#1837 Postby Steve » Sat Jul 13, 2019 9:54 am
Barry has been a cool storm to track so far. Except for the floods we had earlier in the week, it's been more preparation and tracking than anything. Turned out two of my kids actually did get a little water in their cars, and the other one got stuck for a while. But otherwise, everything's been cool. Had a wedding rehearsal last night where they tied the knot just to be safe. Haha. Cheers on that, but so far otherwise, those were our only effects. Also last weekend was about 100 degrees and it's been hot almost every day before 92L dropped offshore.
I can't recall which model was the first to loop it toward shore - might have been NAM 12k several runs back. All the models had their moments from HMON depicting the heavily weighted southern structure to the European who at least from last Monday 00z had it hitting around Port Arthur which is certainly in the neighborhood from that far off. GFS did well also. Watching the multi-embedded vortexes has been great too. We feel super lucky so far that the northern side was dry or else we'd be at least a day in on rainfall and not like an inch/inch and a half since it flooded.
I'm not sure what's going to happen next. But you already know there is ridiculous energy down there. What I'm looking to see is whether anything starts firing off or if there is an afternoon explosion south of the center that leads to potential deluges this afternoon and evening. If not, Barry will have underperformed on precipitation except in the Gulf.
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