ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5181 Postby ozonepete » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:52 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:continuing to chug along.. steering still looks intact.. how far west will it make it ?

https://imgshare.io/images/2019/08/31/1.gif


I'll keep quiet. :)
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5182 Postby sponger » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:53 pm

Someone needs to move the Euro to a more decent hour.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5183 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:54 pm

Umm, shouldn’t this be reaching its next forecast point by 5am? It’s about to reach it right now...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5184 Postby craptacular » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:55 pm

Recon just did a loop in and/or around the eye.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5185 Postby StruThiO » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:55 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5186 Postby La Sirena » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:56 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:Umm, shouldn’t this be reaching its next forecast point by 5am? It’s about to reach it right now...

Are they putting all their eggs in the stall idea?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5187 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:57 pm

One things for sure, the pressure is still dropping in Dorian. Now in the 930s.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5188 Postby Highteeld » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:59 pm

933 might be the winning number
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5189 Postby Kat5 » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:59 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
Hurrilurker wrote:Is it just me or does it feel like Dorian has been creeping west for about a week now?


and it is forecast to get even slower and possibly stall for 24-36 hours!


Seems to be hitting the breaks right now per sat.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5190 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 31, 2019 11:59 pm

ozonepete wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:continuing to chug along.. steering still looks intact.. how far west will it make it ?

https://imgshare.io/images/2019/08/31/1.gif


I'll keep quiet. :)


no please do .. lol
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5191 Postby StruThiO » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:00 am

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5192 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:02 am

Highteeld wrote:933 might be the winning number

I'm going to be peeved if it isn't about 935 or 936 mb.

>>> jordaneq(2543 * 311 / 313)
935.5763418530352
>>> jordaneq(2541 * 311 / 312)
936.2784134615384
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5193 Postby stormhunter7 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:02 am

935mb with 17 kts at eye dropsonde.... 933mb?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5194 Postby StPeteMike » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:02 am

I’ll take the loss here if I am wrong, but I think some models are overdoing the trough and off calculating the ridge and it’s strength.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5195 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:03 am

Looks like about 934 mb. Ehh, close enough, I'll take it.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5196 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:04 am

Saved loop from 2:51pm EDT on August 31st to 12:41am EDT September 1st:

Image

From:

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu ... 873&y=5612
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5197 Postby CronkPSU » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:06 am

Kat5 wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:
Hurrilurker wrote:Is it just me or does it feel like Dorian has been creeping west for about a week now?


and it is forecast to get even slower and possibly stall for 24-36 hours!


Seems to be hitting the breaks right now per sat.


not from what I see...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5198 Postby sponger » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:08 am

CronkPSU wrote:
Kat5 wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:
and it is forecast to get even slower and possibly stall for 24-36 hours!


Seems to be hitting the breaks right now per sat.


not from what I see...


Me either.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5199 Postby Texashawk » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:09 am

Is there a link to a good Bahamas radar? Can’t seem to find a good one on Google...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5200 Postby chaser1 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:09 am

Astromanía wrote:
abajan wrote:What if some of the people who work at the NHC were to become members of S2K and post replies to comments? That would be kinda interesting.

You got me!, damn!


Rappaport? You wild and crazy guy?! How goes it?
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