ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

Dorian is definitely wanting to challenge Patricia's hemispheric record here. I am just blown away by this!!

How much.lower will he go?

[Do_For_Love]

I just wanna express how in awe I am at the strength of this storm. This is unreal

[skillz305]

Live stream from Marsh Harbor. Doubt it will be up.much longer.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6RuhYgn41ms

The guy speaking just mentioned that the forecast has been actually moved more west with some models making landfall in Florida?

[Kat5]

Live stream from Marsh Harbor. Doubt it will be up.much longer.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6RuhYgn41ms

I’ve seen this video before...

[cheezyWXguy]

This storm is amazing and terrifying. Why no ERC?

It's a steady-state top-ended hurricane with an annular appearance in an otherwise high pressure environment preventing it from growing larger in size.

Not annular

[Javlin]

Not really buying the forward speed NHC did not have it scheduled to cross 77.1 till 4PM this afternoon by there own projections it's moving faster

INIT 01/0900Z 26.4N 76.0W 130 KT 150 MPH 4AM 9/1/19
12H 01/1800Z 26.6N 77.1W 135 KT 155 MPH

18Z is 2PM, not 4PM

I see what you are saying but it says 12hr and they do that with the next advisory only 9Z time then they go 12hrs

INIT 01/1500Z 26.5N 76.8W 155 KT 180 MPH
12H 02/0000Z 26.6N 77.7W 150 KT 175 MPH
24H 02/1200Z 26.8N 78.5W 145 KT 165 MPH
36H 03/0000Z 27.0N 79.0W 135 KT 155 MPH
48H 03/1200Z 27.4N 79.4W 120 KT 140 MPH
72H 04/1200Z 29.7N 80.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 05/1200Z 32.5N 79.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
120H 06/1200Z 35.5N 74.5W 80 KT 90 MPH

[stormhunter7]

NHC facebook live... Blake just said NOAA was inside eye and pressure was even lower. showed currect radar from plane. very well defined eyewall, no sign of 2nd eyewall on the picture.

[Camerooski]

Anyone have any idea if we may see a WSW drift today? Steering shows it...

[Highteeld]

To think the NAMNEST was the best model for intensity guidance (900 mb forecast last I checked)

[bahamaswx]

Thank God, he is still alive!
https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1168180452986884101

Well, this guy is nuts.

He'll be fine. Bahamas construction is like WWII pillboxes, because they get run over every odd year.

Maybe true for the Caymans, but not the Bahamas. It’s going to be very, very bad.

[Jonny]

If it goes slow and southwest enough, think there’s a slight chance it could cross FL even if it barely enters the GOM?

[supercane4867]

Just unbelievable

[underthwx]

I don't live in Florida, nor do any of my family, but this cyclone is causing me anxiety nonetheless...yall must feel it without a doubt...the longevity of a slow moving cyclone such as Dorian, combined with the unknown path it will ultimately take, is mentally draining, I have experienced total loss in a cyclone much less potent than Dorian...i mistakenly assumed we were in the clear, but I underestimated the power, and the nature that moves these storms, and it cost my family everything...the moral of the story is cliche... Prepare for the worst, and hope for the best. I wish each and everyone of you in harms way, the very best.

[wxman57]

3hr movement 278 deg at 7 kts.

[edu2703]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1168187492656472066

[ScottNAtlanta]

Wilma was down to 896 I believe.

[bohaiboy]

Marsh Harbor reporting winds NNW at 141 mph.

[decgirl66]

I saw this question a few pages back, but don't think it got a response, so I'll ask! Will the interference with land in the Bahamas weaken Dorian?

[Ptarmigan]

Wilma was down to 896 I believe.

Wilma bottomed out at 882 millibars.

[sma10]

Wilma was down to 896 I believe.

882