ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[StPeteMike]

Typically when a storm is about to take a pretty decent turn from its current movement, you can see a portion of that storm flatten out some. If the storm was expected to start hitting its brakes soon to eventually stall or start making a turn, I don’t see any evidence of that happening anytime soon with the west side of Dorian looking better in the past couple frames.

[tropicwatch]

Is there a link to a good Bahamas radar? Can’t seem to find a good one on Google...

http://smartmet.bahamasweather.org.bs/radarcomposite/

[CFLHurricane]

Saved loop from 2:51pm EDT on August 31st to 12:41am EDT September 1st:

https://i.imgur.com/ALos1K0.gif

From:

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu ... 873&y=5612

Look at Dorian winding up a knockout punch with those storms on its leading edge!

[KBBOCA]

I'm totally torn... on one hand, I wish for continued fast forward movement for the sake of all those in the Bahamas. The idea of a cat 5 stalling and sitting just about on top of Abaco / Grand Bahama for 36-48 hours has been just unimaginable.

But faster forward movement to the west delaying any stall /turn, of course, makes everything potentially that much worse for Florida.

My thoughts and prayers are with all in the Bahamas, and all trying to figure out what to do in Florida - emergency managers and residents. The uncertainty with this storm combined with the potential consequences of busting a forecast are pretty off the charts.

[tropicwatch]

Abacos Island seeing sustained tropical storm force winds now.

[sponger]

I know they are unpredictable but an ERC seems unlikely anytime soon.

[Texashawk]

Is there a link to a good Bahamas radar? Can’t seem to find a good one on Google...

http://smartmet.bahamasweather.org.bs/radarcomposite/

Thanks! This is perfect!

[ozonepete]

Is there a link to a good Bahamas radar? Can’t seem to find a good one on Google...

Here you go dude.

http://smartmet.bahamasweather.org.bs/radarcomposite/

[typhoonty]

Abacos Island seeing sustained tropical storm force winds now.

Do you have a link to that?

[catskillfire51]

Recon looks to have made another 180 and going back to the center

[tolakram]

450
URNT12 KNHC 010442
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052019
A. 01/04:42:50Z
B. 26.28 deg N 075.49 deg W
C. 700 mb 2532 m
D. 935 mb
E. NA
F. CLOSED
G. C13
H. 122 kt
I. 210 deg 4 nm 04:33:00Z
J. 313 deg 126 kt
K. 214 deg 6 nm 04:32:30Z
L. 121 kt
M. 036 deg 10 nm 04:47:00Z
N. 121 deg 145 kt
O. 035 deg 10 nm 04:46:30Z
P. NA / NA
Q. NA / NA
R. NA / NA
S. 1234 / 7
T. 0.02 / 1 nm
U. AF308 2505A DORIAN OB 29
MAX FL WIND 145 KT 035 / 10 NM 04:46:30Z

[Kat5]

Ridge starting to erode, the weakness is slowly establishing.

[tropicwatch]

Abacos Island seeing sustained tropical storm force winds now.

Do you have a link to that?

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABACOGU2

[NDG]

Beautiful Elbow Cay in Great Abaco Bahamas, is going to be wiped out, direct hit by Dorian looks eminent.

[AutoPenalti]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm6.GIF

Ridge starting to erode, the weakness is slowly establishing.

I don’t see that on the CIMSS...

[typhoonty]

Abacos Island seeing sustained tropical storm force winds now.

Do you have a link to that?

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IABACOGU2

Thank you!

[sponger]

Approximately 280 miles from the Florida East Coast.

[StPeteMike]

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm6.GIF

Ridge starting to erode, the weakness is slowly establishing.

I don’t see that on the CIMSS...

Yeah, I’m not seeing it either.

[Astromanía]

So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?

[caneman]

Approximately 280 miles from the Florida East Coast.

Still moving at 9 mph?