ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ColdFusion]

Any news out of Okracoke? I've been interested since yesterday when I saw I large number of people (~200) didn't evacuate.

Looks pretty peaceful so far.

https://ocracokeharborinn.com/webcams/

[seahawkjd]

Why is it call storm of a lifetime? People in Florida and louisiana would like to have a word with them

It has been misquoted. It was quoted as a storm of a lifetime for some areas in the Carolinas.

And it will be, I think people will be very surprised by the amount of damage she causes. Things are going to get ugly in a hurry.

Just had our first feeder band here in Greenville. Winds picked up quite a bit and hard steady rain. Just as quickly as it came though, it stopped and now its just breezy. If it gets interesting here (big storm so we should get some winds) I will take some video to add to the mix. Oh, and I'm glad I evacuated (for several reasons) but one is that the power is already going out in Carteret County. Its the least of the impacts but it sure is miserable to sit through a storm with no power.

[StruThiO]

You have a valid point, wx98. My comment wasn't directed at you at all, and I apologize if I made it seem that way.

[NDG]

Recon confirms the westward heading of Florence during the past couple of hours, since earlier this morning it went from a heading of 310-330 degrees to 296 degrees now at 270 degrees.

[jdjaguar]

Any news out of Okracoke? I've been interested since yesterday when I saw I large number of people (~200) didn't evacuate.

https://ocracokeharborinn.com/webcams/

I've been watching this to monitor surge

[wx98]

You have a valid point, wx98. My comment wasn't directed at you at all, and I apologize if I made it seem that way.

No offense taken. I think my comment was originally taken as meaning the entire basin is hostile, which is obviously not the case. Florence can attest to that.

[ronyan]

This guy is on Ocracoke and has been posting some updates: https://twitter.com/JohnMoretti5

[tolakram]

991
URNT12 KNHC 131538
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062018
A. 13/15:02:20Z
B. 33.44 deg N 075.62 deg W
C. 700 mb 2727 m
D. 956 mb
E. 140 deg 9 kt
F. OPEN SW
G. C30
H. 83 kt
I. 063 deg 16 nm 14:57:30Z
J. 139 deg 92 kt
K. 059 deg 25 nm 14:54:30Z
L. 63 kt
M. 230 deg 16 nm 15:08:00Z
N. 317 deg 76 kt
O. 230 deg 15 nm 15:07:00Z
P. 11 C / 3048 m
Q. 18 C / 3053 m
R. 12 C / NA
S. 12345 / 7
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF302 1406A FLORENCE OB 19
MAX FL WIND 92 KT 059 / 25 NM 14:54:30Z
;

[NC George]

Baseline obs from Greenville, NC here. Pressure dropped from 1018 to 1017 over the past hour. Temp 85, humidity 77%. Feeder band just came through very quickly about 30 mins ago.

[wx98]

This guy is on Ocracoke and has been posting some updates: https://twitter.com/JohnMoretti5

He tweeted over an hour ago water has probably risen 2 to 3 feet. Lines up with Jeff Piotrowski's footage of the surge coming in down at Topsail Beach.

[sikkar]

That's one intense, thick eye wall.

[artist]

Hurricane Florence Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
100 PM EDT Thu Sep 13 2018

Corrected issuance time to 100 PM EDT

...WINDS AND SURF INCREASING ALONG THE OUTER BANKS AND COASTAL
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL EXPECTED...
...TORNADO THREAT INCREASING AS FLORENCE MOVES CLOSER...

A NOAA reporting station at Cape Lookout, North Carolina, recently
reported a sustained wind of 45 mph...72 km/h and a gust to 54 mph
...87 km/h. A Weatherflow private observing station in Pamlico
Sound, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 51
mph...82 km/h and a gust to 61 mph...98 km/h.

[NDG]

Pressure back down to 955mb, per the dropsonde.

[Rail Dawg]

Ok I bailed from parking garage in Wilmington as they close all bridges onto the island when winds hit 45 mph.

Don’t want to be stuck for a week with flooding. Am sitting in a little town called Leland, NC just west of Wilmington.

The feeder bands have some stronger gusts now and I suspect big branches will start blocking roads in a few hours.

Going to wait here and watch this thing roll in.

I do have escape routes and highway bridges to go to within a mile.

Not concerned with wind but with flooding.

Paying close attention.

[Airboy]

That's one intense, thick eye wall.

Could be something if it wraps around and close of the south part

[artist]

Latest vortex
503
URNT12 KNHC 131707
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062018
A. 13/16:31:10Z
B. 33.50 deg N 075.89 deg W
C. 700 mb 2726 m
D. 955 mb
E. 040 deg 5 kt
F. OPEN E
G. C34
H. 64 kt
I. 181 deg 18 nm 16:25:30Z
J. 259 deg 71 kt
K. 170 deg 45 nm 16:16:00Z
L. 84 kt
M. 358 deg 19 nm 16:37:00Z
N. 091 deg 90 kt
O. 359 deg 30 nm 16:40:30Z
P. 9 C / 3049 m
Q. 18 C / 3044 m
R. 13 C / NA
S. 12345 / 7
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF302 1406A FLORENCE OB 26
MAX FL WIND 92 KT 059 / 25 NM 14:54:30Z
;

[tailgater]

Why is it call storm of a lifetime? People in Florida and louisiana would like to have a word with them

Texas and Miss also

[artist]

Hurricane force winds extend 160 miles, 80 miles from center out, tropical storm force winds extend 390 miles, 195 from center out.


Florence is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). NOAA Buoy 41025,
located near Diamond Shoals, North Carolina, recently reported a
sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h).


Huge storm and wind field.

[wx98]

Here is the expanse of the wind field per the 15z Forecast Advisory:

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT.......170NE 150SE 110SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 240SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

[Bunkertor]

Keraunos