ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

Measuring 62 knots at 5K'

[Steve]

Yes it is July...the part of hurricane season that tends not to have hurricanes (along with June and November). If we get anything it's usually asymmetric rain bombs. That says nothing about what will happen in August-October.

You're right. It's more like a preseason football game. Lots of things might be lined up, but conditions aren't usually as perfect as they seem for one reason or another. Dennis was the last really bad July Gulf storm I can remember, but I'm sure there's been one since 2005. What were dry bands last night are filling in with light rain now. This is a view looking downriver or more or lest E/ESE
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.p ... 1&loop=yes

Here's a current view out my window showing the more saturated clouds.

[MississippiWx]

just found a 62kt FL and 54kt SFMR.

130300 2726N 08919W 8432 01505 0044 +161 +161 206059 060 051 016 00
130330 2728N 08920W 8433 01505 0046 +159 +159 204060 062 054 014 00


with the pressure falling lower winds sheaer its going ot be a short amount of time for this to consolidate

Yep, that 54kt SFMR is with a lower rain rate. Shouldn't be suspect.

[wxman57]

NHC will likely go 50 kts on the next advisory. Still very poorly-organized.

[MississippiWx]

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img922/5639/j9siWW.png

Overnight, the strongest winds were on on the south side of the circulation. Now, you can see them moving over to the south and east side as the storm begins to align itself in a more favorable position to strengthen.

[GCANE]

Hot Tower trucking due east just south of the CoC.

[tarheelprogrammer]

I believe that the center is almost completely tucked into the convection. Only partly exposed now.

[GCANE]

Here's the tower on rapid-scan ozone.
Strongest so far.
Getting to the top of the troposphere.

[wxman57]

Center is still fully-exposed. A couple squalls producing 45-50 kt winds are located 60 miles SW and SE of the center.

[MississippiWx]

I believe that the center is almost completely tucked into the convection. Only partly exposed now.

Wind barbs from recon imply that they are east of the center and they are still below 28N.

[GCANE]

Extrap Sfc Press 1000.1 mb

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like our little friend finally anchored the circ just about fully covered now.. all the other vorts are dying.. might be getting ready to take off.

[GCANE]

Rapid Scan shows some helicity with the tower.
Chances increasing for vorts to start stacking.

[GCANE]

They resampled the center.
Now 999.7 mb

[Aric Dunn]

KGRY has a lower pressure 998 mb to the SW at the edge of the convection. RECON just flew through a small vort that is rotating around the circ in the convection. very east to see on 1km visible.

[MississippiWx]

Center is still fully-exposed. A couple squalls producing 45-50 kt winds are located 60 miles SW and SE of the center.

http://wxman57.com/images/Barry6.JPG

I've been following the same area you circled. On rapid scan visible, it appears to be sinking south slowly and even becoming diffuse. The intense convection to the south is tugging on the center.

[ColdMiser123]

Center is still fully-exposed. A couple squalls producing 45-50 kt winds are located 60 miles SW and SE of the center.

http://wxman57.com/images/Barry6.JPG

I've been following the same area you circled. On rapid scan visible, it appears to be sinking south slowly and even becoming diffuse. The intense convection to the south is tugging on the center.

I would watch for drifts south with the recon center fixes to see if the LLC is becoming less exposed in future passes.

[wxman57]

Center is still fully-exposed. A couple squalls producing 45-50 kt winds are located 60 miles SW and SE of the center.

http://wxman57.com/images/Barry6.JPG

I've been following the same area you circled. On rapid scan visible, it appears to be sinking south slowly and even becoming diffuse. The intense convection to the south is tugging on the center.

Yeah, the squalls are creeping closer to the center this morning. May be some 60kt winds south and southeast of the center at landfall around this time tomorrow.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Not as much dry air around and Barry is starting the process of trying to wrap convection around the center nice storms starting to blow up. Can he keep it up or will something impede his efforts that is the question. Either way still doesn't have a tight concise center so I personally don't see this strengthening a whole lot more. Maybe reaching the upper ends of TS strength.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/ ... 282&y=5388

[gfsperpendicular]

The convection is inching closer and closer to the center but there is no wrapping or pulling of any kind as far as I can tell. Still a crossaint.