ATL: FLORENCE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[HurricaneBelle]

Florence is officially post-tropical now.

Still a killer, though - it spawned numerous tornadoes in the Richmond area this afternoon leading to a building collapse and one fatality.

[HurricaneBelle]

From the latest advisory:

Some of the modelguidance takes a segment of Florence southward offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast between Wednesday and Friday which forms a new low pressure area, which will need to be watched.

Oh boy, cue the tedious "Will it still be called Florence?" discussion.

[Steve]

Moody’s estimates are 17-22 billion in losses that could go higher based on river flooding. That’s in the ballpark of Hurricane Charley around #12 or so all time.

[caneman]

"Nc gets so few hurricanes"

...you realize that North Carolina has a professional hockey team called the "carolina Hurricanes", right?

Nimbus is partially correct , although Carolinas get a fair share, they're not in the top 3:
The top 10 counties list mostly jibes with the three most hurricane-prone states in the country: Since 1851, the top three states for hurricane landfalls are Florida (114), Texas (63) and Louisiana (54), according to data from the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory in Miami. Courtesy USA Today.

Lol you stopped at 3 but the fourth is - wait for it - North Carolina. NC gets a lot of hurricanes. All of us who've been tracking for decades knows that. Here's the list of the top 5 states for hurricane landfalls 1851-2017:

Florida 117
Texas 64
Louisiana 54
North Carolina 51
South Carolina 32

I mentioned NC and SC in a later post Further, that is where the article ended.

[caneman]

I know this is getting OT but Louisiana doesn’t exactly have a huge coastline like Texas and Florida. Looks like LA gets more bang for the buck.

Neither does NC, and we're only 3 behind LA. Furthermore, that's NC alone that' right behind LA. If you were to combing the Carolinas, we'd be #2. Oh, and LA is right ahead of TX in coastline length you you do it the short method, and double if you do it the long method.

Not discounting NC by any means. You have the cyclone “cow catcher” in the Outer Banks. BTW, I don’t agree with your interpretation of the LA coast as it pertains to cyclone landfalls but that’s a debate for a different thread.

Since Florida is a skinny state, any system going South to North nearly the entire state gets affects. Storms coming across state usually affect a 1/3 or 1/2 the state and on both coasts

[CrazyC83]

One thing we can pretty much agree on...Florence won't be back in 2024. That would be the for that name.

[gfsperpendicular]

Even as a post-tropical cyclone, Florence is still producing heavy rains here in Northern Virginia. Lots of reports of flash flooding and several branches are down.

[EquusStorm]

Nice broad/elongated/weak spin in Virginia seems apparent on visible; I wonder if this area of the remnant energy some models have been picking up on for potential redevelopment offshore.

[weunice]

Moody’s estimates are 17-22 billion in losses that could go higher based on river flooding. That’s in the ballpark of Hurricane Charley around #12 or so all time.

The flooding looks very familiar to the images that came out of our area back in 2016 where our crests were 4-5 feet over their previous records. We had over $10 billion in flooding from that storm but I am not sure how our population density compares ... I am not sure how much flooding they are accounting for in that estimate (if any) but I think that number could easily hit the high end of that estimate or rise further.

[MrStormX]

BWC weather chart places the remnants of Florence between Bermuda and North Carolina in 3 days, pushes it back to the coast in 4 days.

[Cypresso]

BWC weather chart places the remnants of Florence between Bermuda and North Carolina in 3 days, pushes it back to the coast in 4 days.

I have been watching that as well. I have seen the model being correct in the past.

[toad strangler]

 https://twitter.com/WeatherFlowCHAS/status/1043652607909203969

[galaxy401]

 https://twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1069344714179182597