ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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STRiZZY
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5221 Postby STRiZZY » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:36 am

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5222 Postby sponger » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:36 am

caneman wrote:
sponger wrote:Approximately 280 miles from the Florida East Coast.


Still moving at 9 mph?


NHC calling it 8!
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5223 Postby NDG » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:36 am

Those TS force winds now at Abaco is from the first outer bands arriving around Dorian.

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5224 Postby bahamaswx » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:36 am

NDG wrote:Beautiful Elbow Cay in Great Abaco Bahamas, is going to be wiped out, direct hit by Dorian looks eminent.

[url]https://i.imgur.com/aFVIwcq.gif[url]
]

Yep. Abaco is full of beautiful little communities like this. Praying for them.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5225 Postby sikkar » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:37 am

Outer bands now showing on Miami long range. Shivers down my spine.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5226 Postby caneman » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:37 am

Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?


Weather geeks yes, I suppose most got prepared but many on the west coast have got on with their lives. Would be a pretty huge surprise
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5227 Postby Hammy » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:37 am

Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?


Hopefully they're treating it as if landfall is still a possibility, given the cone still covers much of the state.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5228 Postby CronkPSU » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:37 am

Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?


most people re still waiting and monitoring but a lot of people already called this a dud and wondering why the kids have off from school on Tuesday, lot of complacency now and thinking the threat is gone
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5229 Postby sponger » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:38 am

caneman wrote:
Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?


Weather geeks yes, I suppose most got prepared but many on the west coast have got on with their lives. Would be a pretty huge surprise


Publix in Saint Augustine was dead at 5:00. Not a good sign. Plenty of bread, deli, meat, seafood. Fully stocked.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5230 Postby caneman » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:39 am

CronkPSU wrote:
Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?


most people re still waiting and monitoring but a lot of people already called this a dud and wondering why the kids have off from school on Tuesday, lot of complacency now and thinking the threat is gone


Yep. I agree. Really surprised the NHC wasnt more aggressive at the 11 update but they seem confidant it will turn. We shall see.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5231 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:41 am

sponger wrote:
caneman wrote:
sponger wrote:Approximately 280 miles from the Florida East Coast.


Still moving at 9 mph?


NHC calling it 8!


I ran the numbers from the first recon position 5 hours ago to the most recent. it came to nearly 12 mph.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5232 Postby STRiZZY » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:42 am

2:00 AM EDT Sun Sep 1
Location: 26.3°N 75.6°W
Moving: W at 8 mph
Min pressure: 934 mb
Max sustained: 150 mph
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5233 Postby viberama » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:42 am

caneman wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:
Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?


most people re still waiting and monitoring but a lot of people already called this a dud and wondering why the kids have off from school on Tuesday, lot of complacency now and thinking the threat is gone


Yep. I agree. Really surprised the NHC wasnt more aggressive at the 11 update but they seem confidant it will turn. We shall see.


They're as confident as they can be because the models all trend to this solution. I trust the NHC knows what they are doing.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5234 Postby HDGator » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:43 am

Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?

From what I've seen here locally in northern Palm Beach County, people took things pretty seriously. They did prepare and I'm seeing a significant portions of the homes in my neighborhood with shutters completely up tonight and waiting. I think the preparedness message was delivered well to those that will listen. At the same time, I think expectations fell quite rapidly this afternoon for any kind of weather event. That's a shame given the potential forecast error and proximity of a Cat 4/5 storm.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5235 Postby sponger » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:43 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
sponger wrote:
caneman wrote:
Still moving at 9 mph?


NHC calling it 8!


I ran the numbers from the first recon position 5 hours ago to the most recent. it came to nearly 12 mph.


Wow! Seems more likely. It looks like it is hauling butt!!!
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5236 Postby StPeteMike » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:43 am

sponger wrote:
caneman wrote:
Astromanía wrote:So how the people in Florida are reacting now that the NHC don´t show a landfall in Florida but Dorian's movement seem to show another thing? they are still prepared in general?


Weather geeks yes, I suppose most got prepared but many on the west coast have got on with their lives. Would be a pretty huge surprise


Publix in Saint Augustine was dead at 5:00. Not a good sign. Plenty of bread, deli, meat, seafood. Fully stocked.

I work at Publix in St Pete and compared to Friday and Thursday, Saturday was almost a normal Saturday.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5237 Postby caneman » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:44 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
sponger wrote:
caneman wrote:
Still moving at 9 mph?


NHC calling it 8!


I ran the numbers from the first recon position 5 hours ago to the most recent. it came to nearly 12 mph.


That was the reason for my question. It seemed to have picked up speed. Not good. If this somehow hits Florida, its going to leave a bad taste in the mouths of many. I fear we have gotten too confidant in models. The NHC would likely take a pounding. I imagine they are on pins and needles.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5238 Postby STRiZZY » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:45 am

StPeteMike wrote:
sponger wrote:
caneman wrote:
Weather geeks yes, I suppose most got prepared but many on the west coast have got on with their lives. Would be a pretty huge surprise


Publix in Saint Augustine was dead at 5:00. Not a good sign. Plenty of bread, deli, meat, seafood. Fully stocked.

I work at Publix in St Pete and compared to Friday and Thursday, Saturday was almost a normal Saturday.


I've heard the same for others.

I used to work at 866 in Clearwater and 705 in Largo, which store are you at?
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5239 Postby MetroMike » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:45 am

StPeteMike wrote:
sponger wrote:
caneman wrote:
Weather geeks yes, I suppose most got prepared but many on the west coast have got on with their lives. Would be a pretty huge surprise


Publix in Saint Augustine was dead at 5:00. Not a good sign. Plenty of bread, deli, meat, seafood. Fully stocked.

I work at Publix in St Pete and compared to Friday and Thursday, Saturday was almost a normal Saturday.

Well we are out of the cone,and those that did shop did it on Wed. or Thurs.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5240 Postby caneman » Sun Sep 01, 2019 12:45 am

StPeteMike wrote:
sponger wrote:
caneman wrote:
Weather geeks yes, I suppose most got prepared but many on the west coast have got on with their lives. Would be a pretty huge surprise


Publix in Saint Augustine was dead at 5:00. Not a good sign. Plenty of bread, deli, meat, seafood. Fully stocked.

I work at Publix in St Pete and compared to Friday and Thursday, Saturday was almost a normal Saturday.


Yep. My sons work there. Thursday hyper busy and now everything is business as usual. I still think were fine buy I imagine it might be same for some in east coast and central florida
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