ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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jlauderdal
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Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3881 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:42 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
rickybobby wrote:Went to grab some food that I can grill Incase I lose power and there were about 6 people in the return line at Publix because they heard it’s going to recurve and miss us. :eek:
Why dont they just use it, seriously all the back and forth is ridiculous..its food, you have to eat so dont tell me its a financial thing..furthermore, if you want to save money you dont go to publix


Unless you "need" bogo craft/import beers. Then it is a good deal. :D
There are deals there but they get it all back on the other stuff...publix is not the place to save money..anyway, returning stuff now is beyond idiotic
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Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3882 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:42 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
rickybobby wrote:Went to grab some food that I can grill Incase I lose power and there were about 6 people in the return line at Publix because they heard it’s going to recurve and miss us. :eek:
Why dont they just use it, seriously all the back and forth is ridiculous..its food, you have to eat so dont tell me its a financial thing..furthermore, if you want to save money you dont go to publix


Unless you "need" bogo craft/import beers. Then it is a good deal. :D
Ohhh yeah!

Sent from my SM-G930P using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3883 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:42 pm

rickybobby wrote:Went to grab some food that I can grill Incase I lose power and there were about 6 people in the return line at Publix because they heard it’s going to recurve and miss us. :eek:


I don't believe you.
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Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3884 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:43 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
rickybobby wrote:Went to grab some food that I can grill Incase I lose power and there were about 6 people in the return line at Publix because they heard it’s going to recurve and miss us. :eek:
Why dont they just use it, seriously all the back and forth is ridiculous..its food, you have to eat so dont tell me its a financial thing..furthermore, if you want to save money you dont go to publix


Unless you "need" bogo craft/import beers. Then it is a good deal. :D
Ohhh yeah!

Sent from my SM-G930P using Tapatalk
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3885 Postby psyclone » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:43 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
rickybobby wrote:Went to grab some food that I can grill Incase I lose power and there were about 6 people in the return line at Publix because they heard it’s going to recurve and miss us. :eek:
Why dont they just use it, seriously all the back and forth is ridiculous..its food, you have to eat so dont tell me its a financial thing..furthermore, if you want to save money you dont go to publix


Longtime readers know this is one of Rickybobby's favorite lines. Some iteration of this is always trotted out to much fanfare.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3886 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:44 pm

Dorian is officially a Cat 4.

Hurricane Dorian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019
830 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2019

...DORIAN STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...

Data from the NOAA Hurricane Hunters indicate that Dorian has
strengthened to an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane with
maximum sustained winds near 130 mph (215 km/h). This increase in
intensity will be reflected in the forecast issued at 1100 pm EDT
(0300 UTC).

SUMMARY OF 830 PM AST...0030 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 71.0W
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM E OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Latto
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3887 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:45 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
rickybobby wrote:Went to grab some food that I can grill Incase I lose power and there were about 6 people in the return line at Publix because they heard it’s going to recurve and miss us. :eek:


I don't believe you.
I totally believe it, i saw some masking tape today and it wasn't on the store shelves
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3888 Postby Ian2401 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:46 pm

mandatory evacs up for brevard county
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3889 Postby hohnywx » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:46 pm

Mandatory evacuations just ordered for Brevard and Martin Counties in Florida for the barrier islands and mobile homes. Set to go into effect Sunday evening. Godspeed to all :flag:
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3890 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:46 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
SFLcane wrote:John Morales from nbc6 seems a bit concerned now that Dorian is rapidly intensifying might it head further west.
John morales 30 minutes ago was talking about how positive the model trends were for sofla


Remember Irma? Dived down into Cuba SW and models did not show that just 48-72 hours out.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3891 Postby bqknight » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:47 pm

Definitely more of a west component now.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3892 Postby Highteeld » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:50 pm

Image
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3893 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:51 pm

gatorcane wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:
SFLcane wrote:John Morales from nbc6 seems a bit concerned now that Dorian is rapidly intensifying might it head further west.
John morales 30 minutes ago was talking about how positive the model trends were for sofla


Remember Irma? Dived down into Cuba SW and models did not show that just 48-72 hours out.
Yep, plenty of storms start going west and keep on chugging which is amazing with all the drops and launches, its so difficult to find the edges of the ridge...nobodys at fault, the atmosphere is so dynamic all the technology they throw at it is really no match beyond 48 hours
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3894 Postby caneseddy » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:51 pm

SFLcane wrote:John Morales from nbc6 seems a bit concerned now that Dorian is rapidly intensifying might it head further west.


He posted on Twitter that he is going to post a link to his interview with the NHC that aired earlier tonight where this was discussed in response to someone mentioning Levi’s video
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3895 Postby ozonepete » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:52 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
ozonepete wrote:
SFLcane wrote:John Morales from nbc6 seems a bit concerned now that Dorian is rapidly intensifying might it head further west.


John Morales needs to explain where he gets that logic from.
Send him a tweet, he responds sometimes


I don't do twitter anymore. It's a black hole of negativity. :)
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3896 Postby aperson » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:52 pm

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3897 Postby PandaCitrus » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:53 pm

Is this west component "on track" or deviating south of the model guidance?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3898 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:53 pm



Likely just a gust.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3899 Postby gailwarning » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:53 pm

SFLcane wrote:John Morales from nbc6 seems a bit concerned now that Dorian is rapidly intensifying might it head further west.

Question from an interested bystander: I think I recall that powerful storms "want" to spin north. Is that true, and if so, could it be a factor in this case?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3900 Postby Ian2401 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 7:53 pm

PandaCitrus wrote:Is this west component "on track" or deviating south of the model guidance?


will have to wait and see if its a wobble or an actual component
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