ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Highteeld]

911 mb is likely the new pressure

[BYG Jacob]

https://i.imgur.com/ekNBomp.gif

Latest...

Buzzsaw, also getting uncomfortably close

[Highteeld]

911 mb is likely the new pressure

and just like that, it got even stronger^^ ^^

[SEASON_CANCELED]

This storm is amazing and terrifying. Why no ERC?

Never seen anything like it. Its like its feeding off another type of energy

[northjaxpro]

Extrap pressure down to 909mb

Yeah, just read that. Still rapidly intensifying!!

[Kazmit]

I've never seen a storm continue to intensify for so long without something like an ERC stopping it. It has been gaining strength for several days straight and it shows no signs of stopping.

[supercane4867]

The eyewall is moving onshore?

[wxman57]

Ignore the cone, it is completely meaningless!

So you’re telling people to ignore what the NHC director said? That anyone in the cone needs to pay attention and be prepared? I realize you’re a meteorologist, but that’s shameful. You of all people should know better than that.

He has stated that everyone should be already prepared but he does not expect hurricane impacts to Florida. Hope he's right...

What I'm saying is that the error cone says nothing about potential impacts or current forecast uncertainty. It is merely a statistical average error over the past 5 seasons, nothing more. Severe weather conditions often extend well outside that cone. I would be best if the NHC eliminated the cone and used a probabilistic area based on current model guidance, but even that would not say anything about potential impacts. Pay attention to the NHC forecasts, not the cone.

[Kazmit]

Likely to make it into the top 5 most intense landfalling Atlantic hurricanes.

[northjaxpro]

Just think everyone Dorian is still not even in the Gulf Stream Current yet. This RI is.occuring WAY WAYearlier than predicted or analyzed.

[Nederlander]

https://www.local10.com/

Tried to copy their tweet but they’ve had some really good live video

[Jr0d]

Live stream from Marsh Harbor. Doubt it will be up.much longer.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6RuhYgn41ms

[edu2703]

 https://twitter.com/KeviShader/status/1168184690060214272

[Yellow Evan]

Just think everyone Dorian is still not even in the Gulf Stream Current yet. This RI is.occuring WAY WAYearlier thanpreficted or analyzed.

At this point, I expect inner core dynamics to be the main driving force from here on out.

[edu2703]

Live stream from Marsh Harbor. Doubt it will be up.much longer.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6RuhYgn41ms

It's fake

[norva13x]

https://twitter.com/KeviShader/status/1168184690060214272

That level of drop blows my mind, this cannot be real

[Airboy]

913mb (26.96 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 26.4°C (79.5°F) 24.7°C (76°F) 5° (from the N) 20 knots (23 mph)

EDIT: sorry maybe old

[supercane4867]

Likely to make it into the top 5 most intense landfalling Atlantic hurricanes.

Should be 4th intense as far as I can remember, behind Larbor Day, Gilbert, and Camille. The pressure is lower than Irma in the Virgin Islands

[tiger_deF]

Reminds me of Irma 2 years ago, which never truly underwent an ERC and just went through "eyewall melds". Perhaps certain tropical cyclones in optimal conditions don't need to have their core replaced? Maybe ERC's are for slightly weaker major hurricanes, and strong enough hurricanes have potent enough inner cores that ERC's are nipped in the bud. More research definitely needs to go into this

[Bostonriff]

This storm is amazing and terrifying. Why no ERC?

It's a steady-state top-ended hurricane with an annular appearance in an otherwise high pressure environment preventing it from growing larger in size.