the folks in the sailboat.

Anyway, my friend in the Pamlico Sound area has completed their prep. Stuff is moved inland and they will leave in the morning. They are more than exhausted as I'm sure we can all relate too. It isn't just the physical preparedness but the mental stress and it can take a toll.

My best to all in the path.

Blessings.

Is she using a back-hoe and digging a 10 foot deep 10 foot wide trench all the way around her house and using that dirt to build a levee around her house, if not a trench will do nothing with everything this storm will be doing.

Maybe to redirect water flow...

[hurricaneCW]

I want to get some recon in this soon, pretty sure it's a bit stronger than 140 mph right now even with the dry air on the SW side.

[1900hurricane]

SATCON is at 115-118 kt right now with Florence. It has done very well with the system so far, so it'll be interesting to see how close it is to the impending recon data.

[Raebie]

A What? Why?

Must be related to the folks in the sailboat.

Anyway, my friend in the Pamlico Sound area has completed their prep. Stuff is moved inland and they will leave in the morning. They are more than exhausted as I'm sure we can all relate too. It isn't just the physical preparedness but the mental stress and it can take a toll.

My best to all in the path.

Blessings.

Is she using a back-hoe and digging a 10 foot deep 10 foot wide trench all the way around her house and using that dirt to build a levee around her house, if not a trench will do nothing with everything this storm will be doing.

Maybe to redirect water flow...

We've dug one in our back yard and it works great. Won't do squat for surge but we're in Charlotte. I send hubby out every couple of hours to clear debris for deluges.