WPAC: KALMAEGI - Post-Tropical
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Depression 'b' (27W)
JMA weather maps sees STS in 48 hours
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/RzKBCd7.png)
TS 1926 (Kalmaegi)
Issued at 01:25 UTC, 13 November 2019
<Analysis at 00 UTC, 13 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N12°55' (12.9°)
E128°50' (128.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15 km/h (8 kt)
Central pressure 1002 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 14 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°20' (14.3°)
E125°25' (125.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (9 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°10' (16.2°)
E123°25' (123.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 170 km (90 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°40' (17.7°)
E123°05' (123.1°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slow
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 300 km (160 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N18°35' (18.6°)
E121°50' (121.8°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slow
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 430 km (230 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N19°10' (19.2°)
E121°00' (121.0°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 600 km (325 NM)
Issued at 01:25 UTC, 13 November 2019
<Analysis at 00 UTC, 13 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N12°55' (12.9°)
E128°50' (128.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15 km/h (8 kt)
Central pressure 1002 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 14 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°20' (14.3°)
E125°25' (125.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (9 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°10' (16.2°)
E123°25' (123.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 170 km (90 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°40' (17.7°)
E123°05' (123.1°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slow
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 300 km (160 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N18°35' (18.6°)
E121°50' (121.8°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slow
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 430 km (230 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N19°10' (19.2°)
E121°00' (121.0°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 600 km (325 NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
![roflmao :roflmao:](./images/smilies/r.gif)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/5dGVrJB.png)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
Hayabusa wrote::roflmao:
https://i.imgur.com/5dGVrJB.png
LOL. What happened to UKMET? They've taken another route.
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These are only my personal views or opinions. They are not verified and may cause danger. For your reference please seek official forecast.
- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
climateconcernnew wrote:Hayabusa wrote::roflmao:
https://i.imgur.com/5dGVrJB.png
LOL. What happened to UKMET? They've taken another route.
Probably depends on how strong Kalmaegi gets. If it becomes a typhoon as UKMET shows, higher chance of a poleward track.
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/Jwh6cE2.png)
TS 1926 (Kalmaegi)
Issued at 07:05 UTC, 13 November 2019
<Analysis at 06 UTC, 13 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N13°05' (13.1°)
E128°30' (128.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 18 UTC, 13 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N13°55' (13.9°)
E127°00' (127.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (8 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 60 km (30 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 14 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°20' (14.3°)
E126°00' (126.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 90 km (50 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°40' (16.7°)
E124°20' (124.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 170 km (90 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°55' (17.9°)
E124°20' (124.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slow
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 300 km (160 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 350 km (190 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N19°05' (19.1°)
E122°40' (122.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slow
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 430 km (230 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 500 km (270 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N19°30' (19.5°)
E121°50' (121.8°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 600 km (325 NM)
Issued at 07:05 UTC, 13 November 2019
<Analysis at 06 UTC, 13 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N13°05' (13.1°)
E128°30' (128.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 18 UTC, 13 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N13°55' (13.9°)
E127°00' (127.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (8 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 60 km (30 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 14 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N14°20' (14.3°)
E126°00' (126.0°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
Radius of probability circle 90 km (50 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°40' (16.7°)
E124°20' (124.3°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 170 km (90 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°55' (17.9°)
E124°20' (124.3°)
Direction and speed of movement N Slow
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 300 km (160 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 350 km (190 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N19°05' (19.1°)
E122°40' (122.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW Slow
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (60 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 45 m/s (85 kt)
Radius of probability circle 430 km (230 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 500 km (270 NM)
<Forecast for 06 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N19°30' (19.5°)
E121°50' (121.8°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 600 km (325 NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- 1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
Oof, that easterly shear...
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/LMZsXXA.gif)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/LMZsXXA.gif)
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
- wxman57
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
I don't know if I've ever seen a more poorly-organized TS, and that's saying a lot. Looks like a mid-level circulation racing northward to the northeast of Luzon. Can't identify any LLC.
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
There is one, but it's not impressive. ASCAT has it well below the operational intensities. Looks like it's upshear of the persistent storms east of Samar. Easterly shear is absolutely blasting it.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/B2aH2gY.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/3y8QtyP.gif)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/B2aH2gY.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/3y8QtyP.gif)
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
I wouldn’t be surprised if Kalmaegi is completely torn apart by shear later today.
