SIO: INVEST 93S

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TorSkk
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SIO: INVEST 93S

#1 Postby TorSkk » Wed Dec 26, 2018 9:12 am

93S INVEST 181226 1200 11.7S 128.7E SHEM 15 0

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Wednesday 26 December 2018
for the period until midnight CST Saturday 29 December 2018.

Existing Cyclones in the Northern Region:
Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A weak tropical low is located over the Arafura Sea and is expected to track westwards into the Timor Sea over the next couple of days. The low is not expected to develop significantly, though the environment becomes more favourable for development from Friday.


Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Thursday:Very Low.
Friday:Low.
Saturday:Low.

In the longer term, the monsoon trough is expected to form and deepen in the region over the weekend. There is potential for development of another tropical low within the trough, though the location of formation of this low remains uncertain.
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WAcyclone
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Re: SIO: INVEST 93S

#2 Postby WAcyclone » Fri Dec 28, 2018 4:02 am

This low is not expected to develop by the BOM:

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:13 pm WST on Friday 28 December 2018
for the period until midnight WST Monday 31 December 2018.

Existing Cyclones in the Western Region:
Nil.

Potential Cyclones:

A weak tropical low lies near 11S 127E at 2pm WST Friday, and is forecast to weaken further over the next 24 hours. This tropical low is NOT expected to develop.

There are no other tropical systems expected to develop in the Western Region for the next three days.


Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Saturday:Very Low
Sunday:Very Low
Monday:Very Low
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TorSkk
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Re: SIO: INVEST 93S

#3 Postby TorSkk » Sun Dec 30, 2018 5:06 am

Dissipated
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