ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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plasticup

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2661 Postby plasticup » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:28 am

NFLnut wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Also no water expect Coconut Water. :lol:


When even the coconut water AND the hot dog buns are gone, there is cause for concern! :lol:

I went to the Costco yesterday for my (ir)regular Weds/Thurs run. Was thinking as I drove there that I would top off my tank (not yet for Dorian .. just because it's $0.04/gallon cheaper) and when I got there, there was a 45 minute line for gas. And a sign out the door "we're out of bottled water." Glad I bought bottled water back in May when you're supposed to. I use it at work if no 'canes.


FYI your tap water is still available. No need for people to buy anything; they can just fill some containers.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2662 Postby GCANE » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:29 am

Much bigger CDO from this current tower.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2663 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:30 am

I have moved some posts that have model information that moved to the proper models thread.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2664 Postby NFLnut » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:31 am

plasticup wrote:
NFLnut wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Also no water expect Coconut Water. :lol:


When even the coconut water AND the hot dog buns are gone, there is cause for concern! :lol:

I went to the Costco yesterday for my (ir)regular Weds/Thurs run. Was thinking as I drove there that I would top off my tank (not yet for Dorian .. just because it's $0.04/gallon cheaper) and when I got there, there was a 45 minute line for gas. And a sign out the door "we're out of bottled water." Glad I bought bottled water back in May when you're supposed to. I use it at work if no 'canes.


FYI your tap water is still available. No need for people to buy anything; they can just fill some containers.



Correctomundo. In 58 years of hurricanes, I've never once not had access to clean water from the tap. Always filled a milk jug or three just in case of "boil water." Heck .. my first 35+ years, the thought of PAYING for water IN A BOTTLE would have been laughed at.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2665 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:32 am

WFTV stated that it is possible Brevard County will do a MANDATORY evacuation for EVERY ONE EAST of 95...Which is where I am..I can't imagine the traffic
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2666 Postby toad strangler » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:35 am

plasticup wrote:
NFLnut wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Also no water expect Coconut Water. :lol:


When even the coconut water AND the hot dog buns are gone, there is cause for concern! :lol:
NFLnut wrote:

Correctomundo. In 58 years of hurricanes, I've never once not had access to clean water from the tap. Always filled a milk jug or three just in case of "boil water." Heck .. my first 35+ years, the thought of PAYING for water IN A BOTTLE would have been laughed at.


Times change. I get a half pallet of bottled water delivered every June 1st. Easy. Done.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2667 Postby NFLnut » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:36 am

TheStormExpert wrote:
Mouton wrote:From my recollection, when storms slow down in forward speed, it mostly leads to a change of direction to northerly. It is also my perception that strong storms seem to gain latitude.

The EURO is showing an arrival in S central peninsula about the same place as one day earlier. The differences with the latest model is the intensity at landfall is 20mb lower at 00z tuesday and it takes an abrupt right turn and takes about two days to exit Fl west of Kingsland Ga. The 12Z GFS seems to be about 50 miles south on landing in Fl from its previous run(!) with landing on Monday. It appears to be heading across the state when it crosses over the EURO plot takes a right and heads NW up 75. Exits Fl above lake city on Wednesday. My point is it seems both the EURO and GFS concur about a landing on the Peninsula one day apart south of Cape C. Both head up the interior of the state, one day apart, with the earlier arriving GFS making its way farther west. Both passings will drop copious amounts of rain in NE Fl as their intensity wanes over land with either of these passes. Neither seems to show a precuser of an OTS run, but it is now 4 days to make more corrections!

Frances back in 2004 slowed down to a crawl in the middle of the Northwestern Bahamas as it was feeling the western periphery of the Bermuda High, even after it went on to make a landfall along Floridas East Coast and cross the entire state and went into the eastern panhandle. Not saying Dorian will do the exact same but it just a thought.