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
![Image](https://s5.gifyu.com/images/catanduanes-state-colleg.png)
![Image](https://s5.gifyu.com/images/pasacao-municipal-hall-p.png)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
Still parallel, it's like ICON but ICON is ****
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/49I1a74.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/49I1a74.png)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
Models are hinting of a reformation of LLCC to the northwest
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
JMA sees typhoon
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/vfN3DCb.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/vfN3DCb.png)
TS 1926 (Kalmaegi)
Issued at 01:10 UTC, 14 November 2019
<Analysis at 00 UTC, 14 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N15°10' (15.2°)
E126°55' (126.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 14 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N15°40' (15.7°)
E125°30' (125.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°05' (16.1°)
E124°50' (124.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 130 km (70 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°20' (16.3°)
E124°30' (124.5°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 220 km (120 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 260 km (140 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°40' (17.7°)
E122°40' (122.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of probability circle 260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 300 km (160 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N18°30' (18.5°)
E121°05' (121.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 370 km (200 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 410 km (220 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 19 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°40' (17.7°)
E118°40' (118.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 520 km (280 NM)
Issued at 01:10 UTC, 14 November 2019
<Analysis at 00 UTC, 14 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N15°10' (15.2°)
E126°55' (126.9°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 1000 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 14 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N15°40' (15.7°)
E125°30' (125.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (7 kt)
Central pressure 994 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 23 m/s (45 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (65 kt)
Radius of probability circle 70 km (40 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°05' (16.1°)
E124°50' (124.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 130 km (70 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°20' (16.3°)
E124°30' (124.5°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 220 km (120 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 260 km (140 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°40' (17.7°)
E122°40' (122.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of probability circle 260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 300 km (160 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N18°30' (18.5°)
E121°05' (121.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW Slow
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
Radius of probability circle 370 km (200 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 410 km (220 NM)
<Forecast for 00 UTC, 19 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°40' (17.7°)
E118°40' (118.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 992 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 520 km (280 NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- mrbagyo
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- Posts: 3614
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- Contact:
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
![Image](https://s5.gifyu.com/images/index8.gif)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
Not budging and it tries to reform it
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/cTHV9hM.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/cTHV9hM.png)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
Latest JTWC and JMA center positions indicate that the storm's center is near the southern edge of the bulk of very deep convection. CIMSS analysis shows that wind shear has now relaxed from previously moderate to strong levels, which could finally allow Kalmaegi to organized and strengthen.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/ANYbtQD.gif)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/KAgYz7Y.gif)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/ANYbtQD.gif)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/KAgYz7Y.gif)
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Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
Up to 70 kt expected
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/PORfAyS.png)
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/PORfAyS.png)
TS 1926 (Kalmaegi)
Issued at 13:10 UTC, 14 November 2019
<Analysis at 12 UTC, 14 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N16°20' (16.3°)
E126°40' (126.7°)
Direction and speed of movement N 15 km/h (8 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°10' (16.2°)
E124°50' (124.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W Slow
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 130 km (70 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°25' (16.4°)
E124°25' (124.4°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of probability circle 190 km (100 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 260 km (140 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°55' (17.9°)
E122°30' (122.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 970 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (70 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (100 kt)
Radius of probability circle 260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 350 km (190 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N18°35' (18.6°)
E120°20' (120.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 370 km (200 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 19 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°05' (17.1°)
E118°30' (118.5°)
Direction and speed of movement SW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 520 km (280 NM)
Issued at 13:10 UTC, 14 November 2019
<Analysis at 12 UTC, 14 November>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N16°20' (16.3°)
E126°40' (126.7°)
Direction and speed of movement N 15 km/h (8 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 20 m/s (40 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 30 m/s (60 kt)
≥ 30 kt wind area NW 560 km (300 NM)
SE 220 km (120 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 15 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°10' (16.2°)
E124°50' (124.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W Slow
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 130 km (70 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 16 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N16°25' (16.4°)
E124°25' (124.4°)
Direction and speed of movement Almost stationary
Central pressure 975 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
Radius of probability circle 190 km (100 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 260 km (140 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 17 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°55' (17.9°)
E122°30' (122.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 970 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (70 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (100 kt)
Radius of probability circle 260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 350 km (190 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 18 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N18°35' (18.6°)
E120°20' (120.3°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 990 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of probability circle 370 km (200 NM)
<Forecast for 12 UTC, 19 November>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N17°05' (17.1°)
E118°30' (118.5°)
Direction and speed of movement SW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 998 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of probability circle 520 km (280 NM)
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- 1900hurricane
- Category 5
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- Contact:
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
I'm not sure that the circulation is even closed right now.
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Re: WPAC: KALMAEGI - Tropical Storm
The GFS is now on board with a Typhoon Kalmaegi and bombs it out to 960-970 mbar in the 18z run as it meanders east of Luzon.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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