WPAC: Tropical Depression 96W

[1900hurricane]

A South China Sea invest.

96W INVEST 190805 1800 16.0N 118.0E WPAC 20 -1

[Hayabusa]

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1000 HPA NEAR 16N 117E ALMOST STATIONARY.

[Hayabusa]

It's already a non warning TD since 12Z
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 15N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY.

[Hayabusa]

Already medium

ABPW10 PGTW 061730
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061730Z-070600ZAUG2019//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061352ZAUG2019//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061351ZAUG2019//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061353ZAUG2019//
NARR/REFS A, B AND C ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/

B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
15.7N 117.5E, APPROXIMATELY 212 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH CONVECTION SHEARED TO
THE SOUTHWEST. A 061349Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS
SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH AND DEEP CONVECTION
CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN SECTOR. A 061351Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS
DEPICTS THE ELONGATED LLC WITH AN ISOLATED AREA OF 25-30 KT WINDS TO
THE SOUTHWEST THAT ARE NOT YET WRAPPED AROUND, WITH WEAKER 15 KT
WINDS ELSEWHERE SURROUNDING THE STORM. 96W IS CURRENTLY IN A
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH VERY WARM (28 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY LIMITED DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE
TO HIGH (20 TO 25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN
A DISTINCT CIRCULATION WITH A LIMITED WINDOW FOR INTENSIFICATION AS
96W MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AND IS EVENTUALLY ABSORBED BY TS 10W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

[Hayabusa]

18Z

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 996 HPA
AT 15.9N 117.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.

[Yellow Evan]

To the surprise of no one, ASCAT is being ignored.

[Nancy Smar]

It's already a non warning TD since 12Z
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 15N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY.

In fact, it has become a TD since 09Z.(please refer to http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/g3/images/jp_c/19080618.png)
The word "熱低" means tropical depression in English.

[1900hurricane]

It's already a non warning TD since 12Z
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 15N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY.

Thanks, I made sure to update the thread title!

[euro6208]

Remains MEDIUM.


THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.7N 117.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 117.5E, APPROXIMATELY
225 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 070220Z 89GHZ MHS METOP-B MICROWAVE IMAGE
DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WEAK
CONVECTION SHEARED OVER 60NM TO THE SOUTHWEST. A 070221Z METOP-B 25KM
RESOLUTION ASCAT DIRECT PASS DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLC WITH 10-15 KNOT
WIND BARBS. THERE IS AN AREA OF 25-30 KNOT WIND BARBS 90 NM TO THE
SOUTHWEST UNDER THE CONVECTION AND NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLC. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS 96W IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW THAT IS OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KNOT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SSTS ARE FAVORABLE AT 29-30 DEGREES CELSIUS.
GLOBAL MODELS SHOW 96W MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AND EVENTUALLY BEING
ABSORBED BY TY 10W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.

[Hayabusa]

It's already a non warning TD since 12Z
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 15N 118E ALMOST STATIONARY.

In fact, it has become a TD since 09Z.(please refer to http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/g3/images/jp_c/19080618.png)
The word "熱低" means tropical depression in English.

I see thanks, so that's the kanji of tropical depression but if I try to interpret it literally it reads as heat low/short?. Well whatever

[doomhaMwx]

Remains exposed. Will be absorbed into the outer periphery of TY Lekima on the next 24hrs or so.

[euro6208]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.1N 117.8E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.