BoB: FANI - Post-Tropical

[Hayabusa]

2019MAY02 111500 6.0 939.1 115.0 6.0 6.0 7.2 1.3T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF 1.62 -79.95 EYE 18 IR 62.7 17.53 -84.92 ARCHER MSG1 53.1

[ThePhoneExpert]

This thing has a shot at Category 5 status. Dvorak numbers risen and eye temperatures have also risen. (my first ever post in this forum)

[Hayabusa]

[euro6208]

Lost in my mind. What's the strongest cyclone to ever hit India? How about the entire North Indian Ocean?

[Hayabusa]

2019MAY02 121500 6.0 939.1 115.0 5.9 6.1 7.3 1.3T/6hr ON OFF OFF OFF 12.74 -79.67 EYE 17 IR 69.0 17.63 -84.92 ARCHER MSG1 53.1

[TorSkk]

DT number is 7.0 as the surrounding CMG is technically too thin

[Hayabusa]

01B FANI 190502 1200 17.6N 84.8E IO 135 917

[TorSkk]

I wonder if IMD will decide to upgrade to a Super Cyclonic Storm.

[euro6208]

TPIO10 PGTW 021208

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI)

B. 02/1145Z

C. 17.53N

D. 84.92E

E. ONE/MET8

F. T7.0/7.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 07A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY CMG
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.5. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD
A DT OF 7.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
02/0721Z 16.92N 84.80E MMHS
02/0726Z 17.02N 84.82E AMS2


MILAM

[doomhaMwx]

Visakhapatnam radar
http://www.imd.gov.in/pages/radar_main.php?adta=vsk

[doomhaMwx]

Two large cities under the gun: Brahmapur and Puri.

[1900hurricane]

DT number is 7.0 as the surrounding CMG is technically too thin

https://i.imgur.com/EDGuWIx.jpg

Doesn't look like it to me. CMG appears to be well over the 30 nm/0.5º embedded shade threshold at that time (although not anymore).

[TorSkk]

DT number is 7.0 as the surrounding CMG is technically too thin

https://i.imgur.com/EDGuWIx.jpg

Doesn't look like it to me. CMG appears to be well over the 30 nm/0.5º embedded shade threshold at that time (although not anymore).

Yes, my bad. Forgot the radius of the inner circle is actually 1 degree long, not 0.5

[doomhaMwx]

TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190502/1200Z
TC: FANI
NR: 23
PSN: N1730E08448
MOV: N08KT
C: 0937HPA
MAX WIND: 110KT

[TorSkk]

TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20190502/1200Z
TC: FANI
NR: 23
PSN: N1730E08448
MOV: N08KT
C: 0937HPA
MAX WIND: 110KT

Super Cyclonic Storm category is basically useless as it would probably take a storm with a CDG ring for IMD to make an upgrade

[TorSkk]

AS PER THE SATELLITE IMAGERY OF 1200 UTC OF 02
ND MAY, 2019 THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF
THE SYSTEM OVER WEST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL IS C.I 6.0. EYE WITH A DIAMETER OF ABOUT
20 KMS IS VISIBLE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. DT IS 6.0. PT AND MET ALSO AGREE WITH THIS. THE
ASSOCIATED BROKEN LOW TO MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL BETWEEN LATITUDE 16.2°N TO 19.4°N TO THE
WEST OF LONG.86.5 °E. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 93°C

[Yellow Evan]

For once all agencies seem to agree this is a T7.0.

02/1430 UTC 17.8N 85.0E T7.0/7.0 FANI -- Bay of Bengal

TPIO10 PGTW 021449

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (FANI)

B. 02/1430Z

C. 17.76N

D. 84.94E

E. ONE/MET8

F. T7.0/7.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR CMG, TO YIELD
A DT OF 7.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
02/1137Z 17.57N 84.80E SSMS
02/1229Z 17.67N 84.80E SSMS


MILAM

[Bunkertor]

https://i.imgur.com/tq1nxUt.png

Now, that is Big Bertha.
Which pages do you, fellow colleagues, use ? I have RAMMB, but it is not for all regions. Is there something similar available for the far east ?

[1900hurricane]

https://i.imgur.com/tq1nxUt.png

Now, that is Big Bertha.
Which pages do you, fellow colleagues, use ? I have RAMMB, but it is not for all regions. Is there something similar available for the far east ?

Looks liike the RAMMB SLIDER page for Himawari-8, using CIRA GeoColor.

[Bunkertor]

https://i.imgur.com/tq1nxUt.png

Now, that is Big Bertha.
Which pages do you, fellow colleagues, use ? I have RAMMB, but it is not for all regions. Is there something similar available for the far east ?

Looks liike the RAMMB SLIDER page for Himawari-8, using CIRA GeoColor.

Yes, you can see it spinning on the western edge of the map