SIO: Ambali - Very Intense Tropical Cyclone

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aspen
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Re: SIO: Ambali - Very Intense Tropical Cyclone

#61 Postby aspen » Fri Dec 06, 2019 6:50 am

Astromanía wrote:I hope they change their minds in post season analysis, tho I doubt. Anyway for being the first named storm of the season it was incredible how it strengthen so fast and the peak intensity it reached

They might. The very similar Cyclone Ernie in 2017 was operationally assessed as a Cat 4, but was bumped up to a Cat 5 post season. Speaking of Ernie, Ambali has broken its record for the fastest intensification in the Southern Hemisphere (+115 mph in 24 hours, vs Ernie’s +110 mph in the same time frame).
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Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

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wxman57
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Re: SIO: Ambali - Very Intense Tropical Cyclone

#62 Postby wxman57 » Fri Dec 06, 2019 9:51 am

Very small cyclones can strengthen VERY quickly and weaken just as quickly (kind of like a tornado does). Meteo France put it at 80 kts at 12Z, but that appears to be quite generous. Maybe 55-60 kts. Fading fast.

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wxman57
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Re: SIO: Ambali - Very Intense Tropical Cyclone

#63 Postby wxman57 » Fri Dec 06, 2019 10:04 am

Here's a microwave comparison from about 15 hours apart.

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