ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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- meriland29
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
How far away (in time) is she from the coast and also how long will it be before she starts upwelling cold waters?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Flo was fighting a PV Streamer for the ULL over FL all morning.
Just broke away from it.

Just broke away from it.

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Last edited by taveanator on Thu Sep 13, 2018 2:52 pm, edited 7 times in total.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
All this storm surge flooding pictures & videos is going to be nothing compared to the images we are going to see by tomorrow and Saturday, they are going to have constant onshore winds for hours and hours piling up the water onshore. 

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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Steady TS winds at Frying Pan Shoals at edge of outer bands...Gusting over 60mph...
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Just about all filled in on velocity too.
That was quick.
PV Streamer cutoff and break of Convective Inhibition worked well.

That was quick.
PV Streamer cutoff and break of Convective Inhibition worked well.

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- galaxy401
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Yeah Florence has rapidly stalled. Going to be a long nightmare for the North Carolina coast...
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Gulf Steam is pumping a lot of hot water into her.
I don't think upwelling will inhibit much.
Hugo dropped 20mb in the same conditions.
I don't think upwelling will inhibit much.
Hugo dropped 20mb in the same conditions.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Meso vortex signatures in that band coming in east of Morehead City.
https://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/nc/morehead-city/mhx/?region=clt
https://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/nc/morehead-city/mhx/?region=clt
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
The bad thing is she starts to stall over Gulfstream instead of shallow shelf waters. This may limit upwelling effects.
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- p1nheadlarry
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Gulf Steam is pumping a lot of hot water into her.
I don't think upwelling will inhibit much.
Hugo dropped 20mb in the same conditions.
Moving much quicker though, no upwelling
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- gfsperpendicular
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
p1nheadlarry wrote:GCANE wrote:Gulf Steam is pumping a lot of hot water into her.
I don't think upwelling will inhibit much.
Hugo dropped 20mb in the same conditions.
Moving much quicker though, no upwelling
I thought she had slowed down noticeably

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I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!
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- p1nheadlarry
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
gfsperpendicular wrote:p1nheadlarry wrote:GCANE wrote:Gulf Steam is pumping a lot of hot water into her.
I don't think upwelling will inhibit much.
Hugo dropped 20mb in the same conditions.
Moving much quicker though, no upwelling
I thought she had slowed down noticeably
Referring to Hugo not Florence. Should have made that more clear sorry.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion

Mark Sudduth
Mark Sudduth
@hurricanetrack
·
55m
Storm surge getting fairly high now in Oriental
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
18z soundings show 593-594 dm heights to the north of Florence staying in place since this morning over eastern VA bridging west across into TN/KY, the reason why it stopped on its NW heading this morning.
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- meriland29
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
I was extremely fearful that she would stall further outside of the coast. I knew she was anticipated to stall right along the coast or at least in the shallow area near the coast causing her to upwell, but she looks like she stopped to almost a complete halt right over that gulf stream with nothing really to keep her from doing what she wants. This is bad.... it was already going to be really bad, but this makes it otherworldly.
I am no professioal ..but it does look like her eye is closed, and she is definitely angry
I am no professioal ..but it does look like her eye is closed, and she is definitely angry
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- jasons2k
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Gulf Steam is pumping a lot of hot water into her.
I don't think upwelling will inhibit much.
Hugo dropped 20mb in the same conditions.
The Gulf Stream is also a swift current. I don't think there will be as much upwelling as some have led on...
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
First center pass from recon may find slightly lower pressure. Probably not much increase in windspeeds
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- meriland29
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Hurricane - Discussion
Is she supposed to reach the coast tonight or does it look like she will stall over the gulf S for the night...???
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