ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3721 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:12 am

Well the outflow and symmetry and outflow of Florence looks healthier than it has in quite some time.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3722 Postby GCANE » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:13 am

Frying Pan Ocean Cam

[youtube]https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3723 Postby Bunkertor » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:13 am

NDG wrote:
txwatcher91 wrote:
NDG wrote:I wonder what's going on with the recon heading into Florence this morning, it hit the breaks going around in circles on the SW quadrant of the hurricane, I guess having equipment problems.


They might have dropped a buoy in that location to determine wind speeds, upwelling, etc as I know they’ve been dropping some the past few days.


You are correct, they dropped a dropsonde 120 miles SW of the eye, tropical force winds reported at the surface. It is on the move again.

Can we track the flight live ?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3724 Postby GCANE » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:13 am

[youtube]https://youtu.be/OeoCJGACbHA[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3725 Postby GCANE » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:16 am

High definition cameras outside the International Space Station captured new views of a somewhat weakened Hurricane Florence at 6:56 a.m. EDT Sept. 13 as it neared the U.S. Eastern seaboard.

[youtube]https://youtu.be/6x34twf7mOs[/youtube]
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3726 Postby Rail Dawg » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:16 am

Wilmington is a ghost town now.

Wind picking up you can tell something is much different than yesterday.

I like Buys Ballot Law where you put your back to the wind and stick your left arm out. Your left arm will be pointing at the eye of the hurricane.
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Although I have been a hurricane forecaster since 1980 that only means I've been wrong lots of times.

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3727 Postby tolakram » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:16 am

GCANE wrote:Frying Pan Ocean Cam

https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM


Any idea where this is? We killed their website :)
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3728 Postby dukeblue219 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:18 am

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3729 Postby NDG » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:20 am

Eye is now closed.

Image
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3730 Postby SconnieCane » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:21 am

NDG wrote:Eye is now closed.

https://i.imgur.com/lW7fNea.gif


It's also moving more into radar range. 8-)
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3731 Postby WilmingtonSandbar » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:21 am

tolakram wrote:
GCANE wrote:Frying Pan Ocean Cam

https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM


Any idea where this is? We killed their website :)


http://www.fptower.com/
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Diana X2 (look it up), Bertha, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd, Dennis, Charley, Ophelia, Ernesto, Irene, Matthew, And Florence

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3732 Postby wxman57 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:22 am

Looks like the core has been disrupted, resulting in an expansion and subsequent drop in the pressure gradient. Same pressure, lower winds. May be down to a Cat 1 now, but strongest winds may be in the NW quadrant where the eyewall remains intact. Plane could find 80-85 kts there.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3733 Postby invest man » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:23 am

NDG wrote:Eye is now closed.

https://i.imgur.com/lW7fNea.gif

It's looking mighty healthy this morning! Better than most of yesterday. You think NHC may put out special statement if it kicks back up to cat 3 before 11? Looks very probable that it's there now to my untrained eyes!
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3734 Postby tolakram » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:24 am

WilmingtonSandbar wrote:
tolakram wrote:
GCANE wrote:Frying Pan Ocean Cam

https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM


Any idea where this is? We killed their website :)


http://www.fptower.com/


Thanks. A very good location for this storm.
Image
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3735 Postby p1nheadlarry » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:25 am

tolakram wrote:
GCANE wrote:Frying Pan Ocean Cam

https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM


Any idea where this is? We killed their website :)


Geographically speaking? It’s S/SE of Bald Head Island
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3736 Postby sittingduck » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:25 am

tolakram wrote:
GCANE wrote:Frying Pan Ocean Cam

https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM


Any idea where this is? We killed their website :)

https://www.google.com/search?q=frying+ ... kcDkgPSiKM:
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3737 Postby NDG » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:25 am

tolakram wrote:
GCANE wrote:Frying Pan Ocean Cam

https://youtu.be/deG4NxkouGM


Any idea where this is? We killed their website :)


33.5N & 77.6W to be exact.
120 miles WNW of the eye.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3738 Postby tolakram » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:30 am

Saved radar loop
Image
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3739 Postby dukeblue219 » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:34 am

invest man wrote:
NDG wrote:Eye is now closed.

https://i.imgur.com/lW7fNea.gif

It's looking mighty healthy this morning! Better than most of yesterday. You think NHC may put out special statement if it kicks back up to cat 3 before 11? Looks very probable that it's there now to my untrained eyes!


I don't think they would just to bump it by 5 or 10 kts. In any case there's recon in the storm right now and no evidence of increased winds that I've seen.
Last edited by dukeblue219 on Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

#3740 Postby NDG » Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:34 am

invest man wrote:
NDG wrote:Eye is now closed.

https://i.imgur.com/lW7fNea.gif

It's looking mighty healthy this morning! Better than most of yesterday. You think NHC may put out special statement if it kicks back up to cat 3 before 11? Looks very probable that it's there now to my untrained eyes!


I doubt that it will get back up to a Cat 3 by that time, any significant further strengthening may happen later today or tonight, it has to finish getting rid of that dry air slot that got entrained into it yesterday. IMO.
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