I had a brand new 10 foot hole in my roof courtesy of Charley. I remember Frances' SLOW 12-18 hour trek across Florida (and my house) all too well. Then, Jeanne did almost the same thing. Happened twice in 2004.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2668 Postby Astromanía » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:36 am

Florida is the state with more tropical cyclone landfalls in the US, isn't it?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2669 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:39 am

Anyone heard from Wxman57? Interested to see his take on Dorian as of now.
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2670 Postby will759227 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:39 am

Well, off to find a generator. May still be able to get lucky at costco. You never know. I just want to run the freezer and fridge and if possible dehumidifier. .. Think a 3500 unit can run that?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2671 Postby eastcoastFL » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:41 am

plasticup wrote:
NFLnut wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Also no water expect Coconut Water. :lol:


When even the coconut water AND the hot dog buns are gone, there is cause for concern! :lol:

I went to the Costco yesterday for my (ir)regular Weds/Thurs run. Was thinking as I drove there that I would top off my tank (not yet for Dorian .. just because it's $0.04/gallon cheaper) and when I got there, there was a 45 minute line for gas. And a sign out the door "we're out of bottled water." Glad I bought bottled water back in May when you're supposed to. I use it at work if no 'canes.


FYI your tap water is still available. No need for people to buy anything; they can just fill some containers.


My dog won't even drink tap water. In tastes like chlorine
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2672 Postby kaystorm94 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:43 am

So we are flying into Orlando on Wednesday, the 4th (Disney). Will this hurricane be out by then? I don't want to jump the gun and cancel our trip or move it. It has been planned for some time now. Flying from Houston to Orlando.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2673 Postby Weatherboy1 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:43 am

And here I thought a week ago, I'd be focusing mostly today on final planning for the evening's fantasy football draft! :D Sheesh
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2674 Postby TallyTracker » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:44 am

plasticup wrote:
NFLnut wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Also no water expect Coconut Water. :lol:


When even the coconut water AND the hot dog buns are gone, there is cause for concern! :lol:

I went to the Costco yesterday for my (ir)regular Weds/Thurs run. Was thinking as I drove there that I would top off my tank (not yet for Dorian .. just because it's $0.04/gallon cheaper) and when I got there, there was a 45 minute line for gas. And a sign out the door "we're out of bottled water." Glad I bought bottled water back in May when you're supposed to. I use it at work if no 'canes.


FYI your tap water is still available. No need for people to buy anything; they can just fill some containers.


Also the Glacier and Pure Water stations at most grocery stores can be used to fill up containers with drinking water. Particularly if you don’t like your tap water. This might be a good option as the bottled water runs out.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2675 Postby GeneratorPower » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:44 am

kaystorm94 wrote:So we are flying into Orlando on Wednesday, the 4th (Disney). Will this hurricane be out by then? I don't want to jump the gun and cancel our trip or move it. It has been planned for some time now. Flying from Houston to Orlando.


Your vacation is screwed. Don’t come here.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2676 Postby craptacular » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:46 am

Wobble-watching (during an EWRC to boot), but the four passes from the recon mission that is now ending each had a bit of a turn to the right. 338 degrees at 12kts overall from the first to the fourth.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2677 Postby Jr0d » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:46 am

StormingB81 wrote:WFTV stated that it is possible Brevard County will do a MANDATORY evacuation for EVERY ONE EAST of 95...Which is where I am..I can't imagine the traffic


Generally it is east of US 1. Maybe they were mistaken.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2678 Postby Astromanía » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:47 am

Still fighting with dry air, how much time left before conditions improve?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2679 Postby KC7NEC » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:48 am

kaystorm94 wrote:So we are flying into Orlando on Wednesday, the 4th (Disney). Will this hurricane be out by then? I don't want to jump the gun and cancel our trip or move it. It has been planned for some time now. Flying from Houston to Orlando.


The current NHC track is within miles of WDW on the 3rd... Even if the storm has passed WDW could be closed, damaged, or at a minimum lot of things not up and running by then. If I had a WDW trip anytime next week I would cancel or change it if possible to a later date.
Last edited by KC7NEC on Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#2680 Postby hurricaneCW » Thu Aug 29, 2019 11:48 am

kaystorm94 wrote:So we are flying into Orlando on Wednesday, the 4th (Disney). Will this hurricane be out by then? I don't want to jump the gun and cancel our trip or move it. It has been planned for some time now. Flying from Houston to Orlando.


It doesn't look very good, the storm could still be over Florida by Tue/Wed and the impacts from a Cat 3/4 would definitely last for weeks.

If you want to wait an extra day to see what happens then that's fine, but if things don't change by tomorrow then I would move the date.
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