ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SoupBone]

Heading back to Texas guys.

This has become what I call a “dirty storm”.

Would have liked to see the eye but with it stalling it’s not worth the wait.

Interesting journey learned some things as always.

What's your definition of "dirty storm"?

[flamingosun]

Good point.

I’ve taken a few hits over the years and found 120 mph is the max for being outside in a truck with no protection.

Anything above that it’s a parking lot garage for safety.

Just PLEASE be extra careful, Rail Dawg.
You don't want us to lose you!

[artist]

https://twitter.com/MariettaPosts/statu ... 75776?s=20
Some video

[p1nheadlarry]

Let me put it this way. We have a very well organized Category 2 tropical cyclone stalling over warm sea of the Gulf Stream. There is most definitely a possibility that she could intensify a bit more before landfall, especially given that she will have a bit longer out thete to do . It will not take much more at all for Florence to be a Cat. 3. I pray she does not, but that is still very plausible right now.

It actually might take a lot to bring it to a three. It's at 100 mph, it's large size and weaker pressure gradient will make it tough.

[TheStormExpert]

Let me put it this way. We have a very well organized Category 2 tropical cyclone stalling over warm sea of the Gulf Stream. There is most definitely a possibility that she could intensify a bit more before landfall, especially given that she will have a bit longer out there to do so. It will not take much more at all for Florence to be a Cat. 3. I pray she does not, but that is still very plausible right now.

I doubt it'll strengthen. Weakening seems more likely due to its latitude and overall size, wouldn't surprise me to see landfall as a Cat. 1. I keep thinking Irene (2011) when trying to compare this storm for North Carolina.

[xironman]

https://twitter.com/MariettaPosts/status/1040337162003275776?s=20
Some video

Hey, I fished off the pier. Getting brews from the pier store and catching spot until 3am. Can't beat it.

[Raebie]

Last 15 frames of the IR are interesting. Don't know how to post from Tropcal Tidbits from my phone.

[wx98]

Let me put it this way. We have a very well organized Category 2 tropical cyclone stalling over warm sea of the Gulf Stream. There is most definitely a possibility that she could intensify a bit more before landfall, especially given that she will have a bit longer out there to do so. It will not take much more at all for Florence to be a Cat. 3. I pray she does not, but that is still very plausible right now.

Highly doubt this will intensify at all, too close to land, core will stay interrupted

[NC_Cyclone]

The last hour or so on IR and radar seem almost due north. And it’s not a wobble. Literally due north steady.

[northjaxpro]

Well i hope you all are right. That certainly is my hope as well.

[Rail Dawg]

What's your definition of "dirty storm"?

Good question.

More of a rain/flood event than wind.

[tolakram]

[Bunkertor]

Heading back to Texas guys.

This has become what I call a “dirty storm”.

Would have liked to see the eye but with it stalling it’s not worth the wait.

Interesting journey learned some things as always.

Save travel home !
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Rt1VicF5-0

[PTPatrick]

Yeah I don’t know this would be the best storm to chase. Unless you are standing on topsail beach to watch surge (which you shouldnt)it is becoming a less interesting storm from a wind perspective if your desire is to get good strong wind footage. If you want to get footage of pouring rain and foooding it’s great, although interestingly enough on radar the entire south side of the center is looking dry right now. I did notice they lowered max surge values from 9-13 to 9-11...quibbling...that’s still quite high.

[Blinhart]

201700 3342N 07604W 6965 02756 9526 +164 +127 168011 014 015 001 00

pressure is going down still.

[ColdFusion]

The last hour or so on IR and radar seem almost due north. And it’s not a wobble. Literally due north steady.

I believe that is the literal definition of a wobble.

[Ubuntwo]

The last hour or so on IR and radar seem almost due north. And it’s not a wobble. Literally due north steady.

Looking at radar it seems to just be a trochoidal wobble

[Blinhart]

https://i.imgur.com/UXHHUEx.gif

Got to remember this is from ground radar, it will at times have problems getting all the way over the storm heights, so what looks like a dry slot, might actually not be dry.

[xironman]

There does seem to be a north component there. I hope emerald island and atlantic beach evacuated.

[FLpanhandle91]

https://i.imgur.com/UXHHUEx.gif

Got to remember this is from ground radar, it will at times have problems getting all the way over the storm heights, so what looks like a dry slot, might actually not be dry.

Would explain why it appears drier in the southern portion as the core is getting those hot towers between the radar and south of the eye.