ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5521 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:24 am

155 knot SFMR unflagged (172 knots flagged)

Flight level winds of 159 knots. I think there's evidence to support 150 knots, but we'll see what the NHC does.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5522 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:24 am

160kt flight level wind!!!
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5523 Postby USTropics » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:24 am

Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5524 Postby Highteeld » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:25 am

supercane4867 wrote::eek:

https://i.imgur.com/KtSfFzR.png

Irma territory
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Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5525 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:26 am

Current intensity 145-150kts at least
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5526 Postby delta lady » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:27 am

WmE wrote:
Ritzcraker wrote:
GCANE wrote:Cat 5 tracking into an anti-cyclone.
Now I see the hot-pink donut.
That sick feeling when I thought this goes sub 900mb before all said and done, just came back to me.

https://i.imgur.com/D2AL092.jpg


Once a storm hits sub 900mb does it take on any special properties? Has a sub 900mb Storm ever hit the US? Just curious...


The great Labor Day Hurricane 1935 hit Florida sub 900. As far as I know it's the only sub 900 landfall in the Atlantic.


The one thing that stands out in my mind about that hurricane is the photo of the train - blown off the tracks - lying on its side.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5527 Postby USTropics » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:27 am

Jim Edds was able to post a few minutes of video:
https://www.pscp.tv/w/1OwGWdlBbYjJQ
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5528 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:27 am

well now 7 hours of sleep and still chugging west.. I suppose im not surprised..
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5529 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:28 am

NOAA plane found 161kt SFMR unflagged
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5530 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:29 am

supercane4867 wrote:Current intensity 145-150kts at least


This is just madness. The poor people in the Bahamas. I have no words left :(


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5531 Postby EquusStorm » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:29 am

I can sort of see why the NHC held off last night, with slightly lower FL winds and upper 930s in pressure, but this is classic category five. We will probably be in the 910s before it hits Great Abaco. Sickening feeling :eek:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5532 Postby KWT » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:29 am

Still undergoing RI at the moment, plenty of evidence to go to 145kts at least, maybe 150...

Also pressure close to 920...still rapidly dropping before landfall...
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5533 Postby NDG » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:30 am

Wow, latest pass by the recon on the NW quadrant is even strong than the first one!!!
This is insane, hope the hurricane chasers in Abaco will be OK.

131430 2637N 07642W 6965 02851 9721 +086 +020 046133 138 115 020 03
131500 2636N 07641W 6970 02789 9665 +077 +021 046144 149 136 057 00
131530 2635N 07640W 6946 02727 9562 +086 +023 044153 156 155 061 00
131600 2634N 07639W 6982 02578 9445 +094 +025 045146 159 172 024 03
131630 2633N 07638W 6994 02485 9311 +143 +027 046105 131 156 000 03
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5534 Postby AutoPenalti » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:30 am

Aric Dunn wrote:well now 7 hours of sleep and still chugging west.. I suppose im not surprised..

It isn’t suppose to slow down until tomorrow morning I believe.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5535 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:31 am

These are some of the most insane recon passes I've seen since Irma.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5536 Postby johngaltfla » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:31 am

Aric Dunn wrote:well now 7 hours of sleep and still chugging west.. I suppose im not surprised..


I'm still skeptical of the "stall" that the models have been calling for.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5537 Postby KC7NEC » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:31 am

Wow-what a beast. I am very surprised that NHC didn't push at least Hurricane Watches in Florida. I feel like models always have issues with these monster storms.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5538 Postby Airboy » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:32 am

Extrap. Sfc. Press: 918.3 mb (27.12 inHg)
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5539 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:32 am



I have lived here all my life and i have never seen such an extremely well organized tropical cyclone so powerful.just off.our coast. RIight now at the time of this writing, Dorian is stronger than what Hugo, Mattthew, and Floyd were on approach., the big major hurricanes that threatned Jax the past 20-30 years. It is frightening to really process in full. Just an incredible cyclone no doubt about it!!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:34 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#5540 Postby KWT » Sun Sep 01, 2019 8:32 am

USTropics wrote:Jim Edds was able to post a few minutes of video:
https://www.pscp.tv/w/1OwGWdlBbYjJQ


I genuinely fear for his life here, amazingly dangerous situation and it's exceptionally rare for a cat 5 eyewall to make landfall in any basin.
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