15W LINGLING 190905 0000 24.1N 125.4E WPAC 115 930
Now a category 4.
WPAC: LINGLING - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
Creeping closer.
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
James probably getting slammed right now.
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
As of 03 UTC, the weather stations in Miyakojima are reporting sustained winds of 69 kt gusting to 100 kt. Lowest pressure so far is 961.1 mb.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
METAR: ROMY 050300Z 05069G91KT 1000 R22/0100N +SHRA SCT005 BKN008 BKN013 SCT020CB 26/25 Q0959
959
959
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
https://twitter.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1169450137376002048
https://twitter.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1169454024975777793
https://twitter.com/EarthUncutTV/status/1169454024975777793
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
JMA - 950 hpa
JtWC - 930 hpa
Which would be closer to reality.
We'll know it in a few minutes
JtWC - 930 hpa
Which would be closer to reality.
We'll know it in a few minutes
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
I bet it's in between, but closer to JTWC. Maybe 935 mb or so.
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NotoSans
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
Up to 945mb/90kt from JMA. We’ll probably know the central pressure in the next hour.
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
04Z pressure reading will be interesting since it appears most of the island is in the eye now. James also has a barometer on him.
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
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NotoSans
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
And the lottery result is out...945.1 mb from Miyakojima, winds at 10m/s now so likely inside the eye.
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
I see 945.1 mb at 04Z at the main Miyakojima station. Highest gust I've found is 61.2 m/s (119 kt) at one of the nearby ones.
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mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
METAR: ROMY 050400Z 07016KT 3000 -SHRA BR FEW005 BKN012 FEW020CB BKN/// 27/27 Q0944
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
Using 944 mb as the minimum pressure and JTWC best track stuff, I get 105 kt and 107 kt using r34 and rOCI KZCs, respectively. That seems reasonable enough.
Shimoji was still in the inner portions of the eyewall at 04Z and reported a 46.5 m/s (~90 kt) sustained 10 minute wind. Converting to 1 minute sustained is about 103 kt. This location is also near but just on the left side of the eye's centerline. Anything from 105-115 kt looks like an acceptable intensity estimate to me.
Shimoji was still in the inner portions of the eyewall at 04Z and reported a 46.5 m/s (~90 kt) sustained 10 minute wind. Converting to 1 minute sustained is about 103 kt. This location is also near but just on the left side of the eye's centerline. Anything from 105-115 kt looks like an acceptable intensity estimate to me.
Last edited by 1900hurricane on Wed Sep 04, 2019 11:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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NotoSans
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
10-min sustained winds of 92.7KT was recorded in Shimojishima Airport. Using the conversion factors in Harper 2010 gives 1-min sustained winds of 102.9KT. Considering that maximum winds may not have been recorded by the station, 110KT sounds like a reasonable estimate to me.
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1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
Ha, I just edited my previous post with that same wind data! I divided by the 0.88 conversion used in Courtney and Knaff '09 though (that's the one I typically use).
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Re: WPAC: LINGLING - Typhoon
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