ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

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cycloneye
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ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 11, 2018 6:42 am

Model runs here.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#2 Postby Kazmit » Sun Nov 11, 2018 8:26 am

06z GFS recurves this near Bermuda as a strong TS.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#3 Postby floridasun78 » Sun Nov 11, 2018 2:03 pm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Discussion

#4 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Nov 11, 2018 8:00 pm

18Z GFS does take 96L to the Central Bahamas in 96 hours, then recurves north/northeast in 108 hours.as as a likely tropical or subtropical cyclone. This run bottoms out the system at only 1001 mb. within.84 hours approaching the Turks and Caicos Islands.

The influence of the +NAO is in play here for sure as the Southwest Atlantic Ridge is causing 96L to move farther west potentially to the Central Bahamas before finally getting picked up by the trough in a few days. GFS also seems to be hinting at 96L merging or getting absorbed with the front off the U.S. Eastern Seaboard by Friday.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#5 Postby TheStormExpert » Mon Nov 12, 2018 8:12 am

06z GFS more in-line with the Euro now only showing a brief weak TS at best on closest approach to the Bahamas.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#6 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:44 pm

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