ATL: HUMBERTO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Ucfkid
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#541 Postby Ucfkid » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:45 am

I feel this is a cry wolf situation. For hurricane Dorian it was nothing but it's going to hit florida. Could be a weak cat 1. Than guys this hurricane can do serious damage. I had to leafs to pick up from my yard. Now Glen Richards on Tuesday said this would end up in the gulf and nothing to worry about. On the cw18 morning show the weather guy was hyping up the storm saying the east coast of Florida could see a high tropical storm or low end hurricane. People started to board their windows yesterday. Now it looks like it will miss Florida by over 75 miles. Next time a hurricane that is projected to hit florida people won't pay attention and it could cause serious problems.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#542 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:46 am

GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
GCANE wrote:Big-Ass Tower
Rotating Towers
Aric's Swirl
Feeder Band

Recon's flying the Feeder Band into the Big Ass Tower

https://i.imgur.com/WsdBfaO.png


Why is my name on there ? lol


That is where your swirl is.


no.. thats just a vort I have pointing the same area as you lol

that vort has been rotating south. it formed last night and got spit out
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#543 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:47 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
Why is my name on there ? lol


That is where your swirl is.


no.. thats just a vort I have pointing the same area as you lol

that vort has been rotating south. it formed last night and got spit out


OK, sorry I misunderstood.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#544 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:49 am

GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
GCANE wrote:
That is where your swirl is.


no.. thats just a vort I have pointing the same area as you lol

that vort has been rotating south. it formed last night and got spit out


OK, sorry I misunderstood.


no worries. but go check my posts. they all said something is east of that vort... :)
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#545 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:50 am

Those towers are really starting to rotate around each other nicely.
Classic spin up.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#546 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:50 am

and recon finds what we all suspected.. other vort needs to die for this to ramp up though.

Image
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#547 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:55 am

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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#548 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:56 am

Swirl is moving SE.
Feeder Band is speeding up.
Whole thing is rotating around the center of the multi-tower rotation.
Perfect timing for Recon.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#549 Postby tpr1967 » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:56 am

Aric Dunn wrote:Recon just flew through the vort in yellow. but that vort is mocing sw to almost south now. so its rotating around something larger. given the convective pattern, something more substantial is likely associated with that curved band feature with something being inside the blue circle.

https://i.ibb.co/zP60KjX/GOES13462019256bk-Vz-MP.jpg


Looks like it both could becoming together and become vertically stacked.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#550 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:59 am

Showing up on radar

Image
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#551 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:03 am

GCANE wrote:Big-Ass Tower
Rotating Towers
Aric's Swirl
Feeder Band

Recon's flying the Feeder Band into the Big Ass Tower

https://i.imgur.com/WsdBfaO.png



Was that an anatomy lesson? :lol:
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#552 Postby psyclone » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:09 am

Big jump well offshore for the 11 AM. No surprise there. Watch out Bermuda?
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#553 Postby Kazmit » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:10 am

psyclone wrote:Big jump well offshore for the 11 AM. No surprise there. Watch out Bermuda?

I'm watching. Although there's always the chance it will loop back.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#554 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:14 am

nhc placed the center with the MID level circ and now llc forming/formed to the east. well close to it.

Availa rarely ever goes into detail about the forecast and models. and this is no exception. hopefully stewart is on shift again later today.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#555 Postby Weatherboy1 » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:18 am

GCANE wrote:Big-Ass Tower
Rotating Towers
Aric's Swirl
Feeder Band

Recon's flying the Feeder Band into the Big Ass Tower

https://i.imgur.com/WsdBfaO.png


We need the NHC to include the "technical term" Big Ass Tower in a discussion. That would make my year! LOL
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#556 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:18 am

I believe with the NHC track they’re not trusting whether a loop will happen or not but for now it looks like they don’t trust a loop is going to happen, looks like one of those systems that is unpredictable
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#557 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:19 am

Rotation getting better by the minute on radar
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#558 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:19 am

cant wait for the next recon pass. the last 30 min has seen the low level flow into the llc to the east and rotation drastically increase. with a large burst of convection happening as well.
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#559 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:20 am

2.5 mb pressure drop
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Re: ATL: Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine - Discussion

#560 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:22 am

Another feeder band forming where that swirl was.
Gotta remember, really good outflow channels are in place.
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