ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Senobia]

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149341485638324224

Yup, that is the issue right now with Barry.
It's UL dry air combined with a 200mb Vort (UL PV Anomaly)
This creates sinking air and skews Barry's LL Vorts away from it, in this case to the west.

However, this feature has some moisture starting to build in it.
Very likely afternoon popups will significantly erode this and allow Barry to snap back and intensify.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img923/1841/4agO99.png

So, what's that large, circular area south of the TX/LA border? Just a part of Barry?

[GCANE]

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149341485638324224

Yup, that is the issue right now with Barry.
It's UL dry air combined with a 200mb Vort (UL PV Anomaly)
This creates sinking air and skews Barry's LL Vorts away from it, in this case to the west.

However, this feature has some moisture starting to build in it.
Very likely afternoon popups will significantly erode this and allow Barry to snap back and intensify.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img923/1841/4agO99.png

So, what's that large, circular area south of the TX/LA border? Just a part of Barry?

Remnants of a strong Hot Tower.
Pretty far away from the center of Barry.

[Airboy]

Looks like the center has moved a bit SE from recon data? or?

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149370916754866176

[Aric Dunn]

Recon flew threw previous center fixes and found se to east winds.. so a new center is somewhere to the west.. or maybe the larger vort will rotate down and take all the rotational energy with it and take hold farther south into convection. If it does add in the fact the trough is no longer digging and barry is in a classic CoL situation would start leading to the ukmet solution.

[crimi481]

Am I crazy to think Barry goes N.E.?
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=c ... =undefined

[birddogsc]

Recon flew threw previous center fixes and found se to east winds.. so a new center is somewhere to the west.. or maybe the larger vort will rotate down and take all the rotational every with it and take hold farther south into convection. If it does add in the fact the trough is no longer digging and barry is in a classic CoL situation would start leading to the ukmet solution.

CoL?

[Nederlander]

Am I crazy to think Barry goes N.E.?
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=c ... =undefined

Well, I mean currently the center is diving SW...

[Tireman4]

Recon flew threw previous center fixes and found se to east winds.. so a new center is somewhere to the west.. or maybe the larger vort will rotate down and take all the rotational every with it and take hold farther south into convection. If it does add in the fact the trough is no longer digging and barry is in a classic CoL situation would start leading to the ukmet solution.

Maybe..maybe..maybe..the UKMET was onto something and not sniffing glue..LOL...We shall see

[wxman57]

Swirl popped one.

Nah, that's not the center. It's the little swirl that moved SW past the mouth of the Mississippi a few hours ago. There really isn't a well-defined center, just a central point between all the little eddies. that makes it very hard to strengthen. Here's a sat pic with red crosshairs where the center may be. It's east of that little vortex that's now rotating southward.

[gfsperpendicular]

That little tower over the exposed swirl is already dissipating, torn apart by shear.

[SootyTern]

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149370916754866176

so what we have here is a typical early season classic triple-vortex eyesore?

[Aric Dunn]

That little tower over the exposed swirl is already dissipating, torn apart by shear.

It needs to be wstched now as it bottoms out in the dee convection later well to the south. Its large enough that it might take hold

[tarheelprogrammer]

This is where I see the new center at, or at least the likely relocation of a center:

[wxman57]

https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149370916754866176

so what we have here is a typical early season classic triple-vortex eyesore?

That's pretty much it, for now. Claudette looked like that across the south-central Gulf in 2003. Eventually, one of the rotating vortices took over and convection built around it. Claudette was strengthening quite quickly when it reached the Texas coast. With all that dry air to Barry's north, I don't think it'll "pull a Claudette".

[Nederlander]

This is where I see the new center at, or at least the likely relocation of a center:

https://i.ibb.co/nDzMbs1/Center-Of-Barry.png

Was just about to post this. Let’s see if that swirl doesn't get pulled into that convection and establish itself.

[wxman57]

This is where I see the new center at, or at least the likely relocation of a center:

https://i.ibb.co/nDzMbs1/Center-Of-Barry.png

Too far south. It's in that clear area to the north a bit - maybe a little south of the red crosshairs on the image I posted. Maybe 27.7 or 27.8N.

[ColdMiser123]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1149370916754866176

[gfsperpendicular]

That little tower over the exposed swirl is already dissipating, torn apart by shear.

It needs to be wstched now as it bottoms out in the dee convection later well to the south. Its large enough that it might take hold

Convection is thriving just a little bit south of that swirl (new band is popping up around 90W, 27.5N) and the swirl itself has been losing a fair bit of latitude recently. Looks like it's about to cross 28N.

[hriverajr]

That little tower over the exposed swirl is already dissipating, torn apart by shear.

It needs to be wstched now as it bottoms out in the dee convection later well to the south. Its large enough that it might take hold

I agree with you, there is a chance it becomes dominant.