ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3641 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:51 pm

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3642 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:52 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Mexico beach just took a full blast by the strongest eyewall of a boarderline CAT4/5 hurricane. Entire town maybe wiped off by now.


Will likely look like Homestead did...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3643 Postby AutoPenalti » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:52 pm

WOW, I’ve been out for just a day and it’s a borderline Cat 5?!? Praying for everyone in Northern Florida!
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3644 Postby KWT » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:52 pm

dukeblue219 wrote:I don't ever remember a storm strengthening like this all the way until the eye was halfway ashore, or at least, not one where we could prove it. Unbelievable to see the broadcasts live from a true ~150mph storm.


It's pretty rare, I can only think of 3 majors in my 14 years here, Charley in 04, Dean in 07 and Harvey last year (I suppose Irma counts as well) that have done what this system did.

Fess up, did anyone think this would be 155mph cane just 4 days ago?!
Last edited by KWT on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3645 Postby BigB0882 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:52 pm

I notice the map says Michael is a 5. Is that because it doesn't differentiate between 155 and 156? So it just bumps up anything at 155 to a Cat 5?
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3646 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:53 pm

BigB0882 wrote:I notice the map says Michael is a 5. Is that because it doesn't differentiate between 155 and 156? So it just bumps up anything at 155 to a Cat 5?


It's an old routine that was never updated with the new equation.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3647 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:53 pm

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3648 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:54 pm

Cantore is getting HAMMERED...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3649 Postby CronkPSU » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:54 pm

How close will it get to Tally and obviously besides lots of tree down, how bad will it get up there? Gots lots of friends and students up there...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3650 Postby PTPatrick » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:54 pm

What are we hearing on surge? Usually twitter lets us know landmarks under water by now.

Apalachicola gauge up to 9 ft and still rising
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3651 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:55 pm

NDG wrote:Where ABC David Muller is reporting live the hotel is falling apart, incredible image.



I just watched the parking garage come down as he was saying the hotel owners say the building is up to code...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3652 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:55 pm

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3653 Postby KWT » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:55 pm



Wow and this guy has been in some of the most powerful landfall in canes out there. That's amazing...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3654 Postby xironman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:55 pm

Rail Dawg missed it by a few miles. But be safe first.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3655 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:55 pm

CronkPSU wrote:How close will it get to Tally and obviously besides lots of tree down, how bad will it get up there? Gots lots of friends and students up there...


Probably a category 1 impact there. Similar to Kate in 1985 and a bit worse than Hermine.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3656 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:57 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:Cantore is getting HAMMERED...




You sure it ain't a a couple fans in a studio 8-) ?
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3657 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:57 pm

@RyanMaue — FSU Panama City is reporting 100-mph sustained winds from the NNE.
Right before the bridge when you drive across to Panama City Beach ...
#HurricaneMichael
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3658 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:58 pm

Landfall radar

Image
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3659 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:58 pm

Whether it was a 4 or 5 at landfall is academic and we will go through data in the offseason. But it's splitting hairs...either way, it will be horrific.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3660 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:58 pm

Remember when we had a 13 year gap between category four US landfalls? Good times
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