ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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norva13x
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3081 Postby norva13x » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:30 am

I don't think that was that bold a statement, I think we'll see 130-35kt category 4. Still an absolute monster.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3082 Postby dukeblue219 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:30 am

supercane4867 wrote:Looks like the most intense winds are being translated to SE as the direction of the storm started to shift NE


I didn't see if anyone posted the last P3 dropsonde from the SE quadrant, but it has some 162kt winds aloft and 138kt average for lowest 500m.
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Last edited by dukeblue219 on Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3083 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:31 am

 https://twitter.com/NOAASatellites/status/1050030515623989251


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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3084 Postby GeneratorPower » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:31 am

RL3AO wrote:If you look at satellite then it's not too surprising. The strongest convection is on the S/SE side right now. I'd wager the strongest winds are in the E/SE side right now.


But the lightning is on the south and SW side. Interesting.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3085 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:32 am

Aric D and Mike are at the Gulf Co Courthouse in Port St Joe. Looks like they will be there for the duration if the East Bay bridge closes. Pines are close to coming down and the two routes out of town may get blocked.

The Marina at Mexico Beach on 98 may undermine/ wash out as well near the pier. Going downhill at st. Joe

@HurricaneMichaelC3 FB Live went down
Last edited by BensonTCwatcher on Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3086 Postby Ken711 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:32 am

KWT wrote:Not quite as high in the NE as expected but the overall eyewall is now pretty much cat-4 levels across the board.


Whether it makes it to Cat 5 or high Cat 4, still devastating in any case.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3087 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:32 am

Watching our local channel out of Pensacola. They are on the beach in Miramar beach in Bay county. Official is speaking as they have put a curfew in place. He said this and I quote " You may have the constitutional right to be an idiot and be out here filming the beach, but you do not have the constitutional right to put others in danger in order to save you" Love it. Get INSIDE ffs if you are crazy enough to stay in the area.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3088 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:32 am

@MikeWDross — Dropsonde from aircraft measuring winds of 179 mph about 950 feet off the surface. #Michael
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3089 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:33 am

Dropsonde has 133 knots just above the surface.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3090 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:34 am

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/1050028673619976192


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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3091 Postby StormPyrate » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:34 am

Local weather guy is saying EWR is happening
https://www.mypanhandle.com/
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3092 Postby NDG » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:35 am

Dropsonde in the NE eyewall measured 129 knots at the surface!!!!
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3093 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:36 am

StormPyrate wrote:Local weather guy is saying EWR is happening
https://www.mypanhandle.com/


He gonna stay local weather guy with those kind of meteorological observations
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3094 Postby SconnieCane » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:36 am

StormPyrate wrote:Local weather guy is saying EWR is happening
https://www.mypanhandle.com/


Innermost spiral band might be trying to become an outer eyewall but it won't have time to choke off the inner one and weaken it before landfall.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3095 Postby MississippiWx » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:36 am

StormPyrate wrote:Local weather guy is saying EWR is happening
https://www.mypanhandle.com/


Your local weather guy is wrong.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3096 Postby NDG » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:36 am

StormPyrate wrote:Local weather guy is saying EWR is happening
https://www.mypanhandle.com/


Obviously he does not know what a EWR is really like, lol.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3097 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:37 am

Latest dropsonde definitely supports at least 145mph, but an argument could be made for 150mph.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3098 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:37 am

StormPyrate wrote:Local weather guy is saying EWR is happening
https://www.mypanhandle.com/


There is no double wind maxima, he has no clue IMO.

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3099 Postby RL3AO » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:37 am

NDG wrote:Dropsonde in the NE eyewall measured 129 knots at the surface!!!!


Those surface winds were actually in the NW eyewall.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3100 Postby plasticup » Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:37 am

NDG wrote:Dropsonde in the NE eyewall measured 129 knots at the surface!!!!

Yep, looks like a solid 4. Couple hours left to go, she could still make a run at Cat 5.

edit: NE winds on that dropsonde, so NW eyewall.
Last edited by plasticup on Wed Oct 10, 2018 9:38 am, edited 1 time in total.
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