ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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KWT
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3221 Postby KWT » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:26 am

EquusStorm wrote:Definitely looking like peak RFQ could be more Mexico Beach than Panama City but not like the NW eyewall is much weaker at all, and the surge will still be very nasty


I mean at this point it doesn't massively matter, all quads have 115kts at the surface now, it's spread it's winds out across the whole eyewall. That's one real nasty eyewall!
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3222 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:26 am

919mb ESLP!!!!!!!!!!
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3223 Postby Ken711 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:26 am

How high will the gusts be at landfall?
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3224 Postby Sanibel » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:26 am

That storm chaser is taking a risk...There could be surge that he might have trouble outrunning...I can't believe this intensified as much as it did in October climatology...Mexico Beach is going to take a wack for sure...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3225 Postby KWT » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:27 am

Extratropical94 wrote:Center dropsonde: 925/17


So probably 923mbs, pretty much the same as Andrew now! Very similar storm to Andrew in many ways as well, hope we don't find cat-5 reports post operational like with Andrew.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3226 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:27 am

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1050044240678592513


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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3227 Postby Michele B » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:28 am

Smith,J wrote:What did the guy on the Weather Channel say was swimming dwn water street in Appalachicola?


Otters
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3228 Postby NotoSans » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:28 am

SFMR values are quite low compared to flight-level winds, but SFMR is probably unreliable when the system is very near the coast. Intensity likely between 125 and 130 knots. Central pressure continues to drop to 923 mb though.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3229 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:28 am

Image
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3230 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:28 am

You can hear what appears to be wind hitting the building that the WJHG newscast is taking place in.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3231 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:28 am

Smith,J wrote:What did the guy on the Weather Channel say was swimming dwn water street in Appalachicola?


river otters
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3232 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:29 am

Mark Sudduth is driving to shelter. Scary to see others out and going to their houses.

[youtube]https://youtu.be/2NvDKOfb-3g[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3233 Postby baitism » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:30 am

I hope this northern wobble doesn't last too long...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3234 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:30 am

@JackSillin — Mesoscale vorticies are much less prominent in recent radar scans compared to even a half hour ago weather.us/radar-us/861-w…. This is NOT a sign of weakening! In fact, it may be just the opposite, as this change in structure indicates #Michael is continuing to consolidate its power
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3235 Postby ronyan » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:30 am

150 mph / 923mb
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3236 Postby Jagno » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:30 am

Smith,J wrote:What did the guy on the Weather Channel say was swimming dwn water street in Appalachicola?

He said it was a few River Otters
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3237 Postby DestinHurricane » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:30 am

Wind up to 150 mph
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3238 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:31 am

10:30 AM CDT Wed Oct 10
Location: 29.5°N 85.9°W
Moving: NNE at 14 mph
Min pressure: 923 mb
Max sustained: 150 mph
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3239 Postby Blown Away » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:31 am



Trough kicking Mike NE in last few frames.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3240 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:31 am

whoa they just upgraded to 150 mph/ 923 mb
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