ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[supercane4867]

The good thing about recon data is it doesn’t care about opinions. Barry was a hurricane and there is plenty of evidence to prove it. Coastal Louisiana residents on the east side of the center would be happy to enlighten anyone one who doubts this was a hurricane. They have been battered for 24 hours straight by high winds and surge.

Technically, recon didn't find any >64kt surface winds as mentioned in the discussion. Highest flight level wind at 850mb layer is only 72kt which converts to ~58kt at surface. SFMR readings were recorded very near the coast which could've been inflated somewhat. The upgrade was based on assumption that the strongest winds may not have been sampled. There were probably a few small areas of transient hurricane force winds existed early this morning but I'm not sure they are representative of the actual intensity of the storm

(talking in academic perspective not regarding to the effects or damage potential)

[TheStormExpert]

Wait Barry became a hurricane!? Blink and you missed it!

[Hurricane_Apu]

New Iberia currently has winds 45 gusting to 60. Play time is just about over in Lafayette...

[Innotech]

just woke up to some pretty good gusts and slightly heavier rain but still nothing I would call really dangerous or threatening. feels pretty good out here in Youngsville

[Snowman67]

Deep convection starting to move into south central Louisiana.

[plasticup]

Barry was a hurricane and there is plenty of evidence to prove it.

Can you share some of it?

[wxman57]

The good thing about recon data is it doesn’t care about opinions. Barry was a hurricane and there is plenty of evidence to prove it. Coastal Louisiana residents on the east side of the center would be happy to enlighten anyone one who doubts this was a hurricane. They have been battered for 24 hours straight by high winds and surge.

Technically, recon didn't find any >64kt surface winds as mentioned in the discussion. Highest flight level wind at 850mb layer is only 72kt which converts to ~58kt at surface. SFMR readings were recorded very near the coast which could've been inflated somewhat. The upgrade was based on assumption that the strongest winds may not have been sampled. There were probably a few small areas of transient hurricane force winds existed early this morning but I'm not sure they are representative of the actual intensity of the storm

(talking in academic perspective not regarding to the effects or damage potential)

Good points, I agree. No hurricane-strength winds were observed by recon. Yeah, there could have been stronger winds that the plane didn't measure, but I think upgrades should be based on observations, not suppositions.

Note that it doesn't take hurricane strength winds to cause damage. 50-65 mph winds can cause plenty of damage (wind and high tides).

[tolakram]

saved radar image

[tolakram]

[Innotech]

Lafayette finally getting some rain bands. the center seems to have gone over so there wasnt much until now. most rain has been concentrated eastward but its our turn.

[Ubuntwo]

For anyone doubting this was a hurricane, this was the NHC’s quite reasonable justification:

Between 11-12Z, the National Ocean Service station at Eugene
Island, Louisiana, reported sustained winds of 62 kt and a peak
gust of 74 kt at an elevation of about 10 m. Doppler radar winds
from the Slidell WSR-88D suggested surface winds of 60-65 kt as
well.

[daromaine]

Can anyone tell me if we'll get anything in Abbeville? It's currently raining a little and it's really the first real rain today. A little breezy but nothing to brag about. Should we expect anything later or are we good???

[PTrackerLA]

After hours in the very calm center of Barry winds picked up in earnest about an hour or so ago with steady tropical showers. New Iberia airport which is about 15 miles ESE of me is reporting 45mph sustained gusting to 60mph. We're probably in mid 30's for gusts now so the stronger winds are encroaching. Watching the radar carefully for how the inland rains will set up and this squall due south of Lafayette has me concerned due to the lightning in it.

[Hurricane_Apu]

The fun has just begun...

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml

Steady rain here in Lafayette, although oddly the winds died down a bit as the heavy rain started (there were a few gusts to ~50 earlier).

[PTrackerLA]

Power outages are slowly building in Louisiana with roughly 130,000 customers out as of 415pm

[BigB0882]

The wind has really calmed down in BTR but it looks like the rain may finally pick up over the next few hours. We have really dodged a bullet so far. Hopefully the GFS is wrong with their QPF for our area. They are the only model showing that.

[weunice]

The wind has really calmed down in BTR but it looks like the rain may finally pick up over the next few hours. We have really dodged a bullet so far. Hopefully the GFS is wrong with their QPF for our area. They are the only model showing that.

I think the next iteration of the GFS will fall in line with the rest and bring the greater rain totals to the west. I don't want to "call it" but the rivers are well below their projections currently. Any revisions to the crest forecasts, I believe, will be down. People around here are already calling it the "great mist". I hope the celebration is not premature. The bulk of the moisture still has not moved inland and, as we can see with what happened in Mobile, it can come in well east of the center.

[MGC]

Rain has quit here in Pass Christian. I've measured 3 1/2 inches for Barry. Hope everyone in Barry's path stays safe.......MGC

[weunice]

The wind has really calmed down in BTR but it looks like the rain may finally pick up over the next few hours. We have really dodged a bullet so far. Hopefully the GFS is wrong with their QPF for our area. They are the only model showing that.

I think the next iteration of the GFS will fall in line with the rest and bring the greater rain totals to the west. I don't want to "call it" but the rivers are well below their projections currently. Any revisions to the crest forecasts, I believe, will be down. People around here are already calling it the "great mist". I hope the celebration is not premature. The bulk of the moisture still has not moved inland and, as we can see with what happened in Mobile, it can come in well east of the center.

Aaaaandd color me kinda wrong. Totals are down and to the west some but the GFS hits the Baton Rouge area with fairly significant rain totals (just not 15-20").

[Nederlander]

Landfall aaaaand the thread dies...