ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Man what do you do if you're the NHC? This has to be knocking on the door of Cat 5 if it isn't there already. Really feel they need to be aggressive with their estimates on this particular storm.
Last edited by HurricaneEnzo on Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:39 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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HurricaneAndre2008
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
We need more funding with recon yall. That's the bottom line.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
aspen wrote:Weather Dude wrote:When is next recon? They need to be out there right now
Whenever they finish that maintenance issue.
They don't have a whole lot of time to get that fixed...
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
If there's no recon NHC will wait til the immediate advisory to update the intensity, so be patient.
For recon, it's delayed due to technical issues but hurricane hunters said on Twitter that they're on deck soon. Just wait til the data start transmitting.
For recon, it's delayed due to technical issues but hurricane hunters said on Twitter that they're on deck soon. Just wait til the data start transmitting.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneEnzo wrote:Man what do you do if you're the NHC? This has to be knocking on the door of Cat 5 if it isn't there already. Really feel they need to be aggressive with their estimates on this particular storm.
Yeah, especially since it's about to make landfall... They can't be bearish anymore like they have been with this storm so far
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Are there perhaps any weather buoys in the area?....maybe that could help provide some information?
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HurricaneAndre2008
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
Highest intensity?
A 3
B 4
C 5
A 3
B 4
C 5
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
NotoSans wrote:If there's no recon NHC will wait til the immediate advisory to update the intensity, so be patient.
For recon, it's delayed due to technical issues but hurricane hunters said on Twitter that they're on deck soon. Just wait til the data start transmitting.
Oh good! But when is the data supposed to start transmitting?
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HurricaneAndre2008
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
underthwx wrote:Are there perhaps any weather buoys in the area?....maybe that could help provide some information?
There's little to none in that region. Not even too many METar data neither.
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Iceresistance
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:Highest intensity?
A 3
B 4
C 5
I bet right now, it's a CAT 4.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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supercane4867
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:Highest intensity?
A 3
B 4
C 5
It's gonna be a 5, almost certainly
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B.S Meteorology, University of Oklahoma '25
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
As if Eta wasn't bad enough of a storm already, these recon issues are keeping me even further on the edge of my seat. It's like I'm watching a Safdie Brothers movie.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
The next plane will depart at 2:45 PM. Let's see if this one goes fine.
FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 73
A. 02/2330Z
B. AFXXX 0529A ETA
C. 02/1945Z
D. 14.5N 81.9W
E. 02/2300Z TO 03/0230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
A. 02/2330Z
B. AFXXX 0529A ETA
C. 02/1945Z
D. 14.5N 81.9W
E. 02/2300Z TO 03/0230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
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HurricaneEnzo
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:The next plane will depart at 2:45 PM. Let's see if this one goes fine.FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 73
A. 02/2330Z
B. AFXXX 0529A ETA
C. 02/1945Z
D. 14.5N 81.9W
E. 02/2300Z TO 03/0230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
That wait is going to be excruiating
For scientific purposes really hope they get there while it's still peaking. On the other hand hope it falls apart for the people of CA. Sadly, I don't see this falling apart though. This is the curse of being a storm enthusiast.
Last edited by HurricaneEnzo on Mon Nov 02, 2020 12:47 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Bertha 96' - Fran 96' - Bonnie 98' - Dennis 99' - Floyd 99' - Isabel 03' - Alex 04' - Ophelia 05' - Irene 11' - Arthur 14' - Matthew 16' - Florence 18' - Dorian 19' - Isaias 20' (countless other tropical storms and Hurricane swipes)
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
I am not a Professional Met just an enthusiast. Get your weather forecasts from the Pros!
Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
HurricaneAndre2008 wrote:Highest intensity?
A 3
B 4
C 5
5, no doubt at this point. Eta is intensifying far too fast to be anything weaker than 930 mbar at peak intensity. This is achieving what Delta could not.
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
What are the chances this undergoes EWRC before landfall. Or is there 0 chance and indication that happens anytime soon?
The imagery earlier tells me no, but are pinholes more susceptible?
The imagery earlier tells me no, but are pinholes more susceptible?
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Re: ATL: ETA - Hurricane - Discussion
NHC goes with 105kt. Likely conservative.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
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