ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

From my best analysis of the heights in the AF plane (no extrapolated pressure measured) it would be around 978mb.

[CrazyC83]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

[johngaltfla]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

Ugh. Once this sucker breaks below 970 mb, it could get ugly fast.

[eastcoastFL]

The track was not brought south.

I thought the disco said it was

The distance was so small you can't see it by eye on the 11AM and 5PM track maps. So I should have said it's negligible. I just don't want people reading on here that the track was shifted southward and thinking it was important in any way. Too many people are looking at day 5 like it was day 3. Day 5 has a very large error in location.

Fair enough. It was so small that i had to check sfwmd radar just to see if the track line moved. They're site is great for stuff like that.

[Blinhart]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

Since that is 92 mph, would they round down to 90 or up to 95???

[Highteeld]

972.7 mb extrap

[brock berlin]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

So it's weakening, since the wind speed was previously 85? I guess that's good news although it has several days of a good environment ahead of it.

[galaxy401]

If shear and dry air is affecting Dorian it's not weakening it, just slowing it down. Lowest pressures yet by recon so far.

[JtSmarts]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

Since that is 92 mph, would they round down to 90 or up to 95???

Most likely 90mph, 95 is rarely used like 55mph.

[wx98]

NOAA plane finds decent intensification, may be close to a Cat 2 now

[Kingarabian]

Only fittingly, recon finds Dorian stronger. I would go with 972mb for pressure and up the winds to 80kts.

[eastcoastFL]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

Thats quite a drop. I'm pretty sure the euro didn't show a drop like that until tomorrow.

[CrazyC83]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

Since that is 92 mph, would they round down to 90 or up to 95???

That would be 90 mph (they don't officially use 95 mph).

[Kingarabian]

Let's see how Dorian evolves with recon inside there, and how it deals with this shear.

[shiny-pebble]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

So it's weakening, since the wind speed was previously 85? I guess that's good news although it has several days of a good environment ahead of it.

85 miles per hour. Now its 90 miles per hour, its strengthened

Sent from my LG-H700 using Tapatalk

[CrazyC83]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

So it's weakening, since the wind speed was previously 85? I guess that's good news although it has several days of a good environment ahead of it.

80 kt = 90 mph. That would be a slight wind increase, but a big pressure decrease.

[wx98]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

So it's weakening, since the wind speed was previously 85? I guess that's good news although it has several days of a good environment ahead of it.

No the wind speed is now 75 kt, so it’s actually intensifying

[AtlanticWind]

Update: NOAA plane extrapolated 973 mb pressure and supports an 80 kt intensity.

So it's weakening, since the wind speed was previously 85? I guess that's good news although it has several days of a good environment ahead of it.

It's 80 knots not mph

[jlauderdal]

Be 95% prepared minimum on June 1. The only way to be.

The euro has two hurricanes heading west in the atlantic at day 8, keep your supplies handy

Where is the other one, I don't see an invest on the map yet.

they are model storms 8 days away, no invest yet and maybe never

[shiny-pebble]

I wonder if winds will follow with the pressure drop, even with the shear?

Sent from my LG-H700 using Tapatalk