WPAC: INVEST 92W

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Hayabusa
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WPAC: INVEST 92W

#1 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Sep 30, 2019 1:31 pm

Well...
92W INVEST 190930 1200 9.0N 177.0E WPAC 15 0
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#2 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Sep 30, 2019 4:06 pm

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 12N 174E WEST SLOWLY.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#3 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Sep 30, 2019 5:26 pm

I think this is the system the GFS was aggressively developing just after Mitag till it dropped it, had GFS continued consistently developing it I actually expected it to be tagged as an invest by October 1-2 but it still became an invest and got tagged early (I was a little off in my prediction) despite the GFS isn't being consistent with this anymore recently
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#4 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Sep 30, 2019 11:43 pm

Zzzzz...

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#5 Postby Hayabusa » Mon Sep 30, 2019 11:44 pm

The GFS 00Z tho
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#6 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Sep 30, 2019 11:51 pm

Maybe I'll be awake a week from now. : P
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#7 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 01, 2019 5:51 am

92W INVEST
As of 06:00 UTC Oct 01, 2019:

Location: 9.7°N 174.9°E
Maximum Winds: 15 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009 mb

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#8 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Oct 01, 2019 11:42 am

Image
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#9 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 01, 2019 7:15 pm

It's back and now has EURO support.

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#10 Postby euro6208 » Tue Oct 01, 2019 7:17 pm

GFS hops back onboard. :lol:

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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#11 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Oct 02, 2019 5:07 am

Last 2 runs from GFS (latest 6Z) has development start more sooner.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#12 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Oct 02, 2019 6:19 am

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Last edited by Hayabusa on Wed Oct 02, 2019 9:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#13 Postby euro6208 » Wed Oct 02, 2019 8:24 am

Ouch didn't see that. Looks like 92W was dropped from BT.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#14 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Oct 02, 2019 8:46 am

Yeah it is gone but technically GFS still develops 92W (or its "remnants") from latest runs.
From latest vorticity map, there isn't much vorticity around the area of 92W. In fact the one near 155E+ (tagged as an LPA by JMA) I am quite surprised it's not an invest yet or the other one near 130E where it's currently a non warning TD by JMA.

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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#15 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Oct 02, 2019 5:48 pm

Image
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#16 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Oct 02, 2019 9:05 pm

Looks like the disturbance has been redesignated as Invest 93W.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#17 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Oct 02, 2019 9:23 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Looks like the disturbance has been redesignated as Invest 93W.

I see, I just saw it just now. Should we merge it or leave it as is or rename?
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#18 Postby Nancy Smar » Wed Oct 02, 2019 11:33 pm

Hayabusa wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:Looks like the disturbance has been redesignated as Invest 93W.

I see, I just saw it just now. Should we merge it or leave it as is or rename?

According to a lot of satellite images, I think they are not the same system and invest 92W has already dissipated.Probably We should not merge it.
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#19 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Oct 03, 2019 3:54 pm

Nancy Smar wrote:
Hayabusa wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:Looks like the disturbance has been redesignated as Invest 93W.

I see, I just saw it just now. Should we merge it or leave it as is or rename?

According to a lot of satellite images, I think they are not the same system and invest 92W has already dissipated.Probably We should not merge it.


Well, alright
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい！！！
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 92W

#20 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Oct 03, 2019 11:22 pm

I'm not sure. I have no strong opinion either way.
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