ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1881 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:54 am

tarheelprogrammer wrote:No doubt that there is an eye showing up on visible right now. Any METS know what happens if this deepens quicker than expected? Will it go more north or south when approaching the US? :?:


Likely end up further west and south.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1882 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:54 am

A damn shame recon just left, we’re probably going to have to wait for an upgrade to hurricane.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1883 Postby mpic » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:54 am

decgirl66 wrote:I see we have a lot of "guests" browsing this board. If you are not already a member of Storm2K, now is a great time to join! This is the only place I have gone to since Charley in 2004 for storm information!


For me it was after that nonsense evac out of Houston for Rita. This forum saved me when Ike came along. Forever grateful.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1884 Postby AubreyStorm » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:55 am

Highteeld wrote:Dorian might be a hurricane right now


Special statement?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1885 Postby Hurricane Jed » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:55 am

BYG Jacob wrote:A damn shame recon just left, we’re provably going to have to wait for an upgrade to hurricane.


Recon reported a closed eye. Wouldn’t surprise be if we got a special update
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1886 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:55 am

BYG Jacob wrote:A damn shame recon just left, we’re probably going to have to wait for an upgrade to hurricane.

yeah big structural changes going on since the last recon pass through the NE eyewall.
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1887 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:55 am

BYG Jacob wrote:A damn shame recon just left, we’re probably going to have to wait for an upgrade to hurricane.


I would think we will get wind reports from Virgin Islands...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1888 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:55 am

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1889 Postby USTropics » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:56 am

Dorian has been a difficult storm to forecast so far:
Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1891 Postby hohnywx » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:59 am

USTropics wrote:Dorian has been a difficult storm to forecast so far:
https://i.ibb.co/PDrz9Cm/Webp-net-gifmaker-1.gif


Center relocation seems to have a lot to do with it.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1892 Postby Highteeld » Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:59 am

RI phase?

Image
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1893 Postby Hurricane Jed » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:00 am

BYG Jacob wrote:
tolakram wrote:Stunning.

[url]https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=2&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_02&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=1180.3501281738281&y=931.3765869140625[/
A truly massive convective blow up


Yeah that gif is amazing. Beautiful
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1894 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:00 am

USTropics wrote:Dorian has been a difficult storm to forecast so far:
https://i.ibb.co/PDrz9Cm/Webp-net-gifmaker-1.gif

Hurricane warnings on the last image. Did they upgrade?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1895 Postby artist » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:02 am

Costco in Pompano Beach is limiting water to 2 cases per membership
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1896 Postby hipshot » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:02 am

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1897 Postby ObsessedMiami » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:03 am

BYG Jacob wrote:
USTropics wrote:Dorian has been a difficult storm to forecast so far:
https://i.ibb.co/PDrz9Cm/Webp-net-gifmaker-1.gif

Hurricane warnings on the last image. Did they upgrade?


Also now forecast to be a Major in the Bahamas

Image
Last edited by ObsessedMiami on Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1898 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:04 am

Certainly getting that look at the moment with a weak eye showing up now as well.

Remember that the stronger the storm, the harder the left turn will likely be.

Hurricane isn't far off.
Last edited by KWT on Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1899 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:04 am

Time to finalize preparations was yesterday, so obviously if you're still gambling step away from the screen and get things in order if anywhere near the cone.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1900 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:08 am

Absolutely classic look developing. Yikes this organized in a hurry :eek:
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