ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Rail Dawg]

Just watched a couple of news crews leaving across the bridge out of Panama City.

Bridge to close soon.

I’m in a safe place no way though I’d be in a house.

[ronjon]

Tides currently running 5.7 feet above normal at Apalachicola station and rising.

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/waterlevels.html?id=8728690

[toad strangler]

The furthest far flung band from the venting process of Michael is just off my coast on the Treasure Coast. What a storm

[GCANE]

Seeing lightning strikes on the inner eyewall / eye edge.
Must be wind-induced friction creating a charge build up.

[Ken711]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1050027070951215104

[supercane4867]

We could see some 150kt+ FL winds in this upcoming NE eyewall penetration

[RL3AO]

134kt FL/110kt SFMR in the SW quad. 925.7mb extrap.

[Ken711]

Scary looking.

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1050020332860510211

[tolakram]

000
URNT12 KWBC 101408
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL142018
A. 10/13:42:23Z
B. 29.24 deg N 086.15 deg W
C. NA
D. 931 mb
E. 110 deg 05 kt
F. CLOSED
G. C16
H. 112 kt
I. 320 deg 6 nm 13:40:51Z
J. 046 deg 105 kt
K. 319 deg 9 nm 13:40:13Z
L. 122 kt
M. 132 deg 11 nm 13:45:03Z
N. 225 deg 144 kt
O. 131 deg 12 nm 13:45:22Z
P. 15 C / 2451 m
Q. 20 C / 2442 m
R. 16 C / NA
S. 12345 / NA
T. 0.01 / 1 nm
U. NOAA2 1414A MICHAEL OB 35
MAX FL WIND 144 KT 131 / 12 NM 13:45:22Z
MAX FL TEMP 21 C 136 / 7 NM FROM FL CNTR

[plasticup]

Tides currently running 5.7 feet above normal at Apalachicola station and rising.

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/waterlevels.html?id=8728690

It will be landfalling almost exactly low tide, which is a huge blessing.

[Michele B]

The furthest far flung band from the venting process of Michael is just off my coast on the Treasure Coast. What a storm

We are due west of you about 90 miles. Still haven't had a drop of rain from any "train" Bands. I want some, tho.

Maybe later....

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/noaaocean/status/1049407636104536064




https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/quicklook/view.html?name=Michael

[mrbagyo]

Eye is beginning to torch per ADT
It's now at double digit positive
16.86°C - highest in its whole lifetime.
(Kongrey would still laugh at that temp though)

[dukeblue219]

Waiting for NE quad still, but:
140530 2859N 08622W 6968 02931 9751 +128 +128 296091 092 072 006 00
140600 2901N 08619W 6972 02888 9736 +133 +133 296094 097 081 011 00
140630 2903N 08617W 6966 02870 9706 +129 //// 296098 099 084 007 01
140700 2904N 08616W 6969 02838 //// +128 //// 296104 105 089 003 01
140730 2905N 08614W 6966 02809 //// +128 //// 296109 112 096 003 01
140800 2907N 08613W 6969 02762 9563 +124 //// 297118 122 096 004 01
140830 2908N 08611W 6962 02724 9537 +126 +124 298123 125 101 011 00
140900 2909N 08610W 6968 02653 9484 +129 +129 298128 132 108 020 00
140930 2911N 08608W 6940 02617 9395 +140 //// 299118 134 110 019 01
141000 2912N 08607W 7003 02488 9310 +154 //// 285059 098 104 008 01
141030 2913N 08606W 6946 02538 //// +143 //// 268036 048 045 003 05
141100 2915N 08606W 6973 02498 //// +143 //// 252023 030 024 002 01
141130 2917N 08606W 6968 02490 9259 +159 +130 247009 019 023 000 03
141200 2918N 08607W 6977 02485 9261 +168 +127 348008 012 020 001 03
141230 2920N 08608W 6961 02513 9257 +179 +110 035015 018 021 002 00
141300 2922N 08608W 6972 02511 9278 +167 +114 066026 030 022 002 03
141330 2923N 08607W 6951 02548 9298 +154 +121 071034 035 043 004 00
141400 2924N 08606W 6977 02517 9311 +152 +147 066047 056 082 015 00

[plasticup]

134kt FL/110kt SFMR in the SW quad. 925.7mb extrap.

NE quad coming shortly

[Ken711]

Tides currently running 5.7 feet above normal at Apalachicola station and rising.

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/waterlevels.html?id=8728690

It will be landfalling almost exactly low tide, which is a huge blessing.

For sure, any help is welcome given this hurricane that is about to landfall.

[norva13x]

This will be an extremely powerful and strong 4 at landfall, I think the time has passed for it to reach 5 though.

[tolakram]

[plasticup]

This will be an extremely powerful and strong 4 at landfall, I think the time has passed for it to reach 5 though.

Bold statement with recon literally entering the NE quadrant as I type this! We could very well find that it is Cat 5 right now.

[supercane4867]

Eye is beginning to torch per ADT
It's now at double digit positive
16.86°C - highest in its whole lifetime.

Satellite presentation is a solid CAT5. We will know the actual truth soon