ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[GCANE]

WISHE is destabilizing the air over the Loop Current.
That'll rotate into the north quad and get convection going in a few hours.

[MississippiWx]

Did anyone else notice the second plane that was flying at a higher altitude reported 45kt winds at the surface from a dropsonde with a 998mb pressure? This was at 27.3N and 90 W.

[Aric Dunn]

The Center Fix from recon just became elongated out and is getting pulled into the stronger circ to the south in the convection.

[tolakram]

SLIDER closeup http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=2&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_02&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=1164.4205627441406&y=1215.4470825195312

[Ian2401]

convection really blowing up now

[SoupBone]

When is this thing gonna turn north?

[Puddinhead]

Here's a current view out my window showing the more saturated clouds.
http://i65.tinypic.com/vnjo82.jpg[/quote]
I'm having all kinds of trouble identifying that view...Uptown side of Canal looking back toward the Quarter?

[wxman57]

I see 3 vortices rotating around a broad low center. One is just south of Morgan City, another just west of the mouth of the Mississippi, and one north of the convection. Convection just can't seem to build around the east side of the center. That strong squall SE of the center where recon found the 55kt winds has weakened considerably.

[weathaguyry]

Barry reminds me of Cindy in 2017, only this time the convection is on the south and east instead of north and east. I believe Cindy also had similar issues with size, dry air, and shear that led to an extremely lopsided look.

[GCANE]

Hmm let's see what's quaking.

1) Stationary blow up in convection with an apparent infeed from the NW as seen on Vis Sat
2) Very cold cloud tops on IR with a symmetrical outflow
3) ADT showing convection moving toward the CoC

I think there is a duck in the backyard.

[Aric Dunn]

Hmm let's see what's quaking.

1) Stationary blow up in convection with an apparent infeed from the NW as seen on Vis Sat
2) Very cold cloud tops on IR with a symmetrical outflow
3) ADT showing convection moving toward the CoC

I think there is a duck in the backyard.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/1662/xtukwq.jpg

Yep, Clear center in the convection with a lot of curved inflow. and the vort RECON flew through is almost completely stretched out. wont be too much longer now.

[GCANE]

[Steve]

Here's a current view out my window showing the more saturated clouds.
http://i65.tinypic.com/vnjo82.jpg

I'm having all kinds of trouble identifying that view...Uptown side of Canal looking back toward the Quarter?[/quote]

Yeah - Shell Square (St. Charles Ave. facing side) looking toward Canal Place and Sheraton.

[GCANE]

Small gravity waves in the cirrus from the overshooting tops.

[Puddinhead]

Here's a current view out my window showing the more saturated clouds.
http://i65.tinypic.com/vnjo82.jpg

I'm having all kinds of trouble identifying that view...Uptown side of Canal looking back toward the Quarter?

Yeah - Shell Square (St. Charles Ave. facing side) looking toward Canal Place and Sheraton.[/quote]
Thought I identified it right...I'm in Gentilly (about to leave the house) watching typical tropical pre-storm weather: Gusty winds blowing through the pecan tree, sunshine for ten minutes followed by darkening sky and a quick wind-driven shower. Waiting to see what will be in store for the rest of the day.

[Steve]

Here's a current view out my window showing the more saturated clouds.
http://i65.tinypic.com/vnjo82.jpg

I'm having all kinds of trouble identifying that view...Uptown side of Canal looking back toward the Quarter?

Yeah - Shell Square (St. Charles Ave. facing side) looking toward Canal Place and Sheraton.

Thought I identified it right...I'm in Gentilly (about to leave the house) watching typical tropical pre-storm weather: Gusty winds blowing through the pecan tree, sunshine for ten minutes followed by darkening sky and a quick wind-driven shower. Waiting to see what will be in store for the rest of the day.[/quote]

If NAM 3k is right, the heaviest rain would be just west of us. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 1212&fh=18

[tolakram]

Large circulation with a large area of convection on the south side of the circulation. Outflow boundaries all over the east side. That's what I'm seeing. As the big center moves NW I believe, mostly because this is what the models show, that the convection blob will rotate to the east side of the storm. I'm not sure the center will ever be fully covered. Best case for New Orleans would be for the center to go directly over it. Unfortunately just about everything is showing Barry coming ashore closer to Avery Island area.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=2&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=4273.73095703125&y=5161.7353515625

[MississippiWx]

Barry has organized more this morning than it has in the past 3 days. Still has work to do to become a hurricane, but it's certainly trying.

You may have to click on the image to see the actual gif.

[tropicwatch]

Barry sending some decent squall lines into Panama City. Winds 20-25 gusts to 40mph. Hearing tree branches break, memories of Michael yuck.

[Steve]

Agreed MSwx.

Looks like either a vortex is slipping south around/near the broad center, or the center under the convection. You can see the spin right in the heaviest concentration. I still think it may get a bit sloppy again before tonight and tomorrow when it should look its best.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir