ATL: DORIAN - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Carolinagirl18
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 15
Joined: Wed Aug 14, 2019 6:47 pm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2741 Postby Carolinagirl18 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:05 pm

Is anyone else having trouble getting the gfs to run on tropical tidbits?
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2742 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:06 pm

tolakram wrote:Ah the euro, a model of consistency until it counts.

https://i.imgur.com/jnfqtvL.gif


One thing to note also is the upper high is weaker to the north on each of the 12z suite from the last 3 days, but probably not enough to keep Dorian from hitting Florida.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3249
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2743 Postby chris_fit » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:07 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
ronjon
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4830
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 5:17 pm
Location: Hernando Beach, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2744 Postby ronjon » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:07 pm

12z HMON into SE GOM.
0 likes   

User avatar
p1nheadlarry
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 672
Age: 33
Joined: Wed Jan 29, 2014 2:42 pm
Location: SR County FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2745 Postby p1nheadlarry » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:08 pm

Euro weaker at 72 vs 48
0 likes   
--;->#GoNoles--;->.

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20020
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2746 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:08 pm

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2747 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:09 pm

ECMWF on the same due west approach 48-72 hrs
0 likes   
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2748 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:09 pm

12z euro looks like it's making a beeline towards Miami
0 likes   

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2749 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:10 pm


Ridge extends into central FL GA in 72
0 likes   
GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 42
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2750 Postby Hammy » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:10 pm

NAM (which usually overblows everything) is only showing Cat 1 interestingly.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2751 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:11 pm



look at that orientation of the ridge.. NE to Sw and nosing in farther west.

think we are going to get a wsw dip agian.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

TheStormExpert

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2752 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:11 pm

:uarrow: With the way that ridge is oriented it looks like Dorian will start dipping WSW for some time @ 72hrs.
0 likes   

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3249
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2753 Postby chris_fit » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:11 pm

S of W component @ 72 hours
0 likes   

LarryWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6414
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2754 Postby LarryWx » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:12 pm

12Z Euro really slowing down in the Bahamas. Is it even going to make it to FL? We'll know soon.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

caneseddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1175
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 9:31 pm
Location: Plantation, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2755 Postby caneseddy » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:12 pm

chris_fit wrote:S of W component @ 72 hours


Looks like Euro is saying Miami
0 likes   

User avatar
ronjon
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4830
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 5:17 pm
Location: Hernando Beach, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2756 Postby ronjon » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:12 pm

0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2757 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:13 pm

yep 78 hours heading wsw to almost sw.. sheesh..
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2758 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:13 pm



just a tad farther south then the 6z run..
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20020
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2759 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:15 pm

Going south of west.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3249
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Models

#2760 Postby chris_fit » Thu Aug 29, 2019 1:16 pm

Image
0 likes   


Return to “2019”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 15 guests