ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[1900hurricane]

160 kt/910 mb officially in best track.

AL, 05, 2019090118, , BEST, 0, 265N, 771W, 160, 910, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 110, 70, 90, 1011, 100, 10, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, DORIAN, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 013,
AL, 05, 2019090118, , BEST, 0, 265N, 771W, 160, 910, HU, 50, NEQ, 80, 50, 50, 50, 1011, 100, 10, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, DORIAN, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 013,
AL, 05, 2019090118, , BEST, 0, 265N, 771W, 160, 910, HU, 64, NEQ, 40, 30, 25, 25, 1011, 100, 10, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, DORIAN, D, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 013,

[chaser1]

So Miami is now under a Tropical storm Watch

Please copy/paste this official Tropical Storm Watch for South Miami (Miami-Dade County). I found no evidence of any Watches or Warnings for Miami-Dade County thus far

[SconnieCane]

Never seen such a perfectly round eye at landfall anywhere in the world except Haiyan. Irma (in Lesser Antilles) and Michael were close but not quite.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

[Jelff]

Hurricane Dorian now shows up on the NEXRAD radar. When you open the interactive map link shown below, one of the overlay layers that is 'on' shows a running forecast from NOAA for wind gusts in 48 hours - solid colors on the map.

For the legend, click "Map Tips" (link in upper left corner) then click the "Legend" button.

To display the cone of uncertainty, click the basemap button (next to "Menu" button). Look under the "Overlay" heading (mobile users scroll down) and click "Hurricane/Storm error cone".

The data overlays that the map can display are hosted on federal GIS (Geographical Information System) servers. Each time you open the map you will see the most recent data that is hosted on the servers. I produce this map as a public service and part of my way to "pay it forward".

Open GISsurfer interactive map:
https://mappingsupport.com/p2/gissurfer ... _flood.txt

[tropicwatch]

https://twitter.com/StormchaserUKEU/status/1168197599901507586

I think he found out that was a bad idea.

[Hayabusa]

05L DORIAN 190901 1800 26.5N 77.1W ATL 160 910

[Kingarabian]

160kts, speechless.

[wxman57]

3-hr movement on my workstation. Toward 284.8 deg. Moved 17 nm = 5.7 kts or 6.5 mph. Still slowing down. Josh Morgerman will have an interesting story to tell at next April's NTWC in S. Padre.

[sponger]

https://twitter.com/StormchaserUKEU/status/1168197599901507586

I think he found out that was a bad idea.

A. I am going to assume those are hurricane windows.

B. If true, I will purchase as soon as I can possibly afford them.

[SconnieCane]

3-hr movement on my workstation. Toward 284.8 deg. Moved 17 nm = 5.7 kts or 6.5 mph. Still slowing down. Josh Morgerman will have an interesting story to tell at next April's NTWC in S. Padre.

If he lives to tell it...

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

[underthwx]

I wonder if Hurricane watches will be expanded along the Florida coast soon?.

[AdamFirst]

3-hr movement on my workstation. Toward 284.8 deg. Moved 17 nm = 5.7 kts or 6.5 mph. Still slowing down. Josh Morgerman will have an interesting story to tell at next April's NTWC in S. Padre.

Worrying greatly for Jim Edds and everyone else on Elbow Cay. Video that has come out has been from Marsh Harbour.

[SEASON_CANCELED]

3-hr movement on my workstation. Toward 284.8 deg. Moved 17 nm = 5.7 kts or 6.5 mph. Still slowing down. Josh Morgerman will have an interesting story to tell at next April's NTWC in S. Padre.

If he lives to tell it...

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

He is going to be under 100mph winds for another 12 -24 hours if it stalls

[decgirl66]

What makes it stall? (if it does)

[northjaxpro]

I wonder if Hurricane watches will be expanded along the Florida coast soon?.

. They could be.posted later tonight by the 11:00 package, I would think maybe by 8;00, which would include Jacksonvile metro area.

[TallyTracker]

This what happens when a storm has enough time over warm waters and low shear. Beautiful storm but tragic that it is hitting land. #prayingforthebahamas

[TheDreamTraveler]

Never seen such a perfectly round eye at landfall anywhere in the world except Haiyan. Irma (in Lesser Antilles) and Michael were close but not quite.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Yeah I was thinking the exact same thing. This storm is historic.

[chaser1]

The models section is going berzerk everytime a new update comes out but it seems that there are many factors for DORIAN and increased climate change that is offsetting algorithms.

its a constant WEST projection with a high pressure system supressing it south of it almost like a magnet moving another.

i feel its time to analize that high pressure system.if it stays equal or not substantially weaker it seems the system(dorian) will follow a path of least resistance (west).

theres a huge war of “proportionate” movements and its effects on surrounding systems.

also at what point does a system make a sharp NORTH turn with this same system not weakening all that much if any at all.

Is it realistic this system will open a small hole allowing dorian to sneak NORTH? is that northern high pressure system really changing that much at this very moment??

8-Ball say's..... "yes"

[CrazyC83]

I wonder if Hurricane watches will be expanded along the Florida coast soon?.

Probably northward at least. May need to add a touch to the south too?

[SFLcane]

I would think that with a 93% chance of seeing TS winds in Broward the watch should be upgraded to a warning at 5pm.