ATL: DORIAN - Models

[boulderrr]

Not seeing any northward jump in 18Z GFS. It is well south of the 12Z thus far and now shows a WSW trajectory between hours 78 and 84.

[MacTavish]

18z gfs dipped wsw at 84

[Blown Away]

SW at 84???

[FLpanhandle91]

There’s the jump north on the 18z gfs.
Here comes the turn.

Edit: and then straightens out.

?? Not seeing it through hour 84.

[hurricaneCW]

Models could be underestimating the wsw dip, if it's more pronounced then there's no way he'd miss Florida.

NW Bahamas getting destroyed on GFS.

[Kat5]

There’s the jump north on the 18z gfs.
Here comes the turn.

At 78 hours is still moving west, but slowed down to a crawl definite sign of a turn coming soon.

[FLpanhandle91]

Doomsday run.

[Steve]

18z gfs dipped wsw at 84

So does it move ala NAM/ICON or is the dip part of a stall and cyclonic loop before heading off north?
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 3018&fh=84

[jfk08c]

18z trying to bring back the SW dip that mysteriously disappeared from all the major runs

[Kingarabian]

18z GFS hours 72-84, dipping WSW:

[beachman80]

There’s the jump north on the 18z gfs.
Here comes the turn.

Edit: and then straightens out.

?? Not seeing it through hour 84.

Hour 72 and 90. I think it’s just wobbles.

[AtlanticWind]

Hope trough does not pass it bye on this run

[caneman]

There’s the jump north on the 18z gfs.
Here comes the turn.

At 78 hours is still moving west, but slowed down to a crawl definite sign of a turn coming soon.

That doesnt mean definite. Could be trapped between steering currents

[supercane4867]

Next shortwave racing across the Northern Plains at 84hr. It's all about timing

[PavelGaborik10]

Everytime I think I know what a certain model is going to do it does the opposite. Lol

[MrJames]

Legacy GFS down to 936 as it heads NNW at 90hrs

[Aric Dunn]

there was definitely a little dip at 84 hours. before turning.

[Kingarabian]

18z GFS hours 72-96, now moving WNW between hours 90 and 96:

[MacTavish]

18z gfs dipped wsw at 84

So does it move ala NAM/ICON or is the dip part of a stall and cyclonic loop before heading off north?
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 3018&fh=84

We`ll find out. Weak steering does funny things.

[caneman]

There’s the jump north on the 18z gfs.
Here comes the turn.

Edit: and then straightens out.

?? Not seeing it through hour 84.

Hour 72 and 90. I think it’s just wobbles.

That isnt just a wobble. Legit move to the wsw